Russia Ukraine Update Thread - part 2

a reply to: Silcone Synapse

Wonder if sloppy comms will result in the Ukrainians giving him a warm welcome to the front like they did with Gerasimov.

Cheers

9 October Update

Key inflection in ongoing military operations on October 9:

* Ukrainian forces continued to advance east of the Oskil Rver in the direction of Luhansk Oblast and have entered Stel’makhivka (about 18km west of Svatove). Russian forces launched unsuccessful assaults on Burdaka on the Kharkiv Oblast-Russian border, and Terny northeast of Lyman.

* Russian sources reported that Russian forces attempted to attack in the direction of Ternovi Pody (approximately 30km northwest of Kherson City). Ukrainian sources reported that Russian forces continued to target newly liberated settlements in northern Kherson Oblast with artillery, MLRS, and aviation.

* Ukrainian sources reported that Ukrainian forces repelled over 30 attacks in the Bakhmut and Avdiivka areas. Russian forces launched an unsuccessful assault southwest of Donetsk City.

* Russian forces targeted residential areas of Zaporizhzhia City with cruise missiles.

* A Russian milblogger accused North Ossetia and Vladikavkaz of failing to fulfill mobilization orders due to carelessness and the personal interests of regional officials.

* Ukrainian sources reported that Russian occupation authorities are moving their families from Kherson Oblast to Crimea, and from Starobilsk to Luhansk City.

More at URL above.

Cheers

Looking forward to your next update! a reply to: F2d5thCavv2

a reply to: YaraVada

Actually, the updates are from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) website.

Cheers

LONDON, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko said on Monday he had ordered troops to deploy with Russian forces near Ukraine in response to what he said was a clear threat to Belarus from Kyiv and its backers in the West.

Link

Wonder if Russia is going to try an end run on Kyiv (again) with troops moving from Belarus.

Given the current state of the Russian army, it would be risky.

Lukashenko knows his regime is doomed if Putin's invasion of Ukraine fails, so he is backing this as much as he can without getting Belarusian troops involved in a shooting war.

Cheers

De ja vu....they did this also before attacking North Ukraine

Reports of russian soldiers entering "Belarus by the trainload"



JUST IN - Poland advises its citizens in Belarus to leave the country

a reply to: Kenzo

So the quasi-untrained conscripts, even if in the tens of thousands, will do what on a modern battlefield ?

This sounds like either a massacre of barely trained troops in the making; or, Russian and Lukashenko paranoia that NATO is about to do something.

Twitter speculation that a grab for the Suwalki Gap will be attempted. That would get smoked, quick-like.

Cheers

a reply to: Kenzo

Ah so Poland will jump in it seems if balarus jumps in eh?

a reply to: F2d5thCavv2



I dont believe they can do much against Ukrainian forces, the situation is this time different with himars and other stuff and pretty sure the border area is mined too .

Crazy people do crazy things...

a reply to: yuppa

I would bet NATO is watching that situation. Poland will jump in if NATO jumps in.

Cheers

a reply to: yuppa


It`s possible , i dont know. I bet that Belarus army troops are not so happy with any plan to go fight Putins mad war.

a reply to: Kenzo

'Course, all the talk about these claimed troop movements is taking the spotlight off the Kremlin's embarrassment over their beloved bridge getting hit by ... somebody.

Cheers

a reply to: F2d5thCavv2


True, a way boost domestic profile also, the ultra nationalist in Russia have cryed there to do more .

My guess is, the operations near the Donbas and Kherson will drive the course of the war.

If the Donbas starts getting overrun, there will be huge pressure to move any available troops in that direction.

Likewise, if Kherson falls, then Crimea is vulnerable and there will again be pressure to rearrange troop deployment.

Keeping thousands of low quality troops in Belarus will be a distraction and not much more. Apparently, Belarus hasn't had a great harvest this year. Can't believe the locals will be thrilled to have to give up food to support Russian soldiers.

Cheers

Latrine rumors that Shoigu and Gerasimov have been relieved as a consequence of the bridge attack.

No idea if true.

Cheers

a reply to: F2d5thCavv2


Good assessment . What if Lukashenko ( the belarus dictator) fears he`s own security and asked to Russia send reinforcement so that Belarus dont fallen ? But i think your estimate is better, by having the ropps there it binds some Ukrainians forces to North also

a reply to: F2d5thCavv2

Latrine rumors that Shoigu and Gerasimov have been relieved as a consequence of the bridge attack.

Good news if true.

One things certain; Putin is going through senior Officers and Advisors at a rapid rate.

I've got it on 'good authority' - 😉 - that the next in line are WanderingMrM's Top Secret Russian sources.
Next in line after them are The Kremlin's Lavatory and Cloakroom Attendants.

No idea if true.

Apparently truth is no longer a requirement.

originally posted by: F2d5thCavv2
a reply to: YaraVada

Actually, the updates are from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) website.

Cheers

That's just NATO propaganda!

a reply to: Kenzo

Things seem to have gone up a notch. Some reports indicate that up to 300 Russian missiles have been used to take out Ukrainian military infrastructure. A new front opens If Russia has upped the game, Ukraine does not have the manpower, so it either Cools downs or goes hot. Belarus seems to think the west is trying another coup, so now are all in with Russia. tass.com...
A bit from Tass it seems straight forward.

Figured you guys might want to see this the Netherlands is annexing Russia. So soon Russia will become part of their government.




Think maybe this will get Russians to realize how stupid the referendums where??