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As for taking pics of 50% destroyed. I actually think they would. I am guessing that the majority of those tanks were recorded at the beginning of the conflict and especially when Ru pulled back from the Kyiv region.
Since then most tank kills would have been done in a precision manner which in a lot of cases comes with footage from drones or some other manner. It is really hard for me to believe that unguided ordinance is going to inflict an equal amount of destruction on Ru forces as what had occurred at the begging of the war.
I am sure some have been cannibalized but it shouldn't be that necessary. Where they may be behind on is modernizing them. That could be an issue. It is also an issue that can be remedied by them ramping up their own production facilities. I don't know if they have but I would be surprised if they haven't already.
As for the total number I am basing it on. It is the 13,000 number you gave.
It is based on the estimation of their active-duty forces numbering over a million and their reserve forces numbering over 2 million. That is based on figures reported in a 2010 IISS study. Since then they increased their military budget. In 2021 the serviceability of weapons was estimated at 99%. They deployed about 150K to Ukraine. Basically what was already staged on Ukraine's border before the war.
So, yeah, that would be 15% of their active military.
The only reason I used the word is because I was replying to your post where you said this.
"I think you have an unnecessary nostalgia for Russia, or something."
To strike something you need to know where it is no matter the range. They haven't had a lot of luck with penetrating Ru air defense with drones lately so they are mostly returning fire from where they are being shot at. Ru is already moving around. They are shoot and scoot missions. They are both doing it. So unless UA is firing at a stationary target the reach isn't going to change the situation much more. Also the longer the flight time of those rockets gives Ru more time to track and shoot them down. Which, they have been doing against the MLRS packages UA already have. Also, Ru Iskander missile system outranges the MLRS and they have a lot of them.
If you mean reload to fire again. That would only apply if they have the necessary equipment to swap out the packs.
Russia is sending grain from Ukraine overseas, Russian-appointed officials in occupied southern Ukraine say.
Russia denies it is stealing grain.
Why don't you think the capture tanks should be counted? I don't agree with that at all.
Of course captured tanks would cancel each other out, that's an element of uncertainty.
And what do you mean by unguided ordnance?
I did read they stopped producing new tanks.
But then also keep in mind that they can't afford to send all of them to Ukraine, and I don't know exactly what type of units they consist of. I guess some sort of light infantry.
So they initially had 150,000 in and around Ukraine, but the question is how many of the remining 1,000,000 are suited to replace casualties in the attacking ground forces. Only a fraction. And I also suspect that the actual numbers of battle ready contractors are lower in reality than on paper. But like I said, to be fair, they've been using some conscripts reservists so that complicates things.
I think they use radars for that. And rockets have greater range than their artillery, so they could even shoot over the Severodonetsk salient for example and threaten Russian artillery that might otherwise be safe. The advantage here is being able to reach deeper behind enemy lines. And Russia has Iskanders but above all they have a # ton of regular artillery. I just don't get your point, because I might as well say that Iskanders can be shot down by Ukraine. That doesn't make them useless, does it? Different forms of artillery complement each other.
Definitely agree with you that Bayraktars would have been better. I'm just assuming that the war will go on at least for several months, so the eagles will eventually be used too.
Basically, I was just agreeing with you but now you disagree with yourself?
Unguided ordinance is something you fire in the direction of your target without being able to control its trajectory afterward but within the confines of this conversation artillery fire on a target outside of visual range.
Yesterday there was info posted on new tank guns being shipped to their factory. Unless they are stockpiling that usually means they are still making more and the western articles I found on the subject were all saying that they "may" have shut down.
What they can do though is constantly train up soldiers away from the front, and rotate out veterans that can help train up other forces. That is something UA can't afford to do. A lot of countries use conscripts including UA but now UA is taking to the streets to catch new ones and they are generally a lot older.
There is a reason we don't see much footage from UA drones beyond Russia lines. It is because those drones don't have a high survival rate. I am seeing drone footage posted daily from Ru from behind UA lines of defense. That is attributed to the air defense systems.
One of the disadvantages of the MRS is they only carry 12 rockets. I have no idea how that will effect the outcomes but their rate of fire will be far lower than Rus.
I get the feeling that Germany wants this to end and has decided that the outcome is a forgone conclusion based on this and some other things I have seen from them.
They may not have a couple of months. Once the line of fortifications that they have built up over 8 years in the Donbas region is broken there is nothing they can fall back to that will have that level of defense to it. They also risk the majority of their veteran forces in Severodonetsk being cut off as we speak.
No, because canceling each other out doesn't mean they don't count. You even have to count them to know if that happens in the first place.
Who knows, but I'm sure they need new barrels for their existing tanks either way.
I think you're been watching a bit of propaganda there, what's the indication that they're older? And Russia is having huge problems rotating their troops, that's why they raised the age limit.
That sounds very sketchy, which air defense system might you be talking about here?
You're being really vague here, which system are you comparing to?
Their fortifications in Severodonetsk? And I think you're exaggerating the role of fortifications in modern warfare.
I don't know if there is an independent site tracking what Russia has captured. I doubt you would accept an Ru accounting butI will remind you that at the very beginning of our back and forth that I said Russia reported capturing 200 tanks at Balaklei military aresonal.
I am sure they captured others but that was a one-shot thing.
The 50+ year olds being captured on the battlefields that talk about being conscripted and the videos being posted by Ukrainian citizens of people being recruited off the street with a summons.
As for Russia having problems rotating its troops. According to who? Have you ever considered your info may be western propaganda?
In other words, they are looking for professionals with expertise. They are not looking for bodies to fill trenches. Does it surprise you that during such a war they would need more doctors for the injured?
I wouldn't be surprised if those types were rubber-stamped as officers and after the war they would receive some nice government benefits without ever seeing the frontline. Otherwise, the lifting of the enlistment age will attract some older guys in a mid-life crisis or have a death wish.
I wasn't specifically talking about Severodonetsk when talking about fortifications.
I was talking about these which are all across Donbas. Many times they are interlocking.
What do you mean, how fast don't they run out? And this is not a dick-measuring contest, you don't have to defend Russia at every turn. They have thousands of tanks, they perform maintenance on those tanks, absolutely nothing to be ashamed of.
And that didn't happen at the start of war?
Not for the most part no, I've found my western sources to be far more reliable. Like I said earlier, they thought Russia was winning overwhelmingly at first and gradually the picture has changed for the worse for Russia. You can look at interviews of POW's, also Igor Girkin is very enlightening and definitely not a friend of the West.
Here's one video, not the actual Girkin though, it's just some guy on twitter using his name: www.republicworld.com... s-articleshow.html
Right... they just need more doctors to treat the injured, not bodies to fill trenches? And who do you imagine is getting injured?
And again which air defense did you mean? You're just posting a video and hoping a I let it go.
Yeah, I asked because Severodonetsk is not not the 2014-2022 line that they had so much time to fortify, and yet that's one of the place where fighting has been heaviest. I don't know the layout south of there, whether they're using old fortifications. Like, how deep the fortifications went. But fighting near the border is a big advantage for Russia. Just trenches aren't a multi-year investment.
Key Takeaways
*Russian forces continued assaults against Ukrainian positions in Severodonetsk. Russian forces simultaneously seek to outflank Ukrainian positions in the region to avoid the necessity of making an opposed crossing of the Siversky Donets river.
* Russian forces are continuing operations around Sviatohirsk and west of Lyman to link up with operations southeast of Izyum and drive on Slovyansk.
* Russian forces are intensifying their operations in northwestern Kherson Oblast in response to recent Ukrainian counterattacks.
* Russian forces in Zaporizhia Oblast are focusing ground and artillery attacks near the Zaporizhia-Donetsk Oblast border and likely are seeking to strengthen control of the highway between Vasylivka-Orikhiv and Huliapole to support operations in northeast Zaporizhia.
* Russian-backed occupation authorities are attempting to set conditions for the political integration of occupied areas into the Russian Federation but are likely acting independently and in an incoherent manner due to the lack of a unifying occupation authority.
* Russian forces intensified psychological and information operations to degrade Ukrainian morale.
As a reminder
As such take everything as a possibility and NOT as absolute truth.
The very first casualty in a war is the truth and all warfare is based on deception
Which part? The 50+ guys? That has been ongoing for about a month or two.
I think there is a couple of them in this thread I made with UA POWs.
www.abovetopsecret.com...
The being taken off the street part I have been seeing videos for a couple of weeks now.
I don't know who your sources are or what an actual girkin is or a fake one is. BTW, your link is broken.
I am glad you are happy with your sources though. Ihope they weren't the ones saying Russians were starving or played video game combat footage.
Both sides have been reporting atrocious numbers of injured but our conversation was focusing on conscripts where you brought up that Ru raised age of enlistment.
Again, even western sources report that they hope to attract professionals in the two fields that I mentioned. Whereas UA is putting old men in trenches.
One is lacking specialists and the other is lacking cannon fodder.
I don't mind being called out for BS but really? It shows a Tank, Ballistic Missile, and an Air Defense System.
Which one of those three do you think I was talking about?
Severodonetsk is tough for two reasons. The first is the Azot plant. Some have been saying that it turn into a miniature Azovstal because it also has a bunker. The factory itself is built like a fort.
As a reminder
As such take everything as a possibility and NOT as absolute truth.
The very first casualty in a war is the truth and all warfare is based on deception
originally posted by: Grimpachi
I didn't know propaganda Vasquez was back in the states.
originally posted by: Grimpachi
The first video in the speak the "truth" series with him has a part where he stands in front of a "Russian" tank he says they just destroyed.
Look closely at the Slat Armor on it. Then look up Russian Slat Armor and then some of the improvised Slat Armor Ukraine uses.
That should tell you everything you need to know about Vasquez. I wonder why sniper guy didn't ask him about that one. I have a good idea why.
With all the camera equipment they brought around with them I don't remember ever coming across any footage of them actually fighting. That is interesting to me.
Months ago I read that he raised over half a million for the "fight."
As a reminder
As such take everything as a possibility and NOT as absolute truth.
The very first casualty in a war is the truth and all warfare is based on deception