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originally posted by: ketsuko
a reply to: Phoenix
So, if I'm part of an organized disinfo campaign, do I get paid for this? When do I see those checks?
originally posted by: Oppenheimer67
"originally posted by: tanstaafl
You could use the cruise ship as an example with diverse nationalities.
454 infected, 20 seriously ill, i.e. 4.4%
This is quite representative of data for China when you consider it's only about a fifth of people who develop symptoms enough to be detected (20%), and then only a fifth of those go on to be serious or critical (4%).
Argument against this though is the aged demographic on board, so it might explain 4.4% rather than 4%, but you might reasonably expect it to be more than 4.4%. Given time though, it may well be.
originally posted by: Oppenheimer67
"originally posted by: tanstaafl
You could use the cruise ship as an example with diverse nationalities.
454 infected, 20 seriously ill, i.e. 4.4%
This is quite representative of data for China when you consider it's only about a fifth of people who develop symptoms enough to be detected (20%), and then only a fifth of those go on to be serious or critical (4%).
Argument against this though is the aged demographic on board, so it might explain 4.4% rather than 4%, but you might reasonably expect it to be more than 4.4%. Given time though, it may well be.
Problem is the whole world would need to join in, otherwise you risk someone milking the situation in case it turns out to be a false alarm. We all do it together, the markets equalise, the world keeps turning, containment possible until vaccine or threat otherwise alleviated.
originally posted by: cirrus12
I have wondered this also - I don't understand how so many families have been affected and so badly, whereas we are seeing nothing like that outside China. Is that because what is happening is unique to the epicentre? Or we just haven't had the incubation time etc yet?
originally posted by: Oppenheimer67
a reply to: tanstaafl
Your query was specifically asking for any evidence of spread outside of Asian populations. While I don't have time to give you a breakdown of the all the nationalities aboard the cruise liner,
I can guarantee they are not all Asian.
Ages and health status is also irrelevant unless you want to talk about mortality rate.