Half a million people march in London for Palestine

a reply to: quintessentone

Yes. You do that a lot yourself.

a reply to: quintessentone

That's fine, keep avoiding the hard things and life. We understand, it's not for everyone.

I'm still convinced you don't even know what "gaslighting" is. Pretty big word for you to use, maybe you should look it up sometime

originally posted by: Oldcarpy2
a reply to: quintessentone

Which threads?

Do I have to post on all of them?

The Rasmussen one on now for instance, where is your particular sentiment about polling there? I don't see you posting dissing the poll.

originally posted by: Oldcarpy2
a reply to: quintessentone

Yes. You do that a lot yourself.

Pot kettle.

originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone

That's fine, keep avoiding the hard things and life. We understand, it's not for everyone.

I'm still convinced you don't even know what "gaslighting" is. Pretty big word for you to use, maybe you should look it up sometime

Sure go with that if it makes you feel better about yourself.

a reply to: quintessentone

Polls are meant to get a REAL sample of a whole, not a tenth of a percent.

But sure, keep that head in the sand and believe whatever the MSM di ck shoves down your throat.

a reply to: quintessentone

Yes, and that's why they are not that reliable.

a reply to: quintessentone

You refuse to answer questions asked, what else am I supposed to think, other than that it's just too hard for you to do.

Mr "quintessential" can't even do simple things like answering questions that are asked of him. not really indicative of your username, might look into changing that.

a reply to: quintessentone

Like I said, do I have to post in reply to every post on every thread?

I have better things to do.

Why have a go at other posters whilst ignoring what they say?

originally posted by: Oldcarpy2
a reply to: quintessentone

Yes, and that's why they are not that reliable.

Are they really not reliable? Strange that so many people rely on them to gauge certain situations.

So the opinion poll of over 2,500 people that I sourced would be of the A vs. B choice, therefore if you read below, the error margin would be very low.

Polls based on samples of populations are subject to sampling error which reflects the effects of chance and uncertainty in the sampling process. Sampling polls rely on the law of large numbers to measure the opinions of the whole population based only on a subset, and for this purpose the absolute size of the sample is important, but the percentage of the whole population is not important (unless it happens to be close to the sample size). The possible difference between the sample and whole population is often expressed as a margin of error – usually defined as the radius of a 95% confidence interval for a particular statistic. One example is the percent of people who prefer product A versus product B. When a single, global margin of error is reported for a survey, it refers to the maximum margin of error for all reported percentages using the full sample from the survey. If the statistic is a percentage, this maximum margin of error can be calculated as the radius of the confidence interval for a reported percentage of 50%. Others suggest that a poll with a random sample of 1,000 people has margin of sampling error of ±3% for the estimated percentage of the whole population.

A 3% margin of error means that if the same procedure is used a large number of times, 95% of the time the true population average will be within the sample estimate plus or minus 3%. The margin of error can be reduced by using a larger sample, however if a pollster wishes to reduce the margin of error to 1% they would need a sample of around 10,000 people.[13] In practice, pollsters need to balance the cost of a large sample against the reduction in sampling error and a sample size of around 500–1,000 is a typical compromise for political polls. (To get complete responses it may be necessary to include thousands of additional participators.)[14][15]

en.wikipedia.org...#:~:text=An%20opinion%20poll%2C%20often%20simply,opinion%20from%20a%20particular%20sample.

originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone

Polls are meant to get a REAL sample of a whole, not a tenth of a percent.

But sure, keep that head in the sand and believe whatever the MSM di ck shoves down your throat.

See my recent post above in how polls work.

a reply to: quintessentone

From your source, Wikipedia:

"In the United Kingdom, most polls failed to predict the Conservative election victories of 1970 and 1992, and Labour's victory in February 1974. In the 2015 election virtually every poll predicted a hung parliament with Labour and the Conservatives neck and neck when the actual result was a clear Conservative majority. On the other hand, in 2017, the opposite appears to have occurred. Most polls predicted an increased Conservative majority, even though in reality the election resulted in a hung parliament with a Conservative plurality. However, some polls correctly predicted this outcome.

In New Zealand, the polls leading up to the 1993 general election predicted a comfortable win to the governing National Party. However, the preliminary results on election night showed a hung parliament with National one seat short of a majority, leading to prime minister Jim Bolger exclaiming "bugger the pollsters" on national television.[45][46] The official count saw National pick up Waitaki to hold a one-seat majority and reform the government."

a reply to: quintessentone

target audience

Key phrase in that entire page.

Also, since when do we use Wiki as a reliable source?

originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone

target audience

Key phrase in that entire page.

Also, since when do we use Wiki as a reliable source?

Wiki used as a source to explain the methodology of polls is quite acceptable IMO.

Wow, grasping at straws much, your arm must be an inch longer than the other.

a reply to: quintessentone

Rasmussen?

That's in the US.

I'm not from the US which is why I am speaking for the UK.

Which happens to be what this thread is about.

a reply to: quintessentone

Are you so naïve to believe that this poll could not have been biased in any way shape or form?

Wow, my feelz are so hurt by your meaningless insults........

originally posted by: Oldcarpy2
a reply to: quintessentone

Rasmussen?

That's in the US.

I'm not from the US which is why I am speaking for the UK.

Which happens to be what this thread is about.

Deflection. You were attacking the poll and it's accuracy to fit your narrative. All polls are conducted with similar methodology depending upon complexity of question(s) no matter the country.

I have since shown poll methodology and the ratio of accuracy.

So it would appear the majority of Britons are pro ceasefire.

originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone

Polls are meant to get a REAL sample of a whole, not a tenth of a percent.

But sure, keep that head in the sand and believe whatever the MSM di ck shoves down your throat.

Now anger and insults from you, as expected.

originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone

Are you so naïve to believe that this poll could not have been biased in any way shape or form?

Wow, my feelz are so hurt by your meaningless insults........

I sourced two separate polls within the same results and you can't refute it.

a reply to: quintessentone

If you say so.

Me? I just actually live here.

But do carry on telling us what we all think.