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originally posted by: CrazeeWorld777
I'm just reading this report from the daily mail about an Island off Plymouth where apparently 3 shiploads of "visitors" will be landing next weekend. Drakes Island!
I wonder who these "visitors" are??
www.dailymail.co.uk...
Why decide to tell everyone about this now??
Coincidence or??
Cant see twitter. can you paste the text
originally posted by: Nscan
twitter.com... did anyone see this obituary paper comparison paper from Italy pretty haunting
originally posted by: Nscan
did anyone see this obituary paper comparison paper from Italy pretty haunting twitter.com...
2nd that fact! This virus is a tool and have said this since thread 1. And thanks
originally posted by: Nscan
a reply to: RP2SticksOfDynamite
The local newspaper from my hometown Bergamo (Italy). Pages for obituaries on Feb 9th: ~1. Pages for obituaries on Mach 13th: 10. To all friends around the world, once again, it is not flu. #COVID19de #Covid_19
it's a video
originally posted by: RP2SticksOfDynamite
If the US numbers on average only double weekly for 10 weeks then that will be over 3.3m infected and between 163000 & 330,000 dead. And that's conservative based on current infection rate.
originally posted by: MrRCflying
originally posted by: Oppenheimer67
originally posted by: RP2SticksOfDynamite
Was just announced on Sky news minutes ago.
originally posted by: Oppenheimer67
originally posted by: RP2SticksOfDynamite
Dare I say it?
We are watching in front of our very eyes a depopulation exercise/mission unfolding that will result in the death of millions of people. By accident (it got out before planned) or deliberate.
Best case 4-8m - based on doubling every week for 10 weeks (note it has slowed to every 12 days in Italy)
Worst case 0.5-1.5bn - based on doubling every 4 days for 10 weeks (note it has slowed to every 12 days in Italy)
But some countries will fair better than others and some worse and some not at all so take the above's as averages. But I recon when all done it will be a minimum of 1m dead and I already think that China maybe got to that figure on their own.
Why wouldn't it be? The planet needs it! But that don't make it right!
C = China = Corona Virus = Contagion = Cull = Continuity!!
Lets not be N.
Thank you for your input.
May I ask where you got a doubling of 12 days for Italy? I expect rate to decrease eventually after lockdown. Close contacts will still spread, but that is limited, so rate would come down. Also perceived rate would reduce with lack of testing, either by capacity or because they go under the radar. But 12 days seems very slow (relatively) so interested in your methods or sources. Cheers.
Thank you. That's bonkers. I have no idea where they have come up with this doubling of 12 days for Italy. Just using data from 10th to 13th of March gives doubling time of 3.78 days there, R squared of 0.994 (exceptionally good fit)
The Ohio Medical expert said it was every 6 days here in the US. I don't know how they are coming up with that either.
Back on page 282, 3/9/20, of part 4 I ran the numbers and came up with about 3 - 3.5 days for doubling. So far it has held. I said about 3,200 in the US on the 14th or 15th. It looks like we are on track to surpass 3,200 tomorrow 3/15. So just about the 3.5 days I had figured.
If it continues at that rate till the end of the month, confirmed cases will be over 100,000 in the US.
Understand. Yes its not looking good. Keep safe wait it out. It might be 8 to 10 weeks before the peak.
originally posted by: MrRCflying
originally posted by: RP2SticksOfDynamite
If the US numbers on average only double weekly for 10 weeks then that will be over 3.3m infected and between 163000 & 330,000 dead. And that's conservative based on current infection rate.
originally posted by: MrRCflying
originally posted by: Oppenheimer67
originally posted by: RP2SticksOfDynamite
Was just announced on Sky news minutes ago.
originally posted by: Oppenheimer67
originally posted by: RP2SticksOfDynamite
Dare I say it?
We are watching in front of our very eyes a depopulation exercise/mission unfolding that will result in the death of millions of people. By accident (it got out before planned) or deliberate.
Best case 4-8m - based on doubling every week for 10 weeks (note it has slowed to every 12 days in Italy)
Worst case 0.5-1.5bn - based on doubling every 4 days for 10 weeks (note it has slowed to every 12 days in Italy)
But some countries will fair better than others and some worse and some not at all so take the above's as averages. But I recon when all done it will be a minimum of 1m dead and I already think that China maybe got to that figure on their own.
Why wouldn't it be? The planet needs it! But that don't make it right!
C = China = Corona Virus = Contagion = Cull = Continuity!!
Lets not be N.
Thank you for your input.
May I ask where you got a doubling of 12 days for Italy? I expect rate to decrease eventually after lockdown. Close contacts will still spread, but that is limited, so rate would come down. Also perceived rate would reduce with lack of testing, either by capacity or because they go under the radar. But 12 days seems very slow (relatively) so interested in your methods or sources. Cheers.
Thank you. That's bonkers. I have no idea where they have come up with this doubling of 12 days for Italy. Just using data from 10th to 13th of March gives doubling time of 3.78 days there, R squared of 0.994 (exceptionally good fit)
The Ohio Medical expert said it was every 6 days here in the US. I don't know how they are coming up with that either.
Back on page 282, 3/9/20, of part 4 I ran the numbers and came up with about 3 - 3.5 days for doubling. So far it has held. I said about 3,200 in the US on the 14th or 15th. It looks like we are on track to surpass 3,200 tomorrow 3/15. So just about the 3.5 days I had figured.
If it continues at that rate till the end of the month, confirmed cases will be over 100,000 in the US.
And that is why I did not go further out than the end of the month. The numbers are just too depressing. I hope it flattens out before then.
Best of luck. Hope he comes through.
originally posted by: toolgal462
So, my 87 yr old dad has been in hospital for the past couple of days. He does not have the virus but obviously he is very high risk.
So I just spoke to the Dr. with Beth Israel Boston, and he said that overnight the admissions for the virus went from 4 to 20 in Boston location. My Dad is in the other location just south of Boston and he said that the cases are starting to come in there and the goal is to get my dad out of there tomorrow.
He said he was scared about the virus but he wasn't going anywhere and would be prepared. Our health care workers are heroes for sure.
originally posted by: checkmeoutI really don't think the rich are going to bug out to Drake's Island.