NOAA Warns of a Solar Storm Region Facing Earth for Next Two Weeks, Carrington-like Event!

reply to post by camaro68ss

This is fun. This whole month has been warning of asteroids, tsunamis, Earthquakes in random areas, national emergency drills and now a higher then likely Carrington event could manifest.

All we need now are zombies, an alien invasion and for HAARP to stop warming my coffee and it's a great day to be a member of ATS.

But seriously, I'm not too worried about this. If it does happen, then so be it. I'm a damned good hunter and know how to keep warm in the winter.

Just in case though, I'll be sure to keep that BOB ready.

Well, let's hope 1339 doesn't decide to wake up and release a massive burst of energy while it's facing us over these next couple of weeks... or if it does, it's not equivalent to the Carrington one.

Sometimes these sunspots fizzle out and don't release any energy before fading away, and sometimes they do.

So the ugly fact of the matter is that this sort of "super CME" scenario is inevitable, statistically speaking, it's just a matter of when. Hopefully that statistic never happens in our lifetime.


Here's some info on 1339:

The largest sunspots since 2005 are now visible from the Earth. These huge sunspots have been slowly rotating to face the Earth since November 3, 2011. The largest of these sunspots, Sunspot AR 1339, is said to be 17 times the Earth’s width. This region of the Sun has caused massive solar flares which can trigger radio blackouts and long-lasting radiation storms. The Solar Dynamics Observatory team even called Active Region 1339 a “Bad Boy” causing a solar flare reaching X1.9 at 20:27 UTC on the 3rd.

Universe Today

AR 1339 stands for "Active Region 1339". It's a grouping of sunspots with the largest of it's sunspots being roughly 17 times the size of earth. There are a few pictures of the active region in the link above.

And yes, it is a "monster" in terms of its size. Nothing this size has been seen since 2005.

A large grouping like that can literally turn ugly overnight.

So as with any enormous sunspot and/or sunspot grouping, it does need to be closely watched for the next couple of weeks while it's facing us. The past few days shows this region to be quiet right now, however it could be the calm before the storm... or it could be fizzling out as we speak.

Simply put, our scientific knowledge in heliophysics is still in its infancy, so nobody really knows what can happen at any given point... all they can do is give their best guesstimates.

reply to post by camaro68ss


Here is an interesting link to Lockheed's Solar and Astrophysics lab

www.lmsal.com...

and here are more on the 11339

www.solarmonitor.org...

and this is pretty wicked looking!
www.lmsal.com...


just gathering more info:
www.space.com...

Originally posted by Dalke07
reply to post by jeichelberg

 

All that source are from ..

Published November 04, 2011

In that time we was all very concern ..

Last days is mach different situation ..

Sun is sleeping last 3-4 days specially in our side direction, hope stay in that move ..

Peace ..

edit on 8-11-2011 by Dalke07 because: (no reason given)

What in the world are you trying to say here? Seriously it's like talking to someone on a bad cell phone and only getting every other word of the conversation. Even more annoying when trying to follow in text?

reply to post by jaynkeel


The Queen's English is not this fellow's native language, my good man.

It is advisable that one chill. Cheerio.

reply to post by ColAngus


Well if people would start listing their location in the blank where it says location it would clear these things up. Had I of seen his location says he is from some Foreign country I would have asked in another way. These days it seems more and more not a case of the former but just plain laziness usually. Especially when every computer is equipped with a spell checker and ATS provides an edit function. And trust me I am the worst at spelling.

The thing about this is that in 1859, there was no warning of the event. Now we have advance monitoring capabilities, and we can see it coming days ahead. I'm sure we would take the appropriate action necessary to thwart a disaster. You know, like disconnecting the power before it hits. Isn't it as easy as that?

Originally posted by smithjustinb
The thing about this is that in 1859, there was no warning of the event. Now we have advance monitoring capabilities, and we can see it coming days ahead. I'm sure we would take the appropriate action necessary to thwart a disaster. You know, like disconnecting the power before it hits. Isn't it as easy as that?

I dont think its as easy as that. even with the tranformers down I still think it could blow it. In 1859 there were reports of moris code bottons that were un pluged yet when the event happend they were powered on. There was also reports of wood post on barbwire fences catching on fire due to the electicity in the air???

even at that, a fast moving one like the 1859 one, they only had a few minuets. I think it was 8 minuets

There are very many articles on this event. Most of the come from about 5 days ago.

here's one:
www.usatoday.com...

It is mentioned very casually. The article basically gives us the idea that it could pass without even being noticed.

Maybe the article in the OP is from a site that is just trying to get lots of hits.

reply to post by daynight42


That's possible.

There's a reason why I'm careful what sites I use as sources. HOWEVER, some times, if something bad COULD happen, it would be nice to know about it before the lights go out.

Originally posted by daynight42
There are very many articles on this event. Most of the come from about 5 days ago.

here's one:
www.usatoday.com...

It is mentioned very casually. The article basically gives us the idea that it could pass without even being noticed.

Maybe the article in the OP is from a site that is just trying to get lots of hits.

yeah its possible but x-class fares coming out of this monster are possible too. All you need is one good strike and the lights go out

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2011 Nov 08 2355 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 312 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Nov 2011
* * * * * * * * * * Corrected Copy * * * * * * * * * *

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1339 (N19W08) produced a
few low-level C-class events during the period. The region continued
to exhibit slow decay, both in area and spot count, as well as
magnetic complexity losing its Delta configuration. The other large
region on the disk, Region 1338 (S14W25) also is in slow decay, both
in area and magnetic complexity, and is now classified as a Beta
group. New region 1344 (S22W07) emerged on the disk early in the
period as a simple uni-polar spot group. Early in the period, a
filament eruption along a 25 degree channel was observed in SDO/AIA
imagery beginning at about 07/2232Z. LASCO C2 imagery first observed
a CME lifting off the NW limb at 07/2348Z.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
moderate during the period (09 - 11 November) with a slight chance
for high activity (M5 or greater) from Region 1339. There is also a
slight chance for a proton flare from this region during the period.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated
high latitude minor storm periods. Solar wind speeds generally were
below 400 km/s while the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic
field fluctuated between +/- 7 nT.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels during day one and two of the period
(09 - 10 November). By day three (11 November), the field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated high
latitude active periods, as glancing blow effects from the 07
November CME are felt.

III. Event Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov
Class M 70/70/70
Class X 10/10/10
Proton 10/10/10
PCAF Green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Nov 181
Predicted 09 Nov-11 Nov 180/180/175
90 Day Mean 08 Nov 130

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Nov 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Nov 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov 004/005-004/005-007/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/13
Minor storm 02/02/03
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/16
Minor storm 13/13/20
Major-severe storm 08/08/14

you know i read alot on here about what people perceive;or think is going to happen as far as the end of the world;new world order;etc,etc;however my opinion on these topics is that none of these things will happen until God is ready for them to happen on his time table;not ours;just thought that I would post that just to give you guys something to think about@@:

Any tips to saving your electronics?

I wouldn't want my laptop to be fried, let alone anything else important.


What if i were to be at school at that time?

reply to post by mikey2012


When you don't believe in a god,

Iife becomes easier.


Source: My life story.

reply to post by 0Mark

What difference would it make if your laptop were fried? Its not like you would be able to plug it in and charge it, or hop online. So what would be the point?
However, if you insist on saving it, build a faraday cage, which you can google. Microwave ovens are excellent faraday cages, doesnt have to be plugged in or anything. Its designed to be able to withold all gamma radiation, thus preventing any from entering. Just keep your laptop in there and it should be fine.
If such an event were to occur, Id worry more about things like radios, batteries, flashlights... potentially useful things.

reply to post by EliThebrave


I'm not sure exactly, asked my self the same question.
What if, i were to use it as a gaming machine in the post-apocalyptic era?

Too bad my 20$ microwave is too small in order to fit my 17.3 inch monster gaming laptop.


Would wrapping it in aluminum foil do anything?
I'll be cleaning the microwave and putting my cellphones in there!

reply to post by 0Mark


Speaking of school, yeah... I almost hope for such an event to unfold so I dont have to think about my college loans. Haha
If it doesnt happen though, I dont mind sucking it up and paying it all back though. Prospective mechanical engineer here.

reply to post by 0Mark


Yeah Ive read that foil works to a lesser degree. If something pretty significant were to happen though, I wouldnt trust aluminum foil. Ive also heard someone say that those galvanized steel trash cans make great faraday cages too, a lot lighter, and more space inside than a microwave.

I scrap in my spare time, so I come across microwaves and fun stuff all the time.

Cell phones wouldnt do much good either because there wouldnt be any reception, and no way to charge it. Unless you hooked up a charger to a stockpile of batteries or a car battery (which I plan on saving).

I'll just stick to putting the occasional hot pocket into my microwave then.
*Solar Storm hits* *I start stuffing the microwave with food* "Fuc* Logic.