Magnitude 7.3 - EASTERN TURKEY

Wasn't there just a thread about a guy who predicted an EQ right within a few days from today?

Originally posted by CasiusIgnoranze
reply to post by Dalke07

 

Hmmm...Turkey getting HAARPed because of their recent attitude towards Israel?

It does make one wonder as to the nations capabilities with unknown weapons that could create earthquakes, but it does seem doubtful.

Wasn't there a small earthquake in San Francisco a few days ago?

The USGS keeps a real time survey of earthquakes around the world. The USGS is saying this one was 4.4

earthquake.usgs.gov...

And as my research supports my earlier statement, this occurred at...10 km.

reply to post by Screwed


Found the prediction
ATS predictions

Dalke07
Today is 15 October, think can happen in next 20 days around 26 October 2011 .. Is not possible to be precise because some times tectonic plates trigger little before or little later of maximum gravitation force and kinetic energy of Moon and Sun ..

Hi every one,

i live in Duhok region of Kurdistan (northern Iraq). And at close to 2pm i felt very mild jolts while i was on the couch, then i got a phone call from my sister-in-law who lives in Diyarbakir and she said she felt quite a strong jolts at same time. i was shocked as to how far i was from epicenter yet i felt it.

Originally posted by Screwed
Wasn't there just a thread about a guy who predicted an EQ right within a few days from today?

Yes, Dalke predicted a mag 8 by the 26th. I would say he basically nailed it.

reply to post by AuntB


Yes, apparently he did nail it.
Thanks for helping me find that thread.

Now let's all watch the most interesting phenomenon unfold.
All of the debunkers who will say:

- Anyone can predict an EQ if they make enough predictions
- He said 26th, this is the 23rd. He was off by three days. Failed prediction
- He said mag 8, this was a 7.3, he was off. Failed prediction.

and on and on we go.
This was accurate enough for me.
I am pretty stunned because I told my wife about this when the thread came out and told her there would be a major EQ within a few days of the 26th according to someone on ATS.
That is pretty spot on.
We all need to re-think the possibility of EQ predictions.

Originally posted by Screwed
reply to post by AuntB

 

Tes apparently he did nail it.
Thanks for helping me find that thread.

Now let's all watch the most interesting phenomenon unfold.
All of the debunkers who will say:

- Anyone can predict an EQ if they make enough predictions
- He said 26th, this is the 23rd. He was off by three days. Failed prediction
- He said mag 8, this was a 7.3, he was off. Failed prediction.

and on and on we go.
This was accurate enough for me.
I am pretty stunned because I told my wife about this when the thread came out and told her there would be a major EQ within a few days of the 26th according to someone on ATS.
That is pretty spot on.
We all need to re-think the possibility of EQ predictions.

Yes, we need EQ prediction. I stumbled across only one avenue of research and will research it further. Suppose it is possible that we can see at what depths each occurred in and the distances away and the time it took to occur, then maybe there is no randomness to them at all.

What I am proposing is this, if an earthquake occurs at a particular depth, we find the next earthquake that occurred at that same depth and measure the distance from epicenter to epicenter and length of time for it to occur, then we would have a running tally of each depth to predict from.

That is just an theory and should not be intended to be taken for any definitive answer.

reply to post by WarminIndy


Good Morning,

Felt this one coming last night - posted as much on the quake watch thread.

10km and 6km are the shallower automatic sets by the instruments when depth of the quake is not known. They also use 20km and 40km. Main rule of thumb, if it is rounded to the nearest 10th, it is computer set until it can be reviewed.

reply to post by WarminIndy

I once did a study about earthquakes and found something interesting, a great percentage of the earthquakes occur at exactly 10 km, or 6 miles depth. I took all the information about the earthquakes from the USGS and separated the columns about depth and magnitude and time, it was surprising that a great percentage was at 10 km.

This is because 10km is one of the 'default' depths used when the depth is uncertain. 33 km is another.

2 km is also used on very shallow quakes by EMSC. Each agency has their own 'default' but 10 is quite a common one.

reply to post by Anmarie96


Touché ma'am.

Originally posted by Screwed
reply to post by AuntB

 

- Anyone can predict an EQ if they make enough predictions

True

- He said 26th, this is the 23rd. He was off by three days. Failed prediction

Depends upon the basis of his statement. I believe it was based on the New Moon so yes failed unless you can prove there is a positive connection. Many have tried and failed so far.

- He said mag 8, this was a 7.3, he was off. Failed prediction.

Yup failed - not even close. It was a 7.2 which is about 4 petajoules of energy released. A mag 8 is 63 petajoules mind you if you think 4 is anything like 63 then I guess you would consider it a success but I do not.

Happy? You got your debunker

This is not good... an apartment building collapse:




It looks like Israel will step in and aid Turkey even though their relations are not favourable right now.

It always takes some kind of natural disaster to happen before nations wake up and realize we are all in this together as a singular human race... imaginary borderlines matter none when you get down to brass tacks:

IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Benny Gantz has ordered IDF Homefront Command search & rescue officials to begin preparations to head to Turkey, aware that country will require the expertise of Israel’s team, which has traveled the world assisting after natural disasters such as the earthquake that hit that country earlier today.

Ganz has signaled that such a move will require government approval, and it appears he sees this will be the case despite Turkey’s unilateral halt in diplomatic and military ties with Israel.

Yeshiva World

Originally posted by Anmarie96
reply to post by WarminIndy

 

Good Morning,

Felt this one coming last night - posted as much on the quake watch thread.

10km and 6km are the shallower automatic sets by the instruments when depth of the quake is not known. They also use 20km and 40km. Main rule of thumb, if it is rounded to the nearest 10th, it is computer set until it can be reviewed.

Thank you for showing me that. But I will still look into the other theory of depths to epicenters, say a known depth of perhaps 35 km, where it occurred and the next earthquake at 35 km depth and location, perhaps those are the values we can look in to.

It means nothing, and I don't want it to mean anything by claim, but I had read about the Canterbury 2010 EQ literally 10 minutes before this one occurred. They seem similar in terms of magnitude I always have EQ3D going, so I get updates fairly fast, though EMSC was quicker than USGS this time around. I found it strange.

One interesting thing I am finding more and more is that deep Alaska quakes seem to come an hour to three hours prior to larger quakes in general. I will compile it eventually and post it but it lacks a bit now.

aslwww.cr.usgs.gov...

As you can see the graphs have jumped worldwide since the 7.2. During the time I was reading about the Canterbury there were like 30 ravens outside going ballistic screaming. I don't know man, I really, really don't trust HAARP, I just can't help but feel that they keep #ing with things. I know quakes are a normality, yes they happen each day. Last year we had 15 7.0-7.9 quakes, this year we're at 19 now I believe. I don't see it stopping.

I'm on the San Andreas/Cascadia boat here, the increase in magnitude and location around the LA area this year is suspicious. I feel the overdue quake is coming soon.

As we enter 2012 our sun cycle will advance and more sunspots will appear.

For anyone interested, STEREO had some big flares there yesterday, while SOHO, as usual was snipping and deleting and just plain #ing with their data which really #ing annoys me.

Here's a video of the STEREO flares, after the first part which shows what SOHO data they managed to piece together afterwards. -_-

www.youtube.com...

Best wishes to all in Turkey. Earth annoys me.

Don't you think it's strange that this earthquake happened in Kurdistan?

Turkey just announced an offensive against the PKK (the Kurdish guerrilla) some days ago...

reply to post by murkraz

I will compile it eventually and post it but it lacks a bit now.

Please do, sounds interesting.

Originally posted by Jordan River
why isn't this in breaking news ???

I have to agree. ATS Mods, I really think EQ stories like this should be allowed in Breaking News, at least in the days immediately following the EQ. I rarely visit the Fragile Earth forum, and so it wasn't my first thought when I came here looking for info on the EQ that just happened -- breaking news was (actually, when I didn't see it in the top news story, I did a search first which turned up mostly older, unrelated threads). I'm sure I'm not the only one. Just something to think about to make it easier for your members.

Originally posted by Jordan River
why isn't this in breaking news ???

I checked to make sure no-one had answered you yet. As the question is still open, here's a response and as it relates directly to why this thread is where it is, hopefully it will be considered sufficiently on-topic.

Assuming you mean the Breaking Alternative News forum on ATS and not something in the msm, the reason is simple.

At the top of every post in the Breaking Alternative News forum you will see this notation from the ATS/TAN owners:

Breaking Alternative News: Member news submissions and discussions covering alternative subjects such as UFO's, conspiracy theory, government secrets, and political scandals.

The earthquake in Turkey today occurred in a part of the world that has experienced such quakes throughout the thousands of years that people have lived there, and doubtless for many millennia before then. This quake is not about UFOs, conspiracy theories, government secrets or political scandals. It's a natural event and so it belongs in the forum devoted to such events, namely Fragile Earth.

When Breaking Alternative News was first set up as a forum, it very quickly got absolutely overrun with threads by members who apparently had not read the information about what the forum was for. So, they began posting any and all sorts of breaking news there, making it very difficult for members to keep track of events that actually were supposed to be there.

Therefore, to keep things under control and hopefully keep Breaking Alternative News as a forum for alternative news, the policy has been that if threads are posted there that just don't belong, then they get moved to the correct forum or (if a thread already exists in the right forum) they are closed.

I hope that answers your question.

EDIT: reply to post by Nameless Hussy

Please read the above. This is not a moderator issue. The owners of this site set up a forum for Breaking Alternative News. A thread about this quake does not belong there.

Best regards,

Mike

No Elenin connection? www.commonsenseconspiracy.com...

Originally posted by JustMike

Please read the above. This is not a moderator issue. The owners of this site set up a forum for Breaking Alternative News. A thread about this quake does not belong there.

I'm not retarded, thanks. I read the thread in breaking news prior to posting, along with the mod note. The point of my post was that news like this *should* belong in that forum -- whoever is responsible really should expand the parameters for what's allowed. I know I'm not the only one who looks to ATS for info on breaking news, alternative or otherwise. A major EQ -- especially when such disasters seem to be on the upswing globally -- is more important breaking news to me than a UFO sighting, or whatever, and more likely to be found there than all the way at the bottom of the forums page in Fragile Earth. As I said before, it's something for those responsible to think about if they want to make it easier for ATS members (and I'm sure the mods can let the owners know).