It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
Originally posted by johnny2127
reply to post by The_Liberator
Well it actually hasn't been accurate. Temperature and weather models have been drastically off. The last 2 years alone have been the worst models, with the famous predictions of the worse winters and worst hurricane seasons in generations and then nothing......
As far as settled science, sorry my friend it really is far from it:
Man-made global warming/ man-made climate change is not settled science. 31,487 American scientists, 9,029 who hold PHDs, have signed a petition, that reads in part: There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide methane or other green house gases is causing or will cause, in the foreseeable future, catastrophic heating of the Earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the earth’s climate. Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases in atmosphere carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments on earth.
Leading scientist proponents of man-made climate change were caught recently exchanging e-mails exposing the fact that they had been less than honest with climate change data in order to “make” the data agree with their “settled science.”
LINK
Now I know you're going to say they were cleared by an independent investigation, but it wasn't independent at all.
Not independent
However, the science is not settled. Many renowned climatologists strongly disagree with the IPCC’s conclusions about the cause and potential magnitude of Global Warming. More than 20,000 scientists have now signed the Oregon Petition which criticises it as ‘flawed’ research and states that “any human contribution to climate change has not yet been demonstrated.” Dr Chris Landsea resigned from the IPCC because he “personally could not in good faith continue to contribute to a process that I view as both being motivated by pre-conceived agendas and being scientifically unsound.”
The IPCC claims that more than 2,500 respected scientists and policy makers collaborate to write its climate change assessments but less than a tenth of these ‘experts’ actually hold qualifications in climatology, most were in fact educated in the political and social sciences. The panel that edits and approves the reports are appointed by the United Nations, and more than half are actually UN officials. Dr Richard Lindzen, who is a genuine climate expert, resigned from the IPCC process after his contributions were completely rewritten by the panel.
"It's not 2,500 people offering their consensus, I participated in that. Each person who is an author writes one or two pages in conjunction with someone else. They travel around the world several times a year for several years to write it and the summary for policymakers has the input of a handful of scientists, but ultimately, it is written by representatives of governments, and of environmental organizations, each pushing their own agenda." - MIT's Professor of Atmospheric Science Dr. Richard Lindzen on the IPCC report.
Proclaiming that “climate change is real” is a nonsensical statement and ignores the Earth’s continual natural warming and cooling cycles. Vikings settled in Greenland and raised crops and cattle 1000 years ago, while Britons grew grapes in England. Four hundred years later, Greenland froze and the Vikings starved. Europe was gripped in a Little Ice Age. The Thames froze all the way up to London. Another surge in temperatures saw widespread global droughts in the mid-1600s. Temperatures plunged again around 1700’s. The globe warmed in 1800-1940, cooled for the next 35 years, then warmed again. The 1940-1975 cooling period occurred despite the fact that industrial production and release of CO2 vastly accelerated during this time. This led to political and media scaremongering about Global Cooling, and the threat of a new ice age.
Again, this arose out of a misunderstanding of long term temperature fluctuations. Scientists have discovered that the sun not only has a regular 11 year cycle of sunspot activity. They have now discovered a significant 200 year cycle. Sunspot and solar radiation activity almost exactly parallel temperature changes on the Earth. It correlates well with the anomalous post-war temperature dip, when global carbon dioxide levels were rising very fast. The increase in solar radiation prevents the formation of clouds, which have a cooling effect on the planet, therefore the temperature rises.
Apart from ignoring the giant ball of fire in the sky, Global Warming alarmists also overlook a few other inconvenient truths. They ignore the fact the natural emissions of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere far exceed human contributions. In fact humans contribute a measly 0.035% of the total annual carbon flux. Any system that can be perturbed by such a tiny fluctuation would be very unstable indeed. They also ignore the fact that water vapour is by far the most dominant greenhouse gas. The atmosphere consists of 40,000 ppm of water vapour, whereas carbon dioxide weighs in at a miniscule 380 ppm. Instead they rely on dubious computer models that the IPCC itself admits exclude complex parts of the climate system that they don’t yet understand.
Great read
Problems with accuracy of data due to how temperature is measured:
If you want to understand why the controversy over global warming won’t go away, forget combing through hundreds of hacked emails or trying to understand the enormously complex computer climate models that spit out predictions of our future doom. Instead, just check out the Marysville, California, temperature monitoring station that NASA and other climate researchers use to track temperature trends. The problems with the Marysville station represent in microcosm why the supposedly “settled” issue of climate change has become so unsettled in the last few months.
The Marysville temperature station is located at the city’s fire department, next to an asphalt parking lot and a cell phone tower, and only a few feet away from two air conditioning compressors that spew out considerable heat. These sources of heat amplification mean that the temperature readings from the Marysville station are useless for determining accurate temperatures for the Marysville area.
Indeed, the Marysville station violates the quality control standards of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). NOAA admits that stations like Marysville, sited close to artificial heat sources such as parking lots, can produce errors as large as 5 degrees Celsius. That is not the only shortcoming of the Marysville data; it turns out that daily data were missing for as many as half the days of any given month. Either the device failed to self-record, or no one recorded the daily data as procedure requires. NASA simply filled in the gaps in the data by “interpolating.”
Link
Look my friend, you are obviously a smart person. But what you need to realize is that data and stats are easily manipulated. Anyone can make a study aimed at proving or disproving anything and find data to support it. You can view a documentary, but they also set out to prove or disprove a certain point. According to you, 97% of climate scientists say global warming is man-made. But the flip side of this means that the research you did was hardly unbiased or independent. You basically did a ridiculous amount of research (which is great), but it was done by a bunch of scientist who have made entire careers based on their opinions and know that regardless of the truth, it won't be known in their lifetime. I'm not saying which side is correct. I'm just saying this entire thing has taken on a political nature, and that is also the case within the scientific community (which is tragic). Try to keep an open mind and not so doom and gloom. Either way, a human life is short viewed from the lens of the earth. If you're right, the earth will correct the problems on its own and human life may or may not survive. If you are wrong, the earth will still heat and cool and humanity will have to adapt to it. Either way, the science and debate is not settled, and both sides agree with that.
Originally posted by NoHierarchy
What's saddest to see is that the fossil fuel industry's propaganda has worked on so many of you...
Talk about lemmings.
I too have researched global warming much much further than most people, and I've given EVERY SINGLE AGW DENIAL ARGUMENT A CHANCE. I really did... and ya know what? Essentially ALL of them proved to be wrong and/or plain ignorant. After going deeper down the rabbit hole than probably most of you... the Theory of Anthropogenic Global Warming has only been strengthened in my mind.
The scientific debate ended decades ago, then a couple decades after that, the fossil fuel industry put out SERIOUS money, disinformation, propaganda, and political/media takeovers to convince people that there was a giant conspiracy. So essentially what happened is TPTB made you think that you are fighting them by denying global warming when you're actually playing right into their plutocrat hands. The fossil fuel industry is the WEALTHIEST INDUSTRY EVER TO EXIST ON PLANET EARTH, and for the world to take global warming seriously it would entail SERIOUS cuts to industry profits and their reign over our governments/planet. Do you really think they're gonna play nice? No. Here is the reality:
READ THESE NOW
www.greenpeace.org...
www.greenpeace.org...
www.ucsusa.org...
www.pbs.org...
www.grist.org...
www.skepticalscience.com...
climateprogress.org...
www.abovetopsecret.com...edit on 2-11-2010 by NoHierarchy because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by The_Liberator
Originally posted by NoHierarchy
What's saddest to see is that the fossil fuel industry's propaganda has worked on so many of you...
Talk about lemmings.
I too have researched global warming much much further than most people, and I've given EVERY SINGLE AGW DENIAL ARGUMENT A CHANCE. I really did... and ya know what? Essentially ALL of them proved to be wrong and/or plain ignorant. After going deeper down the rabbit hole than probably most of you... the Theory of Anthropogenic Global Warming has only been strengthened in my mind.
The scientific debate ended decades ago, then a couple decades after that, the fossil fuel industry put out SERIOUS money, disinformation, propaganda, and political/media takeovers to convince people that there was a giant conspiracy. So essentially what happened is TPTB made you think that you are fighting them by denying global warming when you're actually playing right into their plutocrat hands. The fossil fuel industry is the WEALTHIEST INDUSTRY EVER TO EXIST ON PLANET EARTH, and for the world to take global warming seriously it would entail SERIOUS cuts to industry profits and their reign over our governments/planet. Do you really think they're gonna play nice? No. Here is the reality:
READ THESE NOW
www.greenpeace.org...
www.greenpeace.org...
www.ucsusa.org...
www.pbs.org...
www.grist.org...
www.skepticalscience.com...
climateprogress.org...
www.abovetopsecret.com...edit on 2-11-2010 by NoHierarchy because: (no reason given)
Bravo on this post and ESPECIALLY the one just above. Brilliantly laid out.
But you know what's funny? I bet not one skeptic will change their mind....they never do. I don't believe they are capable of doing so no matter WHAT evidence they are shown.
They post [easily disprovable] nonsense, we point out their flaws, they post more nonsense and start to get angry, we point out their flaws, so they post more nonsense and get REALLY angry and start ranting about how brainwashed and stupid we are. It's almost pathological.....
edit on 3-11-2010 by The_Liberator because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by NoHierarchy
The notion that there is no convincing scientific evidence of AGW or its predicted consequences is a notion of PURE RUBBISH. It's totally uneducated to say that the science is "unconvincing"... according to WHOM?? To you? You don't matter, frankly, nor does Monckton or Lindzen or any of the other unqualified and/or paid-off hacks of AGW denial. It really sounds like YOU need to do your homework much deeper instead of taking right-wing propaganda sites for gospel simply because it feels good to you.
Originally posted by The_Liberator
I'm not bashing anyone. I'm simply pointing out that the majority of the posters on this site, for whatever reason, seem incapable of objectively looking at the evidence and coming to an informed conclusion.
To answer your question, there are a lot of people trying to convince the public about the seriousness of what we are facing. James Hansen (lead climatologist for NASA), Dan Miller (the guy in the video that no one watched, lol), Bill Mckibben, Ross Gelbspan, and on and on.
You can believe that Al Gore took on the cause of MMGW to get rich, but I believe he did it because he is empathetic and caring and terrified. I know you disagree, but that is what I believe.
And I am saying that it is man made and that 97% of climate scientists agree with me
As for your claim about CO2 lagging temperature: www.skepticalscience.com.
Deglaciation is not initiated by CO2 but by orbital cycles.
CO2 amplifies the warming which cannot be explained by orbital cycles alone.
CO2 spreads warming throughout the planet.
Google Video Link |
Google Video Link |
Originally posted by Limbo
Quote :-
Exhibit number 5:
Ocean acidification is considered the “evil twin” of global warming. CO2 dissolves in sea water to become carbonic acid which is slowly making the ocean inhospitable for the vast majority of marine life. Don’t believe me….then see exhibit number 6.
You don't know what you are talking about. The oceans are not going "acidic. "
The oceans are alkaline. To add an acid to an alkaline will make it neutral BEFORE it goes acidic.
You are repeating the same scare mongering alarmist rubbish which is politically biased.
Also note that an alkaline enviournment will also dissolve the exoskeletal frame work of marine life.
Why don't you comment on the amount of waste/rubbish mankind is putting into the ocean?
/Limbo
Ocean acidification is considered the “evil twin” of global warming. CO2 dissolves in sea water to become carbonic acid which is slowly making the ocean inhospitable for the vast majority of marine life. Don’t believe me….then see exhibit number 6.
You don't know what you are talking about. The oceans are not going "acidic. "
The oceans are alkaline. To add an acid to an alkaline will make it neutral BEFORE it goes acidic.
You are repeating the same scare mongering alarmist rubbish which is politically biased.
Also note that an alkaline enviournment will also dissolve the exoskeletal frame work of marine life.
Originally posted by lavenlaar
Co2 - natural occurance
Trees produce Oxygen from Co2
Humans need Oxygen to survive
--
Less trees in world + greater population = greater increase in Co2
EASY ! Plant a tree
Why was Co2 emissions at its lowest in the 1940's in the industrial age ?