Hurricane Watch 2010

reply to post by OceanStone


Indeed. Welcome to our next Hurricane. Danielle is now officially a hurricane!

And the new wave that just came off the coast that had a 10% chance of formation this morning, is now up to a 40% chance.

www.nhc.noaa.gov...

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 23 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OFF THE
AFRICAN COAST IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE...AND IT COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[edit on 23-8-2010 by lasertaglover]

[edit on 23-8-2010 by lasertaglover]

reply to post by lasertaglover


Thanks, lets hope this one steers clear like Danielle... keeping my eyes on it...

Make that a 60 % chance.....Guess I picked a good one

*** This is 96L not Danielle


www.nhc.noaa.gov...

www.stormpulse.com...

[edit on 23-8-2010 by freetree64]

[edit on 23-8-2010 by freetree64]

reply to post by freetree64


The Atlantic is really heating up now. It's up to 90% Chance now!

www.nhc.noaa.gov...

reply to post by OceanStone


Danielle will probably become a Cat 3 soon, but I do think the cold front that is going to push it away will be strong enough to give it the push it needs to keep it out over water.

However, that other tropical wave that is probably going to form today, has some projected paths that make me think we need to keep a close eye on that one.

www.stormpulse.com...

[edit on 24-8-2010 by lasertaglover]

Originally posted by lasertaglover

 

However, that other tropical wave that is probably going to form today, has some projected paths that make me think we need to keep a close eye on that one.

Good googly moogly... I'm gonna go take a look... thanks!

reply to post by OceanStone


Lol!

And a great, new hurricane term is coined...googly moogly. I love it!

With all of the activity in the Atlantic, I have not been watching Tropical Storm Frank in the Eastern Pacific off Mexico much at all. Even though it is offshore, parts of Mexico are going to get dumped on with rain.

www.nhc.noaa.gov...

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 241442
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092010
800 AM PDT TUE AUG 24 2010

...FRANK STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY AWAY FROM MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 101.4W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.4 WEST. FRANK IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FRANK SHOULD REMAIN
WELL OFFSHORE AND MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER TERRAIN IN OAXACA AND
GUERRERO PROVINCES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




[edit on 24-8-2010 by lasertaglover]

Earlier in this thread, a number of great links were posted and as we get into the heart of the hurricane season, I thought it might be good to re-post just a couple of them:

www.crownweather.com... (SWCCFAN posted it and it has everything that Hurricane fans would love)

and

www.disasterupdates.com... (Posted by asala and it has everything that Disaster trackers would want)

Being prepared is super important, but also knowing that something is coming helps too!

Downgrade - TD Danielle

000
WTNT31 KNHC 242040
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
500 PM AST TUE AUG 24 2010

...DANIELLE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...EXPECTED TO BE
TEMPORARY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 48.2W
ABOUT 895 MI...1445 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.2 WEST. DANIELLE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...BUT IS
EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH DANIELLE HAS WEAKENED TO A
TROPICAL STORM...RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND IT COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT OR ON
WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

Danielle's gonna be a pussycat, wait'll "Earl" gets ramped up, He's gonna be a wild one, I'm a telling ya.... Just checked out the "Stormpulse' link, and you can almost make out an evil looking face in the clouds, not trying to make anything of it, just an unusual occurence at best.... But add's to "Earl's" mystique....

We shall see, this is your week and half heads up......

www.stormpulse.com...

[edit on 24-8-2010 by freetree64]

reply to post by freetree64


That does not look good at all. Let's hope that it takes one of the tracks keeping him out to sea, because those other tracks really are potentially, really, really bad. Wow.

Woo ho finally some action in the Atlantic.

All this hurricane talk excites. Yes, I may be deranged but I enjoy severe weather whether it be snow storms or hurricanes.

I go North for the snow every year. Mother nature puts on a show not even Hollywood could compete with.

We can't stop hurricanes, yet. I say cook up a big pot of stew and ride out the storm.

I do pray no one gets hurt. I had to add that tidbit so you would know I am human and have feelings.

Bring it on Mother Nature.

Originally posted by lasertaglover

 

That does not look good at all. Let's hope that it takes one of the tracks keeping him out to sea, because those other tracks really are potentially, really, really bad. Wow.

Okay... you're freaking me out... lol... it's 6 in the morning, stubbling around with a cup of coffee and now blurry eyed trying to focus on storm pulse... haaa

The storms here have been every day and night, crazy lately...

I love how the NHC says a 'near 100 percent' chance of formation for the new wave in the next 48 hours. Yeah, definitely have to keep an eye on what will become 'Earl'.

And Danielle is a little bit stronger again, eh?


www.nhc.noaa.gov...
www.weather.com...

We are now back to Hurricane Danielle. the forcast models are stumped now - they do not know if this system will turn east go straight or west. Those in the Northeast ( that's me) need to follow this.


Hurricane DANIELLE Public Advisory
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Home Public Adv Fcst/Adv Discussion Wind Probs Maps/Charts Archive
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



000
WTNT31 KNHC 251440
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
1100 AM AST WED AUG 25 2010

...DANIELLE CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 52.3W
ABOUT 710 MI...1145 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES

ALSO - We have TD 7

000
WTNT32 KNHC 251441
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1100 AM AST WED AUG 25 2010

CORRECTED FOR ADVISORY NUMBER

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN
ATLANTIC...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 30.8W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 30.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

And Last but not least we have the brewing of TD 8, which should show up in a day - I am having difficulty posting the satellite.

This is from Klyston on Bay New 9

[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/7b60f9cf45e3.jpg[/atsimg]

Now I know it's hard to see because they have the Earth round but doesn't it look like this strom is heading right for us? (Florida)