posted on Feb, 14 2023 @ 09:53 AM
just some logical analysis from my part from reading through this event, the planes and equipment used and the explanation of the objects:
They sent AWACS up there to help take a look, this means the radar on the ground is either not powerful enough, has the incorrect line of sight to
spot it properly OR the payload which i read was cylindrical in shape would probably be a sort of ECM that jams ground equipment in a conical shape
this requiring an AWACS to send and receive radar signals above its horizon. people theorized it could be a payload and it is also a realistic theory
however it would be more realistic its simply a ECM to prevent being spotted.
case in point:
-octogonal shaped balloon had strings attached pointing downward, indicating it is the carrier, tho scant information about the payload leaves me to
beleive its kinda light or has its own gliding or lifting property.
-they sent an AWACS with a different angle to radar emissions
-the audio indicates sensor disruptions once they get too close, they are probably flying underneath it (because you know to get a better look you
gotta loo up, not forwards in a jet fighter) once they got a good look they proceeded to shoot it down which would require them to make a long
turnaround and then try to find it again (now the awacs is useful so they can always see it on their own screens sort of like in games with a minimap
hud)
-if it was a payload, where it was dropped and downed is said to be extremely hazardous and difficult to retrieve, why cant anyone else notice heat
signatures or activity of something or someone on the ground looking for it in advance, maybe the connection was not made yet.
case against the point:
-it was mentioned the payload was already dropped by the time the pilots decide to shoot it down
-information makes it seem as if the payload and octogonal shape was 2 entities and the payload was also drifting by itself, or with an extremely long
string attached, no info on how long this string was but by the information it must have been really REALLY long if it was still tethered and still
viewed as a seperate entity
Octogonal shape:
shape and material makes a difference when trying to evade radar signature, it reminds me of the Nighthawk with angular shapes to deflect radar away
and not back to the source. its not a pure ballon, rather its a semi rigid blimp, as reported it was "metallic"
cylinder shaped object:
This object was attached to the strings of the octogonal object which leaves me to conclude it was dropped on purpose hence the theory of a payload,
however im adamant its a sensor jammer they didnt want someone to find easily once spotted.
means of propulsion:
not much info on the hardware used, but the most likely propulsion as mentioned in the forum is actually heating and cooling of the gas in the ballon
causing the ballon to go lower or higher when desired. the chinese can estimate where the winds are going because we already have this data publicly
if you look it up. with some clever math they can estimate where it could be at certain altitudes with certain wind directions
still questions:
means of power what kinda power source? how long did it take to get to its location, would batteries be a bit too heavy for such a device with ECM
function? it needs power to heat and cool gasses the batteries probably got spent not long after it was detected