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Originally posted by BabyMD
well my bets are on and I'll be laughing all the way to the bank! And FYI, the UK aren't going to nuke latin america over the Falklands- don't be so naive. Look, I seriously don't want to get into an argument about this. I just think it's extremely presumptous to think that the outcome of this is firmly fixed in the UK's favour.
The entire political landscape of south america has changed in the last 30 years. And an arrogant Britsh presumption of victory could get a lot of people killed. Don't forget that the UK are actually in contravention of UN rules by refusing to simply enter into talks about this issue.
www.un.org...
Originally posted by 3DPrisoner
All Chavez and Argentina have to do (at this point) is keep the British concerned down there. By doing this the naval/air/land resources that will be required to protect that oil rig and the ones to follow will become economically unfeasible.
Chavez is not as stupid as a lot of these posters seem to believe. As to the members who are posting pictures of protests I ask you all to not be fooled by this. Chavez has had to contend with a disgruntled middle class every since he was elected. They protest regularly. Don't let that smoke and mirrors fool you.
From what I hear from my sources in Argentina, is that the president doesn't have a prayer of re-election. She and her cabinet have plundered the Argentine coffers and the people know this. But that's normal in South America.
Brazilian support should be worrisome though. If Brazil helps and in some way get's hit by British bombers or has some of it's ships sunk then I'd watch out here. Brazil has millions upon millions of young men who wouldn't mind a paycheck for a change.
Rather than gloating that Britain will make quick work of this situation I think the troubling possibility is that the bulk of South America could become united into a common cause of removing the yoke of anglo/gringo influence and perceived thievery of natural resources in their neck of the woods. Their countries have been exploited by oil cartels/and various conglomerates before.
I think what this will all come down to is who is going to become the next leader of Argentina and what will this man's feelings towards the anglo/gringo historical paradigm be. If he is a nationalist like Chavez, then look out Falklands especially in lieu of this continent wide support that seems to have quickly sprouted up.
I also caution the "This situation will be handled quickly" team that these are always the famous last words of those who go off to 4-6 year wars regularly.
In another post I pointed out that Latin America has a long memory and they still have not forgotten the School of the Americas and all of the niceties it brought down upon their people since the 40s. The days of South Americans being uneducated and unaware are over. Knowing their past I'm sure they have little patience for Northern tampering once again whether this is truly a case of it or not.
EDIT: Nicaragua, Brazil, and even Mexico has pledged support to Argentina in this conflict... This is starting to get interesting folks. So now this is expanding past South American unity clear into Central American support as well. This thing is picking up steam fast. I would not have suspected Central American backing....
So the stakes are climbing for the oil cartels now. He, he, good.
[edit on 23-2-2010 by 3DPrisoner]
Originally posted by nik1halo
reply to post by andy1972
As a working class Englishman from a mining family, I would add that Maggy's hand was forced by the Trade unions, who thought they could dictate policy of wages and other things in an economical crisis.
I'm by no means defending what she did, but I can understand it.
At the end of the day no-one was going to push her around. And to be fair, we did come out of the last Tory government in a very strong economic position.
Originally posted by 3DPrisoner
reply to post by hans kammler
I pointed this out a couple of pages ago. The stakes have indeed been raised for the oil cartels riding in the carriage with the Queen right now.
Brazil backing Argentina alone should be enough to give the clear thinkers here some pause. The only country down there that certainly wont help is Columbia but South America can get buy without them anyway.
...
Once again, I hope the very best for the British and that not one of them should lose their lives over this. But drilling off the coast of the Falklands is just a little too arrogant in my books for South America to have to sit and bear for too long. Here I think is the true underlining problem about this whole affair.
Originally posted by andy1972
reply to post by gusan
Would this have something to do with the fact that BBC news have stated that the majority of South America are saying that this is purely BS and propaganda on belhalf of Argentina.
Latin America is NOT behind Argentina.
Would it be that Señor Chavez suddenly feels very very very lonely in his sabre rattling and has decided that it would be better to talk the talk than walk the walk..
[edit on 22/02/2010 by andy1972]
Originally posted by Freeborn
reply to post by gusan
Sovereignty is non-negotiable whilst the occupants of The Falklands wish to remain British.
End of story.
Britain has offered to share development of the oil fields with Argentina who refuse to talk.
It is Argentina who are being obstinate and refusing to negotiate.