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Originally posted by damagedoor
Does it? Every sighting or experience has to be something, and surely Occam's Razor would favour them being phenomena we already understand and accept?
To put it another way, we can present evidence that people do hoax, misidentify and have mental problems. I can see a spread of those being explanations for the thousands of sightings. But what evidence is there that aliens exist and should be considered an equally acceptable explanation? Without that evidence, the volume of sightings surely means nothing?
Originally posted by EarthCitizen07
And if they are unidentified is it such a huge leap of imagination to assume they are extra-terrestial?
Originally posted by Nohup
Originally posted by EarthCitizen07
And if they are unidentified is it such a huge leap of imagination to assume they are extra-terrestial?
Well, actually, it is a bit of a leap. Without any additional evidence, an ET explanation is no better than saying they're ghosts, angels, demons or leprechauns.
Originally posted by riggs2099
reply to post by lifeform
I am not questioning what people see. I am just questioning thier declarations that these are alien craft....I want to know how they know this to be true. Now if they stated that it COULD BE and not THAT IT IS then maybe skeptics and believers could get along. Once we question the facts then and only then can we get the somewhere. We will never make headway with anyone if we continue to make declarations without proof to back it up, and this is why most believers and hardcore skeptics seem like religious fanatics. They don't need any proof...thier faith in what they believe is good enough.
[edit on 20-10-2008 by riggs2099]
Originally posted by lifeform
but some sceptics need to realise the same applies when they are speculating about the explaination, some sort of workable proof is needed rather than random wild guesses, that might be right but nobody knows.
its no different to wildly guessing its an alien craft, which might be right but nobody knows.
[edit on 20-10-2008 by lifeform]
Originally posted by Phage
Originally posted by lifeform
but some sceptics need to realise the same applies when they are speculating about the explaination, some sort of workable proof is needed rather than random wild guesses, that might be right but nobody knows.
its no different to wildly guessing its an alien craft, which might be right but nobody knows.
[edit on 20-10-2008 by lifeform]
There is a difference.
In presenting possible explanations, skeptics use known quantities, things and phenomena that are known to exist. The explanations may be hasty, incomplete, or just plain wrong but they are based on things we know are true. They are also sometimes (often?) shown to be correct.
There is no basis, other than there is no explanation, so it must be alien, for claims that they are alien. There is no way to know if any of them are actually alien.
The only truly "honest" way to handle it is by just leaving it at "unknown". But that's no damned fun for anyone. Is it?
[edit on 20-10-2008 by Phage]
Originally posted by damagedoor
Having read this thread as a skeptic, I remain unconvinced. Internos's explanation of the balloon clip was particularly excellent, and objections to it seemed a little desperate.
I'm curious though - are there any cases that skeptics and believers alike say "yeah, that's a bit weird" about? Obviously, there are examples where you can't say for sure either way, but what's the strongest evidence out there?
Originally posted by Nohup
Oh, I don't know anything about aliens. I don't know of any particularly good "explanation" for the odd things people see and experience. Yes, people do hoax, and they see hallucinations, and they misidentify common things. But they also are known to be capable of accurately seeing and describing what they experience. So that has to be part of the equation, and can't be ignored.
Originally posted by Nohup
So applying Occam's Razor exclusively to the sightings aspect of the phenomenon, then yes, the vast majority of things people see, experience and report is going to be something mundane. But since we know people can and do accurately see and describe what they experience, it's extremely unlikely that all of the sightings are inaccurate, and from the descriptions (again, assumed to be accurate) unlikely that we're talking about something mundane. It's a teensy, tiny percentage, but it's still there.
Originally posted by internos
Regarding the Concorde's footage, all i know is this: a group of students postulated that it was some kind of reflection, they even tried to re-create the same effect in flight, onboard a similar aircraft and filming a Concorde: the point is, i've never seen their analysis and nothing, in the movement of the camera, would suggest that what we see is a reflection. Unless the light source created the movement by itself, independently. Regardless its size, i would like to add that IF real, it was something controlled intelligently: it's way more far fetched to assume that it was a balloon than it was some kind of probe, or stuff like that. I could even make some search and post the results here, but as you can see i've wasted time enough in this thread
Originally posted by weneedtoknow
skeptics..... we`re coming for you
the game is almost up
Originally posted by weneedtoknow
skeptics..... we`re coming for you
the game is almost up
what you going to do when a craft lands and somebody gets out
youll still scream hoax!