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originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: SeventhChapter
A reminder of context seems to be called for.
This is the statement to which I was responding.
As far as mutations and the vaccine, it should not take more than a couple of brain cells to realize that a vaccine that does not stop the virus in its tracks will allow said virus to mutate.
Tell me, does no vaccine at all stop a virus in its tracks? Tell me, do viruses only mutate under the influence of vaccines?
But COVID-19 is also a different epidemiological beast than smallpox and polio—two diseases the US has eliminated through mass vaccination. The two historical viruses are ancient, so people had been living with them for centuries before the vaccines came around. Long before Washington inoculated his troops against smallpox, people in Africa, the Middle East, and elsewhere were applying the same method to survive the disease, Rogers explains. Similarly, babies may have gained immunity to polio from exposure to small amounts of the virus in contaminated water. COVID-19, on the other hand, is a novel disease derived from a more lasting class of viruses. Humans have little to no immunity to it, and vaccination is crucial to stopping its spread.
Even after everyone in the US who wants the vaccine gets it, COVID-19 will probably persist, in part because there’s no global plan for stemming the virus. With coordination across borders, the World Health Assembly declared smallpox eradicated in 1980, and there have been no cases of polio in several countries in the past few decades. But eradication of COVID-19 could be impossible for several reasons, according to a letter in The Lancet published last fall. The authors cited the fact that the virus spreads through non-human hosts and is asymptomatic in about 20 percent of those infected. For those reasons, many public health experts think that COVID-19 will likely come and go in waves like the flu. Unlike with smallpox, vaccines won’t signal the end of the virus—it will possibly just weaken it so that it feels like the common colds people have come to expect each winter.
Even with vacciation it is not believed covid will be eradicated or capable of eradication.
if a vaccine doesn't actually aid the body in killing off the virus,
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: 727Sky
As far as mutations and the vaccine, it should not take more than a couple of brain cells to realize that a vaccine that does not stop the virus in its tracks will allow said virus to mutate.
And without vaccines viruses don't mutate?
That's what makes this claim so specious. Mutations don't happen because of any particular thing (except maybe a random cosmic ray strike). That's not the way it works.
HIV is a special kind of virus. A retrovirus. Quite different from most viruses and very problematic to deal with. But perhaps new technologies can be successful against it. Someday.
Why is it impossible to make a hiv vaccine?
So "natural" immunity isn't a wall? Isn't it the bestest, strongest immunity of all?
You put a fence in front of it, and it gets over because your fence was instead a tall doorstep, the there is a risk the virus will adapt to this.
That is what is known as a false dichotomy. It is a logical fallacy.
They either have no clue about what they are doing or saying or they are lying through their teeth.
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: themessengernevermatters
Even with vacciation it is not believed covid will be eradicated or capable of eradication.
Which has nothing to do with my point.
If you have a vaccinated person infected and their immune system is attacking it and then it gets transferred into another person whose immune system isn't even fighting covid yet, that virus would go from a hostile environment fighting for it's life into an open environment, while still waging the war.
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: themessengernevermatters
If you have a vaccinated person infected and their immune system is attacking it and then it gets transferred into another person whose immune system isn't even fighting covid yet, that virus would go from a hostile environment fighting for it's life into an open environment, while still waging the war.
How is this different from an infected unvaccinated person whose immune system is attacking the virus infecting someone?
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: themessengernevermatters
There is evidence that before Delta became dominant the vaccines were effective in reducing transmission.
There is evidence that the vaccines are still very effective in reducing the severity of infection, which was the only thing claimed by the Stage 3 trials.
If the severity of infection is reduced one might speculate that the duration of infection is also reduced. Reducing the opportunity for mutation. One might speculate.
But what about all the other bugs which the body is dealing with, will this change make it easier for them to get on the cell wall.
Probably mutates before it does that, actually. And the longer someone is infected, the greater the chances of a bad mutation.
Every time the virus moves into a new host it can mutate.