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originally posted by: chr0naut
originally posted by: myselfaswell
a reply to: chr0naut
At 1 chance in 1,000, if you come into close enough contact with 1,000 infected people, like in a crowd, you're going to get it. That's how the numbers work.
So using that logic, if I buy a lottery ticket of which there's only 1000, I'm definitely going to win.
The fear mongering is nauseating.
No, you got the probability wrong. If there are only 1,000 lottery tickets, and you buy 1,000 of them, you are going to win.
originally posted by: Gothmog
originally posted by: chr0naut
originally posted by: myselfaswell
a reply to: chr0naut
At 1 chance in 1,000, if you come into close enough contact with 1,000 infected people, like in a crowd, you're going to get it. That's how the numbers work.
So using that logic, if I buy a lottery ticket of which there's only 1000, I'm definitely going to win.
The fear mongering is nauseating.
No, you got the probability wrong. If there are only 1,000 lottery tickets, and you buy 1,000 of them, you are going to win.
The Laws of Probability would show there is a chance you would not .
If there was 1,0000 tickets , and 10,000 possible outcomes , would one have a 100% chance ?
No .
originally posted by: chr0naut
originally posted by: Gothmog
originally posted by: chr0naut
originally posted by: myselfaswell
a reply to: chr0naut
At 1 chance in 1,000, if you come into close enough contact with 1,000 infected people, like in a crowd, you're going to get it. That's how the numbers work.
So using that logic, if I buy a lottery ticket of which there's only 1000, I'm definitely going to win.
The fear mongering is nauseating.
No, you got the probability wrong. If there are only 1,000 lottery tickets, and you buy 1,000 of them, you are going to win.
The Laws of Probability would show there is a chance you would not .
If there was 1,0000 tickets , and 10,000 possible outcomes , would one have a 100% chance ?
No .
OK, whatever. I'm fairly sure that lottery companies that set lotteries with such long odds, such that it is unlikely that anyone would win, would come under government scrutiny for fraud and theft.
originally posted by: myselfaswell
a reply to: chr0naut
At 1 chance in 1,000, if you come into close enough contact with 1,000 infected people, like in a crowd, you're going to get it. That's how the numbers work.
So using that logic, if I buy a lottery ticket of which there's only 1000, I'm definitely going to win.
The fear mongering is nauseating.
originally posted by: myselfaswell
a reply to: chr0naut
No, you got the probability wrong.
It's actually got nothing to do with probabilities, it's much much simpler than that.
If you're scared of getting sick because you'll be in a big crowd, #$%^@ stay at home.
originally posted by: Gothmog
originally posted by: chr0naut
originally posted by: Gothmog
originally posted by: chr0naut
originally posted by: myselfaswell
a reply to: chr0naut
At 1 chance in 1,000, if you come into close enough contact with 1,000 infected people, like in a crowd, you're going to get it. That's how the numbers work.
So using that logic, if I buy a lottery ticket of which there's only 1000, I'm definitely going to win.
The fear mongering is nauseating.
No, you got the probability wrong. If there are only 1,000 lottery tickets, and you buy 1,000 of them, you are going to win.
The Laws of Probability would show there is a chance you would not .
If there was 1,0000 tickets , and 10,000 possible outcomes , would one have a 100% chance ?
No .
OK, whatever. I'm fairly sure that lottery companies that set lotteries with such long odds, such that it is unlikely that anyone would win, would come under government scrutiny for fraud and theft.
Wouldn't that apply as well to folks that publish inaccurate information ?
originally posted by: DBCowboy
a reply to: Brassmonkey
Masks are an indicator of control and obedience.
2nd
Masks and respirators do not work.
There have been extensive randomized controlled trial (RCT) studies, and meta-analysis reviews of RCT studies, which all show that masks and respirators do not work to prevent respiratory influenza-like illnesses, or respiratory illnesses believed to be transmitted by droplets and aerosol particles.
originally posted by: Chalcedony
a reply to: chr0naut
Ok so I am following your logic on how the vaccines aren't "perfect" but, in your estimation when will it be "safe" to take the masks off? In my little hamlet we were at about 95% unmasked this entire "pandemic" and now i haven't seen anyone at all wearing a mask since the CDC said vaccinated people don't have to wear masks anymore. So when will it be safe to not wear a mask?