Corona Virus Updates Part 6

I think they will find deaths in genral will be very low this year.
from all the people who have to stay in!
it will lower car accidents and many other accidents.
less shooting on the street. less work accidents.

the air pollution Has gone down a lot.
less work pollution and less uses of cars.
tho W.H.O saty its high and will kill more ?

more people will die becuse hospitals are saying stay away!
they must keep them empty for cov19 !

Something I found of interest with regards to the number of deaths world wide; before to many things became political... This is from Wednesday, December 13, 2017, 6:30 p.m. ET
www.cdc.gov...

According to new estimates published today, between 291,000 and 646,000 people worldwide die from seasonal influenza-related respiratory illnesses each year, higher than a previous estimate of 250,000 to 500,000 and based on a robust, multinational survey.

The new estimate, from a collaborative study by CDC and global health partners, appears today in The Lancet. The estimate excludes deaths during pandemics.

“These findings remind us of the seriousness of flu and that flu prevention should really be a global priority,” says Joe Bresee, M.D., associate director for global health in CDC’s Influenza Division and a study co-author.

And nobody really panics that 1.35 million worldwide die each year in car accidents, never shut down travel for that? Interesting to see this years figures when the virus is over.

originally posted by: 727Sky
Something I found of interest with regards to the number of deaths world wide; before to many things became political... This is from Wednesday, December 13, 2017, 6:30 p.m. ET
www.cdc.gov...

According to new estimates published today, between 291,000 and 646,000 people worldwide die from seasonal influenza-related respiratory illnesses each year, higher than a previous estimate of 250,000 to 500,000 and based on a robust, multinational survey.

The new estimate, from a collaborative study by CDC and global health partners, appears today in The Lancet. The estimate excludes deaths during pandemics.

“These findings remind us of the seriousness of flu and that flu prevention should really be a global priority,” says Joe Bresee, M.D., associate director for global health in CDC’s Influenza Division and a study co-author.

So our first quarter numbers (over 170,000 deaths) are more than half the low end yearly deaths from flu ... or 1/3 the high end number.)

Right. And that's with the infection rate and death rate still rising.

a reply to: Byrd

I noticed on the daily New Zealand update the hospital admissions for flue like symptoms have dropped to insignificant figures compared to last year. Their is virtually no respiretory illness in New Zealand at the moment due to the restrictions.

originally posted by: Willtell
Does anyone know why the US just seems to not be able to get enough tests?


I know about the early blunders, the US not taking the WHO test, that the CDC's first test didn't work.

I can't get anything not even from googling it since it shows you only early March info.

Are they too expensive, hard to make, hard to produce, what?

I searched

covid-19 test kit shortage USA

using a google-based search engine and this article from 3 days ago was the top search result:

Covid-19 testing kits: What are they, who makes them, and why are there shortages?

both the UK and US are still reportedly a long way behind the likes of Germany and South Korea in terms of patients being tested.

We take a closer look at the testing kits used to detect Covid-19, and why shortages of these critical pieces of equipment are becoming such a prominent issue in the response to the outbreak...

“The demand is by far outstripping the supply”

The demand outstripping the supply is part of the problem, especially for some chemicals used in the kits, but there are issues with validating the accuracy of new tests and the belief that "no test is better than a bad test" because a bad test telling someone they are free of the virus (if they aren't) may have worse consequences than not getting tested at all. So new test kit designs have to be validated as meeting certain accuracy levels, and that takes some time, though apparently the FDA has made some allowances to fast-track the process.

Update Apr.20/20
Wuhan Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Global Cases (by JHU CSSE)

gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com...#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

Canada *** Total= 37,264 ***
19,319-Quebec, 12,279-Ontario, 2,908-Alberta, 1,699-British Columbia,
721-Nova Scotia, 316-Saskatchewan, 254-Manitoba, 118-New Brunswick,
257-Newfoundland & Labrador, 26-Prince Edward Island,
5-Northwest Territories, 11-Yukon, 13-Grand Princess,

coronavirus.1point3acres.com... USA & Canada Updates

www.worldometers.info...

Hawaii continues to trend downward in positive test results. Today Oahu showed no new positives, only four statewide.

IMPORTANT U.S. Hydroxychloroquine Development:

The U.S. Department of Justice on Monday cited "extreme urgency" in clearing U.S. pharmaceutical distributors from legal hurdles in order to provide the anti-malaria drug Hydroxychloroquine to coronavirus patients.

The Justice Department penned a response letter Monday notifying one of the country's largest wholesale drug distribution companies, AmerisourceBergen, that antitrust hurdles have been removed as part of an "expedited, temporary review procedure."

The DOJ letter dated April 20th, says the drug corporation is now set to work with federal government agencies and health care providers to distribute hydroxychloroquine to patients with coronavirus symptoms.

The anti-malaria drug has been controversially touted by President Donald Trump as a "treatment" for COVID-19, the illness caused by the novel coronavirus, despite reports from organizations including the American Heart Association that the medication exacerbates fatal heart problems and has not faced U.S. clinical trials.

But the Monday DOJ letter indicates the drug's distribution is now being fast-tracked and allows AmerisourceBergen, which was sued in 2017 for allegedly worsening the opioid drug crisis, to temporarily "act as the U.S. Government's hydroxychloroquine distribution agents" without legal concern over antitrust violations as they address supply chain shortages.

"One initiative is the distribution of hydroxychloroquine from the Stockpile to health care providers in areas of greatest need," reads the Justice Department letter from Assistant Attorney General Makan Delrahim. "In this distribution initiative, AmerisourceBergen and other distributors act as the U.S. Government's distribution agents. The U.S. Government will instruct AmerisourceBergen on the amount of hydroxychloroquine it will receive and where the hydroxychloroquine is to be sent."

More at: www.newsweek.com...

originally posted by: Byrd
Novartis to open hydroxychlor oquine trials in the US

FULL TITLE:
Novartis to sponsor large clinical trial of hydroxychloroquine in hospitalized COVID-19 patients

Novartis has reached an agreement with the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to proceed with a Phase III clinical trial with approximately 440 patients to evaluate the use of hydroxychloroquine for the treatment of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 disease. The clinical trial drug supply will be provided by Sandoz, the generics and biosimilars division of Novartis.

The large trial sponsored by Novartis will be conducted at more than a dozen sites in the United States. Novartis plans to begin enrollment for this study within the next few weeks and is committed to reporting results as soon as possible.

discussion: A Phase III clinical trial is where they've checked the drug in labs and in live animal models and now they want humans for a formal study.

Novartis is not the only one doing a Phase III clinical trial in May.. Ultomiris is also moving to clinical trials in May Alixion is doing a clinical trial of Ultomiris ...and others are doing the same.

a reply to: Phage

Seems to be the concensus in a lot of places.... cases are dropping pretty fast (or actually not attrition but no addition)… It raises an eyebrow for me though.

Financial Times corona page with many interesting pictures


Link

White House Tells Federal Workers to Prepare to Return to Work

Which makes me wonder how many workers were NOT working from home.

From the article:

“Agencies are encouraged to allow federal employees and contractors to return to the office in low-risk areas,” Vought wrote in the memo.

But the memo said to allow employees to work from home until state and local authorities begin reopening their economies under the three-phase plan the White House outlined last week.

This means there's going to be a patchwork approach, which may not ultimately work out well.

List: When stay-at-home orders are set to expire in all 50 states Also: current death tolls, and when daily deaths are predicted to peak

Some states are complying with Trump's wishes to end the stay at home orders on May 1st. Some states are not. These dates are of course subject to change; some states recently extended their stay at home orders. The expected peak date of daily deaths varies somewhat by state.

UPDATED: April 20, 2020 at 12:24 p.m.

While President Donald Trump has expressed his desire to reopen the nation’s economy by May 1, many of the nation’s governors and mayors who hold the power to enforce closures seem to disagree.

Governors in three regions have announced coalitions in which states will coordinate their economic reopenings:

California, Oregon, Washington.
New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Delaware, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island.
Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky.

The following list details where states stand in their plan to lift shutdown orders; it was updated April 17. After each state’s listing is its COVID-19 death toll as of April 16, and the peak date for daily deaths as projected by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, assuming social-distancing rules remain in place.

A chart at the bottom of the article depicts the order expirations in graphic form.

Alabama: Stay-at-home order set to expire on April 30. A task force will present a plan this week to Gov. Kay Ivey. (142, April 23)

Alaska: Residents have been ordered to stay at home until further notice. Gov. Mike Dunleavy plans on reopening the state as early as next week. (9, April 4)

Arizona: Stay-at-home order will expire on April 30 unless extended. (169, May 2)

Arkansas: No stay-at-home order. Schools have been closed for the rest of the academic term. (37, May 4)

California: No set end date. Gov. Gavin Newsom said he will coordinate with the governors of Oregon and Washington to reopen the economy once six benchmarks have been reached. (973, April 19)

Colorado: Stay-at-home order extended until April 26. (374, April 13)

Connecticut: Mandatory shutdown extended until May 20. (971, April 26)

Delaware: Stay-at-home order until May 15 or until the “public health threat is eliminated.” (52, April 10)

District of Columbia: Stay-at-home order until May 15. (86, April 11)

Florida: Stay-at-home order until April 30. Gov. Ron DeSantis is considering re-opening schools in the state. (686, May 6)

Georgia: Shelter-in-place order until April 30. K-12 public schools will remain closed through the end of the school year. (650, May 3)

Hawaii : Stay-at-home order at least through April 30. (10, April 22)

Idaho: Stay-at-home order extended through April 30. (41, April 10)

Illinois: Stay-at-home order through at least April 30. (1072, April 8)

Indiana: Stay-at-home order extended through May 1. (519, April 10)

Iowa: No stay-at-home order. Nonessential businesses have been ordered to close until April 30. (64, May 6)

Kansas: Stay-at-home order extended until May 3. (80, April 30)

Kentucky: The “Healthy at Home” campaign, in effect indefinitely, is phrased as an advisory rather than an order, though Gov. Andy Beshear has said it amounts to a directive to remain at home. School districts statewide have been advised to suspend in-person classes until at least May 1 and prepare for possibly closing through the rest of the school year. (129, May 1)

Louisiana: Stay-at-home order through April 30. (1213, April 8)

Maine: “Stay Healthy at Home” executive order through at least April 30. (29, April 13)

Maryland: Statewide stay-at-home order in effect indefinitely. (425, April 18)

Massachusetts: No stay-at-home order. All non-essential businesses closed until May 4. (1245, April 29)

Michigan: Stay-at-home order extended through April 30. The governor has issued four factors she will take into consideration when determining a reopening date: sustained reduction in cases, expanded testing and tracing capabilities, sufficient healthcare capacity, establishment of best practices for the workplace. (2093, April 10)

Minnesota: Stay-at-home order extended through May 3. (111, April 29)

Mississippi: Shelter-in-place order extended through April 27. Schools will remain closed for the rest of the semester. (129, April 22)

Missouri: “Stay Home Missouri” order extended through May 3. (168, April 29)

Montana: Stay-at-home order extended through April 24. (8, March 30)

Nebraska: No stay-at-home order. Hair salons, tattoo parlors and strip clubs have been ordered closed through May 31. “21 Days to Stay Home and Stay Healthy” campaign, which ends on May 1, emphasizes six rules: staying home, socially distancing at work, shopping alone and only once a week, helping kids social distance, helping seniors stay at home, exercising at home. (24, May 5)

Nevada: Stay-at-home order until April 30. (142, April 7)

New Hampshire: Stay-at-home order until May 4. (34, April 9)

New Jersey: Stay-at-home order has no specific end date. (3518, April 8)

New Mexico: State’s emergency order extended to April 30. (44, April 28)

New York: Schools and nonessential businesses ordered to stay closed until May 15, and non-essential gatherings of any size are banned. (16736, April 10)

North Carolina: Stay-at-home order effective until April 29. (166, April 13)

North Dakota: No stay-at-home order. Schools, restaurants, fitness centers, movie theaters and hair salons are closed. (9, April 11)

Ohio: Stay-at-home order in place until May 1. (389, April 13)

Oklahoma: “Safer at Home” order extended until May 6 for people over the age of 65 and other vulnerable residents. (131, May 1)

Oregon: Stay-at-home order “remains in effect until ended by the governor.” She will coordinate with the governors of California and Washington on a West Coast economic reopening. (64, April 27)

Pennsylvania: Stay-at-home orders across the state until April 30. (837, April 18)

Rhode Island: Stay-at-home order extended until May 8. (118, May 4)

South Carolina: “State of Emergency” executive order extended through at least April 27. (109, May 2)

South Dakota: No stay-at-home order. (7, May 2)

Tennessee: Stay-at-home order extended until April 30. (141, April 13)

Texas: All Texans ordered to stay home through April 30. (418, April 30)

Utah: No stay-at-home order. “Stay Safe, Stay Home” campaign extended through May 1. Schools will be closed for the remainder of the school year. (21, May 3)

Vermont: “Stay Home, Stay Safe” order extended until May 15. (35, April 4)

Virginia: Stay-at-home order effective until June 10. (231, April 28)

Washington: Stay-at-home order extended until May 4. (583, April 6)

West Virginia: Stay-at-home order until further notice. (13, April 20)

Wisconsin: “Safer at Home” order extended until May 26. (197, April 5)

Wyoming: No stay-at-home order. Through April 30, schools are closed, gatherings of 10 or more people in a confined space are prohibited, and bars, restaurants and some personal-service businesses are closed. Anyone entering the state except for essential work must quarantine for 14 days. (2, May 7)

Some disturbing news out of Russia. Remember the May day parade every year with Russian troops and Russian hardware, well, it has been cancelled. There were 15,000 troops participating in rehearsals marching parading etc etc ..

The head of St Petersburg's Nakhimov cadet school, who had been rehearsing for the parade, told the Fontanka media outlet on April 16 that he was in hospital with a fever and had been tested for the coronavirus, though his results had not yet come back.

TV footage of rehearsals showed thousands of troops marching in lockstep next to one another at a training ground outside Moscow earlier this month. There was no evidence of social distancing and none of them were shown wearing masks.

Hope for the best but this does not sound good.
newsletter.thaivisa.com...

ONS figures for the week ending 10th April released in UK today. These show deaths for the week of 18K which is 8K above the 5 yearly average. Sobering numbers and pretty clear this is not just ‘normal’ deaths reclassified as COVID.

a reply to: Agit8dChop

I hope everyone has seen this thread. "Everybody here's been vaccinated" - White House.

www.abovetopsecret.com...

a reply to: DavidMK

Apparently it’s a 20 year high (including deaths outside of hospital which is included for the first time, I think)

Deaths in England and Wales have risen sharply above what would be expected, hitting a 20-year high. The Office for National Statistics said there were 18,500 deaths in the week up to 10 April - around 10,000 more than is normal at this time of year. More than 6,200 were linked to coronavirus, a sixth of which were outside of hospital.

www.bbc.co.uk...
Extra factors... people dying because they avoided hospital make it higher, but I’m guessing that people not dying because lockdown is reducing transport deaths, crime and other stuff probably makes the figures lower.

Corona Virus Expectation Update:

The military has extended its Stop Movement thru June. This goes slightly against what I've been saying about the government extending the lockdown a couple of weeks at a time. Cat's out of the bag now.

One big one: A Senior Army Commanding General predicts "a future akin to the period after the Sept. 11th terrorist attacks."

originally posted by: Byrd
So there you are, kids. Get outside, smile at the sunshine (from a correct social distance) and take your vitamin D. It won't PREVENT anything but it might give you an edge. Tell your household members. Tell your friends. If anyone asks in a skeptical manner, tell 'em a little Byrd-ie told you about it.

It won't prevent or resolve anything at those doses, no...

But at therapeutic doses - 5-50,000IU, it can and will, especially when you combine it with co-factors - K2, E, Selenium/Magnesium/Zinc, and you have what amounts to a miracle - but what it is is the miracle that is the human immune system and the human biological system.

Like Vitamin C. All of the studies that show no or little efficacy use low/non-therapeutic doses.

This is how they control the narrative that their drugs are the only way.

The good news is, this is changing, and it is changing because of what they are doing. The tighter they squeeze, they more slips through their fingers.

a reply to: Arbitrageur

Here's a Filterable List from Finddx.org, of all of the the Covid-19 test kits available, or in development, worldwide.