Corona - Covid19 - General Discussion

a reply to: saladfingers123456

Good post!
Have anything for Canada?
Case Counts
TIA

Keeping in mind British Columbia is neighbours to Washington state , with people crossing the line all day to shop etc

So far for British Columbia:
8 confirmed cases including four patients who have recovered, as indicated by the resolution of symptoms, followed by two successive negative test results 24 hours apart.
1,012 individuals and 1,425 samples tested as of February 27, 2020.*

The political stuff is fine up to a point, but not when it starts to get a bit emo. That's all. It can be very triggering and then you end up on the roundabout for many comments and everything before it is derailed and buried. That's all.
If a post is orientated towards mud slinging, then it probably doesn't belong.
It is tricky, and hard to find that line. No doubt we're going to get frustrated at political figures not being honest with us. When that is called out, then their supporters will respond and off it goes. Considered wording is probably the best approach.

I just think that the information will tell us way more than governments. Personally I can't invest in them enough to waste my breath condemning them or defending them. Even now I'm wasting minutes I could be in bed talking about them lol.

So anyway, last word on it is just to be mindful. I don't want to keep going on about it. It's not a massive deal.
Right, bed time for me. Sleep well you all... or if you just got up, good morning and have a good day!

originally posted by: violet
a reply to: saladfingers123456

Good post!
Have anything for Canada?
Case Counts
TIA

Keeping in mind British Columbia is neighbours to Washington state , with people crossing the line all day to shop etc

So far for British Columbia:
8 confirmed cases including four patients who have recovered, as indicated by the resolution of symptoms, followed by two successive negative test results 24 hours apart.
1,012 individuals and 1,425 samples tested as of February 27, 2020.*

I'll plug that one in tomorrow. Canadas figures seem very low looking at the map. Maybe I didn't pay enough attention. Will fill it in in the morning!

a reply to: saladfingers123456

Your predictions may well be a valuable resource, especially for those of us who want to self quarantine when numbers get to a certain point. Also for those intending to bug out to more secure locations and avoid quarantines.

Thank you.

Realise Aus has only one case of person to person so data may to low, but if it is possible, could you please do an estimate for here?

a reply to: primalfractal

Yep will do! Aus and Canada tomorrow.

originally posted by: saladfingers123456

originally posted by: violet
a reply to: saladfingers123456

Good post!
Have anything for Canada?
Case Counts
TIA

Keeping in mind British Columbia is neighbours to Washington state , with people crossing the line all day to shop etc

So far for British Columbia:
8 confirmed cases including four patients who have recovered, as indicated by the resolution of symptoms, followed by two successive negative test results 24 hours apart.
1,012 individuals and 1,425 samples tested as of February 27, 2020.*

I'll plug that one in tomorrow. Canadas figures seem very low looking at the map. Maybe I didn't pay enough attention. Will fill it in in the morning!

Canada has done more testing too, supposedly more test done in B.C.(not surprising) than all of the U.S.

a reply to: saladfingers123456

Great, thanks again

Apologies, i just cant figure this site out and where to properly click/post but I been tellin my hubby for over a month to prepare n not panic. Well today he finally says hes so ready (and i was right, i know) jk lol to stock more so not to have to go out extra n hes crazy with it (maybe cuz hes a fan of certain four chin trolls?) But we go to walmart n hes embrarasing me in aisles with overdoing it ( mass rice n powder milk extra)!?And etc. But what and how do i tell him that the whole time he was coughing slightly and not covering?! I always cover my mouth but ppl dont want his germs even if its just a smokers cough???!!! Someone please link me that type of things, i say "cough n sneeze go x amount of inches/ feet etc but im livin with a potential super spreader!!! Should he just live in the shed? Sarcasm is majority of my rant but geeze!!!

I wonder if:

...the medical staff who toiled so long and so hard to save lives will be remembered as people who failed or gave so much to save the lives they could. The number of medical staff who died must be large.

...all of the medical staff everywhere will receive the care they need after this is over for the trauma they endured is great.

...those countries just now experiencing the virus will take the time and set aside the resources to see that the needs of all medical staff are attended to as the disease spreads and takes it toll on the patient and care givers.

...we all can find it within ourselves to honor and thank all those who give so much to take care of our family and friends touched by this disease.

I think we can.

a reply to: tgidkp

Would it be possible for you to give us an estimate of CFR, with reinfection factored in? I realize it probably won't be pretty, but know your enemy and that.

Here’s what coronavirus does to the body
National Geographic

This was yesterday in our town. No need to panic though. Really I mean that. The shelves get restocked in the morning.

a reply to: saladfingers123456
Thanks, we have 27 cases; 18 in Ontario, 8 in BC and one in Quebec I believe

Saw this on King 5 News Seattle - they said it updates every 2 hours. It mutates each time it’s passed to another and replicates, is what they said , unless I misheard that part

Here is a live map of the strain mutation: Link

a reply to: saladfingers123456
What do you make of these calculations?

seekingalpha.com...

Pope tests negative for coronavirus, Italy report says
Source

I'm curious, what do each of you think the most likely outcome of this is, given where we are now? How do you see this unfolding now?

Update Mar. 2/20 - 11pm EST
Wuhan Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Global Cases (by JHU CSSE)
gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com...#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

Canada
17-Toronto,Ont., 8-British Columbia, 1-London,Ont. 1-Quebec =27
Cruise Ship 43-Canadians are currently infected -- Total 27+43=70
www.canada.ca... nuary-4-2018/canadas-pandemic-plan.html

Mar.01/20 - Four more cases in Ontario. Two who travelled to Iran, one who was in contact with someone from Iran, and one who was in contact with someone from Egypt.
Three men in their 40s, 50s and 60s and a woman in her 70s.
Canada is now at 24.
www.cbc.ca...

Mar. 02/20 - Toronto Public Health (TPH) is monitoring six positive cases of the novel coronavirus: COVID-19 in Toronto. To date, there have been two other confirmed cases reported in Toronto. Both of these people have since recovered from their illness. TPH continues to work with our provincial and federal health colleagues along with airports in response to this situation. At this time the virus is not circulating locally, however given the global circumstances, TPH is actively working with City and health partners to plan for the potential of local spread.

Mar. 02/20 - Ontario has three more cases. This brings Canada’s total to 27 (8 in BC, 1 in Quebec and 18 in Ontario). www.cbc.ca...

www.toronto.ca...

Feb. 27/20 - 131 more confirm + 139 Iran = Total 270
Feb. 28/20 - 118 more confirm + 270 Iran = Total 388
Feb. 29/20 - 205 more confirm + 388 Iran = Total 593
Mar. 1/20 - 385 more confirm + 593 Iran = Total 978
Mar. 2/20 - 523 more confirm + 978 Iran = Total 1,501

Feb. 25/20 - 93 more confirm + 229 Italy = Total 322
Feb. 26/20 - 131 more confirm + 322 Italy = Total 453
Feb. 27/20 - 202 more confirm + 453 Italy = Total 655
Feb. 28/20 - 234 more confirm + 655 Italy = Total 889
Feb. 29/20 - 239 more confirm + 889 Italy = Total 1,128
Mar. 1/20 - 566 more confirm + 1,128 Italy = Total 1,694
Mar. 2/20 - 342 more confirm + 1,694 Italy = Total 2,036

Feb. 24/20 - 130 more confirm + 763 South Korea = Total 893
Feb. 25/20 - 253 more confirm + 893 South Korea = Total 1,146
Feb. 26/20 - 449 more confirm + 1,146 South Korea = Total 1,595
Feb. 27/20 - 427 more confirm + 1,595 South Korea = Total 2,022
Feb. 28/20 - 909 more confirm + 2,022 South Korea = Total 2,931
Feb. 29/20 - 595 more confirm + 2,931 South Korea = Total 3,526
Mar. 1/20 - 686 more confirm + 3,526 South Korea = Total 4,212
Mar. 2/20 - 600 more confirm + 4,212 South Korea = Total 4,812


multimedia.scmp.com...

JHU press release about the development of the dashboard:
hub.jhu.edu...

Save this Preparedness and Response Plan offline
www.hopkins-cepar.org...
Also
www.who.int...

Whatever country you live in, and whatever you think of your government, they probably are not this bad. At least we hope not.....

Stunning! Iranian Regime Is Selling Air Freshener Disguised as Anti-Bacterial Spray to Its Citizens
Sour ce

a reply to: Mamana12 RE: likely outcome
You are in US IIRC, what state, what size city, how much land between cities, what is your demographic and comorbidity risks? All makes a big difference.

JMHO!

One of my 70-ish Aunt and Uncle live on a self sufficient farm in extreme rural Wisconsin, and is upping her self-isolation beyond their norm. This wont even be a minor irritation for them.

One of my 70-ish Aunt and Uncle live very urban subdivision in a mid size city in Ohio. She is super smart, very healthy, has been preparing for the worst, and is more concerned about Grandma in a nearby care facility than anything else. My best guess it she has a good chance of getting an unpleasant case late April, but a low chance of having a severe case.

Grandma's situation outlook, not good. Roll of the dice unless the care facility is really up on their game.

School nurse daughter, apartment dweller in big midwest city, probably already had it, didnt notice any difference from the other 8 flu's and colds she had since Jan1. She will likely enjoy the break, hanging out with her friends while the school is close.

Wife and I, locked in our fenced compound until summer with a year's provisions, well, orchard, greenhouse, diesel generator, my biggest risk is incarceration after shooting a wannabe looter. She will enjoy more time to socialize online with long distance freinds.

Again, JMHO based on what I have read and watched.