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originally posted by: Maverick7
Anyway, on my 'Science side' I'm in the John Gribbin camp - Rare Earth Hypothesis I think there might be 'sentient' human-relatable civilizations at the rate of about 1 per 10 habitable galaxies, but that spreads things out very very thin.
We'll never contact each other and due to expansion of the fabric of space time we won't be able to if the Relativity model of the Universe is correct.
originally posted by: JohnnyAnonymousBut I know I'll be entertained by the new film by Jeremy Kenyon Lockyer Corbell as I was with the SkinWalker and John Lear films he did...
originally posted by: Maverick7
a reply to: vinifalou
I have a one or two page thesis I wrote a while ago on how one of the "tells" of a claim is if it includes the line,
"We Reverse Engineered It" or we were hired to 'Back Engineer the Technology'.
You basically can not 'Reverse Engineer' anything beyond some very simple concurrent system.
If there is a time component over 1-5 years in a rapidly developing field (like aeronautical radar/stealth, radar absorbent coatings and so on' it is hopeless unless you have the 'method of production' laid out in great detail. Even then they might have some kind of accidental-proprietary part of it that you'd never figure out, though you might make an analog of a 'low radar observable thing' or figure out how to use other methods of detection, as it is alleged someone did of the F-117, (they say nope, and we've moved on to heat-signature cloaking and just being at 85 Angels,).
One of the other 'tells' is, IMO, the totally unnecessary inclusion of the 'ET' papers part and 'where they came from', and the dissection photos.
In a compartmentalized system there is no reason to have the RE guys and physicist be burdened down with pointless biological or star system information.
In fact ask yourself how the S4 project guys verified that it was ZR-2, planet 4, and why the 'ET' would TELL YOU, where they lived. That's kind of stupid if not pointless.
It tells me that BL put that in there to tweak John Lear. (or he and JL cooked up the story together and BL could not get JL to keep his gubby paws off the story, b/c the 'ETH' would only cook the story too much).
I'm not saying this is a truth or anything, but it's a hunch based on looking for 'tells'. FWIW
originally posted by: Maverick7
a reply to: one4all
I'll say this. You don't explain an improbable event (Breaks the laws of our physics) by adding layer after layer of other more improbable events then then say 'there, look at that'.
I was only talking about how his 'story' has certain tells the make me go 'hmmm'. Bob is very 'believable and charming' but that is not evidence of reality or veracity.
He tells a good story - not evidence of veracity or reality.
He is consistent and unchanging - not evidence of truth.
HTH
Let's put it this way. What if there was some super rich group of 'stage magicians' who figured out a way t make an S-4 base and have all that happen so that a smart guy like Bob is fooled? The saucer test and coronal discharge is a powerful drone and he is in the hanger and can't see it.
I'd say very unlikely but I suppose it could happen.
BUT it is orders and orders of magnitude MORE likely than the explanation that it is little grey men from ZR to thrill and excitement we hairy ape-like creature with bling which is what BL is believing. I mean who can BLAME him if these Billionaire-hoaxrs do a great job, like 10x the stage magician of Davide Copperfield?
You sound like you're saying you know something special. Well a lot of people talk, no disrespect, But they are all hat and no cattle, I think>? What about your take?
originally posted by: Maverick7
a reply to: one4all
Actually I am a very big Mantis Shrimp fan. I have a big painting of one by a great artist hanging in my bathroom.
I love that thing with his supersonic claw rap ability.
I don't quite get your point? Can you spell it out in English words and phrases minus the ellipses?
Thanks. I'll def pass that one on, It's gorgeous,
Probability of time synched carbon-based sentient, not too different (TSCBS-NTD) life in our own Galaxy right "now' - scant. Maybe 0.01%
Actually I am a very big Mantis Shrimp fan. I have a big painting of one by a great artist hanging in my bathroom
originally posted by: Gazrok
Probability of time synched carbon-based sentient, not too different (TSCBS-NTD) life in our own Galaxy right "now' - scant. Maybe 0.01%
Conservatively, our galaxy has 100 billion stars. Given your percentage above, that means that your "scant" 0.01% translates to only 100 million stars with sentient life. (if my math is right)
originally posted by: Gazrok
a reply to: Soylent Green Is People
Right, but even at .000001% it's 100,000 stars with sentients (just in our galaxy). And this is still being VERY conservative with the stat factors....
That's why the idea of us being alone is nearly statistically impossible.
(technically, I suppose .000001% is 1000, as it would really be .00000001 as a factor, but still, I think you can see that it still means a lot of sentients out there....)