Ebola Epidemic Could Become Global Crisis

a reply to: joho99

Quick question. Why is the NYTimes reporting that Guinea's counts are unreliable - it's Liberia's counts that are most erratic and incomplete?!

The C.D.C.’s model is based on data from August and includes cases in Liberia and Sierra Leone, but not Guinea (where counts have been unreliable).

a reply to: soficrow

The earliest time i can find the sentence " includes cases in Liberia and Sierra Leone, but not Guinea (where counts have been unreliable)" is from the 24 of September
thezman.com...

With numerous copy' pastes afterwards in different news media.

It could just be human error.

First case in Mali.

Malian authorities have now quarantined and are monitoring 43 people who have been in contact with the infected girl. They include 10 health workers.

The girl is being treated in the western town of Kayes.

She was brought to a local hospital on Wednesday and her blood sample was Ebola-positive, Malian Health Minister Ousmane Kone said.

from BBC:

www.bbc.co.uk...

Dozens of people are being monitored in Mali after the country confirmed its first case of Ebola.

The patient is a two-year-old girl who recently arrived from Guinea

Now I know why Phoenix Air aka Ebola Express keeps flying to Dakar, Senegal. Doctors Without Borders is spreading Ebola from West Africa to Europe and North America. Here is the latest track for N163PA heading for Dakar, Senegal from Bermuda. flightaware.com...

Conakry, Guinea — Doctors Without Borders insisted Friday, after one of its doctors who worked in Guinea came down with Ebola in New York City, that self-quarantines are not necessary when there are no symptoms of the disease. Craig Spencer arrived back in New York about a week ago, reported a fever on Thursday and is now being treated at a New York hospital. Some countries have banned travelers from the three main Ebola countries — Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone — and the U.S. started health screening of travelers arriving from there. In a statement sent to The Associated Press from Dakar, Senegal, Doctors Without Borders said that having its staffers quarantine themselves after leaving a country with Ebola is going too far if no symptoms are evident. A person infected with Ebola is not contagious until he or she starts showing symptoms.

www.detroitnews.com...

a reply to: Mikeultra

Doctors Without Borders may be the only agency in the world operating without a political agenda. They face incredible dangers, willingly, just to help people. Please do not slander them.

Note: this is the number of cases reorted to the WHO - and also note, Liberia hasn't reported.

Ebola outbreak: Cases pass 10,000, WHO reports

The number of cases in the Ebola outbreak has exceeded 10,000, with 4,922 deaths, the World Health Organization says in its latest report.

Only 27 of the cases have occurred outside the three worst-hit countries, Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea.

Those three countries account for all but 10 of the fatalities.

Mali became the latest nation to record a death, a two-year-old girl. More than 40 people known to have come into contact with her have been quarantined.

a reply to: soficrow

Dr. Craig Spencer was working in Guinea for Doctors Without Borders treating Ebola patients, yet he thought it was perfectly fine to return home to the New York, USA via Belgium. He exposed everyone on those flights to Ebola. He then thought it was OK to ride around the city on subway trains, taxi cabs, went bowling at two different alleys, and went shopping at a produce market touching fruits and vegetables. How disgusting! Now he has tested positive for Ebola!

Don't tell me that Doctors Without Borders is holier than hell. They obviously have no qualms about bringing Ebola out of Africa! These doctors should be flown on charter flights only, and when they want to return home they should be locked up in mandatory quarantine for at least 2 months on Ellis Island.

Doctors Without Borders gets funding from billionaire Bill Gates, who believes in depopulation! Why do you think they're spending all their money over in Africa poisoning the people with vaccines? They're thinning the herd!

A Médecins Sans Frontières (Doctors Without Borders) screening and treatment site for neglected tropical diseases in rural Uganda.

www.gatesfoundation.org...

Mass drug administration. In areas where several infectious diseases are prevalent and can be treated with the same drugs or a similar schedule of drug treatments, we support efforts to coordinate the various components of large-scale drug administration programs, such as obtaining commitments to donate drugs.

www.gatesfoundation.org...

Rethinking the Goodness of Doctors Without Borders Outbreaks Coincided With Their Vaccine Campaigns

"Just two weeks before WHO spokesperson Glenn Thomas was allegedly killed in the mysterious MH17 crash, he played a vital role in defusing WHO Ebola hype and a martial law declaration in July. "In a press briefing in Geneva on June 27th, Thomas introduced WHO’s Ebola expert Pierre Formenty, who categorically denied that Ebola was “out of control” , as reporters and Doctors without Borders suggested. "WHO’s own figures on confirmed Ebola cases show Ebola is under control. "There is no Ebola epidemic. "It is a scandal that an Ebola emergency was declared. "There was no out of control swine flu outbreak in 2009 and there is no out of control Ebola outbreak in 2014.

exopolitics.blogs.com... l

Doctors Without Borders is funded by NWO freaks, billionaire elitists, the UN, and the WHO. In my book they are no good. That's my opinion whether you like it or not.

a reply to: Mikeultra

I've done extensive research on so-called charities, and MSF comes out on top. Red Cross for example gets a huge fail from me - big problems starting with endemic corruption.

MSF has decades of experience with Ebola, and based on that experience has clear guidelines for their doctors and healthcare workers. ...Like many, I remain concerned that this new strain (and coming mutations/adaptations) may not have the same characteristics as previous strains, but MSF is still in the best position to evaluate. imho.

....
Guidelines set out by MSF state that returning medics should stay within four hours of a hospital with isolation facilities, but do not require that they avoid crowds so long as they do not display symptoms.

“As long as a returned staff member does not experience any symptoms, normal life can proceed,” the organisation says. “Family, friends, and neighbors can be assured that a returned staff person who does not present symptoms is not contagious and does not put them at risk. Self-quarantine is neither warranted nor recommended when a person is not displaying Ebola-like symptoms.”

Just a quick FYI - I have returned from my trip (into Ebola country USA!) and have updated the Ebola charts with what seems to be the latest 'official' data available, which includes the new case and the new death in Mali, the new case in New York from late last week, and the sharp increase in reported cases from Liberia:

Updated Ebola charts

More bad news. It seems the virus has take a hold again in Sierra Leone:

Ebola is spreading up to nine times faster in parts of Sierra Leone than it was two months ago. "Whilst new cases appear to have slowed in Liberia, Ebola is continuing to spread frighteningly quickly in parts of Sierra Leone," according to a report by the Africa Governance Initiative. On average, 12 new cases a day were seen in the rural areas surrounding Freetown in late October, compared with 1.3 cases in early September, the report said, a nine fold increase. Transmission was also increasing rapidly in the capital Freetown, with the average number of daily cases six times higher than two months ago.

www.3news.co.nz...

Its also still killing 'Doctors', even with all the protection they have. 5 Docs have died in Sierra Leone.

edit on CSTMon, 03 Nov 2014 08:38:42 -06000000003008x042x0 by TruthxIsxInxThexMist because: (no reason given)

originally posted by: jadedANDcynical
a reply to: Olivine

If we are seeing such a logarithmic uptick in cases, we need the same rapid increase in trained health care workers and supplies to take care of the sick, and that isn't happening

Properly equipped and trained to use said equipment within a BSL-4 environment at that.

Is any help coming?

originally posted by: Olivine
a reply to: jadedANDcynical

According to the presenters from today's panel, no.
In fact, yesterday, Liberian health care workers were on strike, because they don't have enough protective equipment.
The US pledged 3000 troops to build and operate ebola clinics, but so far we have sent 300.
.
[snip]
.

Any news about our troops in Africa.. other than them returning and possibly being quarantined. Did they do good stuff there? Just wondering.

Obama seeks $6 billion from Congress to fight Ebola in Africa, United States

One snippet i found interesting is some of the money will be used for 50 ebola treatment centers in the United States.

But unfortunately no information about how many people each ebola treatment center will house.

Latest news on 'Sierra Leone' outbreak is that its spreading in other areas faster than it was...

The number of new cases of Ebola in Sierra Leone has jumped dramatically, putting paid to any hopes that the infection rate is slowing. Official figures released by the minister of health and sanitation show there were 111 new cases registered on Sunday, the highest daily rate since the ministry started publishing figures in August. There were 45 new cases the day before, including 24 in the capital, Freetown. Laboratory results for patients in Freetown, which include the new British army-built Ebola hospital, showed 40 new cases on Sunday. There was also a spike in the number of cases in Port Loko, a district north of Freetown where there is still no treatment centre and where, until recently, corpses were left lying on verandahs, in hospitals and in houses for days before collection. The figures come days after warnings by the UN that Ebola cases in Sierra Leone are being underreported by up to 50%.

www.theguardian.com...

111 new cases Sunday alone which means its not dying out as some have reported on ATS. But having said that, with the deaths being at just over 5k, is it really as bad as has been made out? Since February, there's been 5k deaths! Doesn't really sound like much (out of the amount of population in the affected Country's!). I'm trying to put some perspective onto this. I think the next 3 Months will tell us if this virus is really going to turn into a Pandemic but at the moment I'd call it an 'Endemic'.

There is a new Ebola outbreak in Mali. They thought they had contained the first outbreak to just one reported case. So far there have been no new cases reported as coming from that case. But this new outbreak is unrelated:

A total of 4 confirmed and probable cases, including 4 deaths, have now been reported in Mali... The most recent cases are in Bamako. They are not related to the country’s first EVD case, who died in Kayes on 24 October.

SOURCE: WHO

I've updated the Ebola charts with the latest data from WHO, including the new cases and deaths reported in Mali:

Latest Ebola chart updates

There are also starting to be more suspected cases in Mali that have not yet been reported by WHO, including a doctor who treated one of the new cases that was not identified until after the patient's death when a nurse who also treated the patient came down with Ebola:

Mali Ebola clinic in lockdown, doc thought to have virus

Here's more info regarding Mali...

Malian health authorities on Wednesday reportedly confirmed that one of the doctors at the clinic also had Ebola. And, since the death of the nurse, the clinic has been closed and more than 90 people, including 10 U.N. peacekeepers, have been quarantined. The mosque in Bamako, where the imam’s body was washed, has also been put under quarantine, but so far there is no news of anyone falling ill, The Times reported.

Source www.ibtimes.com...

Cheers
Ektar

so, how's the epidemic coming along?

originally posted by: IShotMyLastMuse
so, how's the epidemic coming along?

There are some possible improvements in Liberia that give some hope. And there is a new outbreak just starting in Mali. But mostly the Ebola epidemic continues to grow with relatively little change:



Ebola - my visual charts & projections based on WHO data

originally posted by: Ektar
Here's more info regarding Mali...

Thanks. Unfortunately, they didn't realize that the imam who died had Ebola until one of the nurses who treated him became ill and tested positive for Ebola and other people connected to the imam became ill and died. Apparently the imam did not have a fever or any symptoms of Ebola other than kidney failure. This is according to officials and a doctor from Mali in this video on Reuters.

No precautions were taken while treating or burying the imam, so many people were exposed.



Ebola - my visual charts & projections based on WHO data

Enforcing travel bans and restrictions during a global pandemic has been proven to be ineffective in past cases. Is there ever a reason that it would be effective? Do you think if Ebola persists like it is, will restricting travel to and from certain high-risk area be a plausible tactic to try and slow the spread?

The spread has slowed again, but it's not over. The WHO will not meet it's goal of 'no new cases in 2015.'

GENEVA, January 5. /TASS/. The number of people killed by the Ebola virus has reached 8,153, ….(and) A total of 20,656 cases of the Ebola virus disease (EVD) have been reported, the report said. The data refer to Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone.

However, under-reporting means the number of deaths and cases is probably much higher, the WHO says.

In one Liberian village, the Ebola outbreak did not spare a single mother

Ebola wipes out every mother in Liberian village

In Joeblow, Liberia, every mother has been killed by Ebola leaving a village full of confused and devastated children