Quake Watch 2014

reply to post by Nyiah


your right same name different island,, ill try to do better. my bad.

reply to post by muzzy


Thanks for the info, muzzy, but has that always been the case?

Idaho just hit with a relatively big one, nearly 5.0:

M4.9 - 15km N of Challis, Idaho
earthquake.usgs.gov...

Followed closely by a 3.2:

M3.2 - 12km NW of Challis, Idaho
earthquake.usgs.gov...

yup!

www.isthisthingon.org...



www.isthisthingon.org...

The Challis area quakes having been getting larger over the past month. Idaho had a large one in 1983.
Is something bigger in the works?


USGS past 30 days, mag 2.5 and larger, list showing largest-to-smallest

reply to post by Rezlooper

I'm not sure, only been watching the Network pages since 2006.

Solomon Islands are no strangers to M6+ quakes
F_E193 Solomon Islands History
that's Centennial List 1901 up to 1959 and ANSS from 1963 to now
by no means a complete map, along with the 2 M8's shown, I have another M8.1 in 1919 by NOAA, they seem to have a few big ones, based on Tsunamis, that the others don't list.

Date/Time: 1919/5/6 19:41:12
Lat: -5 Long: 154
Region: N of Bougainville, PNG
Ms: 8.1
Depth: 25 km
Tsunami: yes
Source: noaa

Bougainville Island used to be part of the Territory of Papua New Guinea, administered by Australia, but now its an autonomous region of the Solomon Islands

reply to post by Olivine


Just watching an interview with Stan Deyo, he indicated that his studies have shown that the deeper areas of the Yellowstone magma chamber may have opened up a vent to the North-West heading towards Mount St. Helens.
He could be full of hot air too though...
Stan Deyo

Got something for muzzy or puterman to answer
www.abovetopsecret.com...

reply to post by aLLeKs

Puterman is the one for the long term trends, with the graphs and such
I'll leave it to him.
It has been asked in the past at various times, I believe the trend was going down since the Japan quake in 2011
Numbers mean nothing, its the energy released that matters

reply to post by PuterMan

Never the less my 'guess' is Chile high 7, lo 8 in April and either preceded or followed quickly by low to mid 7 in Santa Cruz/Vanuatu - looking at around April 21

Close enough for me to send you a and a .

Nailed it did you. Impressive most it is.



P

So, is the heliplots page on the USGS site accurate, or is this a bunch of glitching graphs? Ok, sort of rhetorical, I'm pretty sure that's the visual for "rang the Earth like a bell" that the Solomons 7.6 produced. I often forget to check the page, so the almost total blackout on a lot of these was an eyebrow raiser.

Honiara heliplot

And another big one there.

M7.7 - 117km S of Kirakira, Solomon Islands 2014-04-13 12:36:18 UTC


Event Time

2014-04-13 12:36:18 UTC
2014-04-13 23:36:18 UTC+11:00 at epicenter
2014-04-13 08:36:18 UTC-04:00 system time

Location

11.500°S 162.100°E depth=20.0km (12.4mi)
Nearby Cities

117km (73mi) S of Kirakira, Solomon Islands
328km (204mi) SE of Honiara, Solomon Islands
706km (439mi) NW of Luganville, Vanuatu
928km (577mi) SE of Arawa, Papua New Guinea
961km (597mi) NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

Another one:

M 7.7 - 117km S of Kirakira, Solomon Islands

Tsunami Warning Center
Time2014-04-13 07:36:18 UTC-05:00Location11.500°S 162.100°EDepth20.0km

000
WEPA40 PHEB 131246
TSUPAC

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1246Z 13 APR 2014

THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.

... A TSUNAMI WARNING IS IN EFFECT ...

A TSUNAMI WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR

SOLOMON ISLANDS / VANUATU / PAPUA NEW GUINEA

FOR ALL OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN... IT IS FOR
INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 1236Z 13 APR 2014
COORDINATES - 11.5 SOUTH 162.1 EAST
DEPTH - 20 KM
LOCATION - SOLOMON ISLANDS
MAGNITUDE - 7.7

EVALUATION

IT IS NOT KNOWN THAT A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. THIS WARNING IS
BASED ONLY ON THE EARTHQUAKE EVALUATION. AN EARTHQUAKE OF THIS
SIZE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THAT CAN
STRIKE COASTLINES IN THE REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER WITHIN MINUTES
TO HOURS. AUTHORITIES IN THE REGION SHOULD TAKE APPROPRIATE
ACTION IN RESPONSE TO THIS POSSIBILITY. THIS CENTER WILL MONITOR
SEA LEVEL GAUGES NEAREST THE REGION AND REPORT IF ANY TSUNAMI
WAVE ACTIVITY IS OBSERVED. THE WARNING WILL NOT EXPAND TO OTHER
AREAS OF THE PACIFIC UNLESS ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED TO
WARRANT SUCH AN EXPANSION.

ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
-------------------------------- ------------ ------------
SOLOMON ISLANDS KIRAKIRA 10.4S 161.9E 1258Z 13 APR
SANTA_CRUZ_ISLA 10.9S 165.9E 1314Z 13 APR
AUKI 8.8S 160.6E 1318Z 13 APR
HONIARA 9.3S 160.0E 1324Z 13 APR
MUNDA 8.4S 157.2E 1336Z 13 APR
GHATERE 7.8S 159.2E 1341Z 13 APR
FALAMAE 7.4S 155.6E 1355Z 13 APR
PANGGOE 6.9S 157.2E 1359Z 13 APR
VANUATU ESPERITU_SANTO 15.1S 167.3E 1341Z 13 APR
PAPUA NEW GUINE WOODLARK_ISLAND 9.0S 152.9E 1408Z 13 APR
AMUN 6.0S 154.7E 1409Z 13 APR
KIETA 6.1S 155.6E 1418Z 13 APR

BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
THE TSUNAMI WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.

reply to post by Cherryontop



We saw it at the same time but you were the Cherry on Top

reply to post by aLLeKs


I responded to you

www.abovetopsecret.com...

reply to post by Nyiah

so how long have the USGS heliplots been back up?
guess I missed the memo

7.2Ms to 7.6Mww now
LDEO=7.2Ms
GEOAU=7.27Mwp
USGS=7.4Mww
GCMT=7.4Mw
GEOFON=7.4Unk
GSRAS=7.4Ms, 6.9mb
EMSC=7.8Mw
as the Aussies say;
THIS INFORMATION HAS NOT YET BEEN FINALISED

If you are doing any ongoing projects the best bet is to give it 24 hrs, then come back in 7 and 30 days and check again

Certainly looks like this Bougainville-South Solomon Trench area will have an M8 some time soon, 7.1, 7.4, 7.6 ...... (depending which network)

reply to post by muzzy


Any guesstimates fast forwarding about 50-150 years . . . ???

Will the Solomon Islands likely, plausibly have new land arising from the seabed?

Fracturing apart of the islands there?

A ridge of land arising in a long narrow way?

How about down to NZ . . . will there be new lands emerging between the two regions . . . a la Edgar Cayce?