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ZetaRediculian
reply to post by K-PAX-PROT
So how did McDonald miss this fantastic information? How come he could not conclude without a doubt that ET was here? -500 interviews.
-can only conclude ETH is a possibility
-Based on that there was no other competing explainations 45 years ago.
-Not based on witness testimony
-Branches of psychology dealing specifically with perception barely existing as a field of study
How can this be?
To look at the evidence and go away unconvinced is one thing. To not look at the evidence and be convinced against it nonetheless is another. That is not science. Do your homework!
I see myself a bit like the kid standing next to the kid looking through the hole in the big tall fence at the baseball game. This means that the closest I am getting to inside information will be a recounting of what is going on in there. I myself am definitely not an insider, but certain contacts I have acquired and/or befriended over a long period of time seem to be on the periphery of some kind of inside which appears to contain at least remarkable information, and apparently more than that. Let me be (somewhat) more specific. I now have three completely independent examples of individuals whom I trust reporting to me that individuals they trust have admitted to handling alien artifacts in "our" possession in the course of secret official duties.
(The special access level in the one case for which I know it is R, a not widely known SCI level whose existence was finally verified for me by someone who himself had a very high access level, though short of that one, as being "reserved for someone at the very top." I do not know, however, whether it is specifically reserved or designated for this topic.) It is interesting that from the clandestine intelligence world perspective the scientific community, for all of its technical and theoretical sophistication, is viewed as remarkably naive in certain respects. We scientists tend to think that we know better than anyone else what is possible and what is impossible, and that we of all people could surely not be kept in the dark for very long.
Over the course of time I have learned how it would indeed be possible to maintain decades-long secrecy on this topic and why this might be justified, concepts I myself once dismissed (see Black Special Access Programs, also Some Thoughts on Keeping It Secret). My impression is that the justification may be waning at last. (For some insight on the origin of this situation see the book UFOs and the National Security State: An Unclassified History. Vol. 1: 1947-1973 by Richard Dolan; also The Missing Times by Terry Hansen which documents the history of ties between the national media and the intelligence community.)
K-PAX-PROT
ZetaRediculian
reply to post by K-PAX-PROT
So how did McDonald miss this fantastic information? How come he could not conclude without a doubt that ET was here? -500 interviews.
-can only conclude ETH is a possibility
-Based on that there was no other competing explainations 45 years ago.
-Not based on witness testimony
-Branches of psychology dealing specifically with perception barely existing as a field of study
How can this be?
Still not provided any credible scientific data that proves beyond doubt there is no possibility of ET intelligence's out there with the required technologies to have in place a stealth observational agenda with us??
You still have not provided any real credible evidence that totally debunks the conclusions that McDonald reached on those cases that were backed up by radar hits, multiple witness testimonies ect .
You have an agenda of answering questions not with answers but with questions, your attempt at trying to pass off ALL UFO cases involved with military pilots ect as nothing more than mental discrepancies reeks of desperate straw clutching...
As i have stated at the onset of this thread my take and probably McDonald's is that we are being observed, why has there been no definite proof of ET in UFO cases but only an ET hypothesis, well that i feels is down to the level of the technology involved with "high strangeness cases" , remaining in a stealth like mode would be easy to achieve with the right technology, there will only ever be proof when those ET intelligence's provided it or lets us observe it, have you ever considered that they are the ones in total control of any disclosure of their presence ...
I just feel that after looking at those cases he investigated and the conclusions he reached through the data at his disposal and the witnesses he interviewed the ET hypothesis is a valid possible possibility.When all avenues of mundane explanations have been ruled out including investigation methods ect then we are left with other avenues, like unknown atmospheric origins , black ops; ET,
Now if we were observing a civilization from a hands off or distant observational agendas would you want to be detected?? would you not make sure that you remained in "stealth mode" for the foreseeable??
Is it not the case that the ET hypothesis has adequate evidence to be a very plausible and credible origin of number of alternative explanations for those cases deemed unsolvable by not only the past but also today's current understandings and that there are those who do not want the ET hypothesis as having any ground at all or to be included in those alternative explanations, yes would be my answer.
That there is raw high strangeness data ,(flight characteristics),contained in some cases investigated by McDonald backed up by military radar and also has multiple witnesses that rules out your rather amusing "mental discrepancies" and misconceptions and false memory traits explanations it makes me really believe that you have not looked closely ,(if any at all), at the actual data contained in those "high strangeness" cases investigated by McDonald.
Do you realize how condescending and patronizing it sounds and comes across from someone who is telling someone they are wrong or having some mental discrepancies in what they saw regardless of other independent witnesses who witnessed the same stimuli, that one of those independent witness was in a fighter jet sent up by another independent witness who happened to be the air force base commander who gave the order to scramble based on another of those independent witnesses who just happened to be a radar operator who acknowledged this object, then other independent witnesses were observing it through binoculars on the ground......., now in what possible way can these set of stimulus and events be attributed to mental discrepancies, false memory traits or hallucinations or false memory stimuli of the events... The above has convinced me that you are not paying attention, ignoring the real data of cases that have the above data of events in them, not paying attention to all the independent witness testimonies that make redundant your false memory and mental discrepancies conclusions...
You would do well in taking on board this verified quote from a very respectable scientific physicist Bernard Haisch when he quote the below...
To look at the evidence and go away unconvinced is one thing. To not look at the evidence and be convinced against it nonetheless is another. That is not science. Do your homework!
Then this rather remarkable revelation from Bernard Haisch, who evels from sources he trusts that they have been privy to have handled what they described as "alien material"... when we have such respectable and highly credible sources coming out with such information then when is it time to start paying attention to them, them your "mental" or "misconceptions" to physical stimuli as being a acceptable ,credible and scientific conclusion is not justified for multiple witness and radar , pilot cases..., the fact that you offered it in the first place is based on not paying real attention to the actual data and avoidance tatic of those cases that still remain unsolved...
I see myself a bit like the kid standing next to the kid looking through the hole in the big tall fence at the baseball game. This means that the closest I am getting to inside information will be a recounting of what is going on in there. I myself am definitely not an insider, but certain contacts I have acquired and/or befriended over a long period of time seem to be on the periphery of some kind of inside which appears to contain at least remarkable information, and apparently more than that. Let me be (somewhat) more specific. I now have three completely independent examples of individuals whom I trust reporting to me that individuals they trust have admitted to handling alien artifacts in "our" possession in the course of secret official duties.
(The special access level in the one case for which I know it is R, a not widely known SCI level whose existence was finally verified for me by someone who himself had a very high access level, though short of that one, as being "reserved for someone at the very top." I do not know, however, whether it is specifically reserved or designated for this topic.) It is interesting that from the clandestine intelligence world perspective the scientific community, for all of its technical and theoretical sophistication, is viewed as remarkably naive in certain respects. We scientists tend to think that we know better than anyone else what is possible and what is impossible, and that we of all people could surely not be kept in the dark for very long.
Over the course of time I have learned how it would indeed be possible to maintain decades-long secrecy on this topic and why this might be justified, concepts I myself once dismissed (see Black Special Access Programs, also Some Thoughts on Keeping It Secret). My impression is that the justification may be waning at last. (For some insight on the origin of this situation see the book UFOs and the National Security State: An Unclassified History. Vol. 1: 1947-1973 by Richard Dolan; also The Missing Times by Terry Hansen which documents the history of ties between the national media and the intelligence community.)
link for the two above quotes;
www.ufoskeptic.org...
K-PAX-PROT
K-PAX-PROT
ZetaRediculian
reply to post by K-PAX-PROT
So how did McDonald miss this fantastic information? How come he could not conclude without a doubt that ET was here? -500 interviews.
-can only conclude ETH is a possibility
-Based on that there was no other competing explainations 45 years ago.
-Not based on witness testimony
-Branches of psychology dealing specifically with perception barely existing as a field of study
How can this be?
Still not provided any credible scientific data that proves beyond doubt there is no possibility of ET intelligence's out there with the required technologies to have in place a stealth observational agenda with us??
K-PAX-PROT
[zquote] K-PAX-PROT
[zquote] K-PAX-PROT
[zquote] ZetaRediculian
reply to post by K-PAX-PROT
So how did McDonald miss this fantastic information? How come he could not conclude without a doubt that ET was here? -500 interviews.
-can only conclude ETH is a possibility
-Based on that there was no other competing explainations 45 years ago.
-Not based on witness testimony
-Branches of psychology dealing specifically with perception barely existing as a field of study
How can this be?
Simple, real visual stimuli caught on radar then witnessed by other individuals of the SAME stimuli ,(UFO), then pilots being ordered to scramble and engage or investigate the visual stimuli caught on radar then witnessed by other individuals is why it is relevant.
I honestly have no idea what you are talking about.
Please produce credible evidence that all independent witnesses in the cases McDonald investigated were simply suffering from a mental discrepancy or were victims of the malleability of human memory, the Misinformation Effect, and false memory syndrome and its relation to recovered memory therapy.
You are i feel really scrapping the bottom of the debunking barrel if you are seriously offering the conclusion that the same people can be suffering from an illusionary visual stimuli that not only was recorded on radar, had fighter jets engaging them exct..
well that i feels is down to the level of the technology , remaining in a stealth like mode would be easy to achieve with the right technology, their will only ever be proof we those ET intelligence's provided it , have you ever considered that they are the ones total control of any disclosure of their presence ...
Since when did radars record or multiple witnesses see or be experiencing Cognitive psychology ,of mental processes such as "attention, language use, memory, perception, problem solving, and thinking ..
Are you seriously suggesting that a renowned atmospheric physicist was basing all his conclusions on the witness data , mainly from military witnesses in some cases more than one wittiness to any UFO report, that was nothing more than Cognitive psychology, if that is your conclusions then the military had some real mental problems with most of its base commanders and fighter pilots,
, i am just glad that you are no where near any decision making when it comes to any military defense of my countries air spaces , do you really think that these pilots ect even today who are reporting things in the air when be aloud any were near a fighter jet
... seriously...., to suggest that ALL UFO cases involving military witnesses are all down to mental misconceptions, stimuli and false memory traits
is nothing short of a real disrespect to all those brave pilots ect who have had the guts to come forward with their personal testimonies and that McDonald was a victim to the data of he cases he investigated ....
You still have not provided any real credible evidence that totally debunks the conclusions that McDonald reached on those cases that were backed up by radar hits, multiple witness testimonies ect .
You have an agenda of answering questions not with answers but with questions,
your attempt at trying to pass off ALL UFO cases involved with military pilots ect as nothing more than mental discrepancies reeks of desperate straw clutching...
Now if we were observing a civilization from a hands off or distant observational agendas would you want to be detected?? would you not make sure that you remained in "stealth mode" for the foreseeable??
Is it not the case that the ET hypothesis has adequate evidence to be a very plausible and credible origin of number of alternative explanations for those cases deemed unsolvable by not only the past but also today's current understandings and that there are those who do not want the ET hypothesis as having any ground at all or to be included in those alternative explanations, yes would be my answer.
That there is raw high strangeness data ,(flight characteristics),contained in some cases investigated by McDonald backed up by military radar and also has multiple witnesses that rules out your rather amusing "mental discrepancies" and misconceptions and false memory traits explanations it makes me really believe that you have not looked closely ,(if any at all), at the actual data contained in those "high strangeness" cases investigated by McDonald.
Do you realize how condescending and patronizing it sounds and comes across from someone who is telling someone they are wrong or having some mental discrepancies in what they saw regardless of other independent witnesses who witnessed the same stimuli
here
that one of those independent witness was in a fighter jet sent up by another independent witness who happened to be the air force base commander who gave the order to scramble based on another of those independent witnesses who just happened to be a radar operator who acknowledged this object, then other independent witnesses were observing it through binoculars on the ground......., now in what possible way can these set of stimulus and events be attributed to mental discrepancies, false memory traits or hallucinations or false memory stimuli of the events... The above has convinced me that you are not paying attention, ignoring the real data of cases that have the above data of events in them, not paying attention to all the independent witness testimonies that make redundant your false memory and mental discrepancies conclusions...
Then this rather remarkable revelation from Bernard Haisch, who evels from sources he trusts that they have been privy to have handled what they described as "alien material"... when we have such respectable and highly credible sources coming out with such information then when is it time to start paying attention to them
the fact that you offered it in the first place is based on not paying real attention to the actual data and avoidance tatic of those cases that still remain unsolved...
well the first thing that came to mind would be a seizure. here is an interesting article by Oliver Sacks but it falls short of your requirements but still worth a read...so this is where I would start.
EnPassant
So, what are the chances that two people who don't know each other and know almost nothing about ufology would have an error of perception that has their car engine stalling when a bright light in the sky approaches them? What are the chances that these events would be followed by an out of the body experience in both instances? Is there a mental disease known as bright-light-engine-stall-OBE-syndrome? If there was they would, no doubt, make a pill to cure it...
EnPassant
You are complicating a very very simple thing. What are the chances that delusions could be so consistent across time, geographic borders and, most importantly, barriers that prevent people knowing about other's experiences?
EnPassant
Even more simply: how could a person have a similar delusion, within very limited parameters, that mirrors another's when there is no cross contamination?
For more details on this topic, see Loaded question.
The complex question fallacy, or many questions fallacy, is context dependent; a presupposition by itself doesn't have to be a fallacy. It is committed when someone asks a question that presupposes something that has not been proven or accepted by all the people involved. For example, "Is Mary wearing a blue or a red dress?" is fallacious because it artificially restricts the possible responses to a blue or red dress. If the person being questioned wouldn't necessarily consent to those constraints, the question is fallacious
zetarediculian
well the first thing that came to mind would be a seizure. here is an interesting article by Oliver Sacks but it falls short of your requirements but still worth a read...so this is where I would start.
EnPassant
So, what are the chances that two people who don't know each other and know almost nothing about ufology would have an error of perception that has their car engine stalling when a bright light in the sky approaches them? What are the chances that these events would be followed by an out of the body experience in both instances? Is there a mental disease known as bright-light-engine-stall-OBE-syndrome? If there was they would, no doubt, make a pill to cure it...
www.theatlantic.com...
draknoir2
EnPassant
You are complicating a very very simple thing. What are the chances that delusions could be so consistent across time, geographic borders and, most importantly, barriers that prevent people knowing about other's experiences?
You are over simplifying a very complicated thing and posing a loaded question. Reports are by nature diverse and inconsistent, and geographic borders are in no way impermeable to information... not now, not ever.
This is what's known as a complex question fallacy.
As is this:
EnPassant
"Even more simply: how could a person have a similar delusion, within very limited parameters, that mirrors another's when there is no cross contamination?"
You assert the constraints you deem necessary to produce the desired answer.
ZetaRediculian
K-PAX-PROT
[zquote] K-PAX-PROT
[zquote] K-PAX-PROT
[zquote] ZetaRediculian
reply to post by K-PAX-PROT
So how did McDonald miss this fantastic information? How come he could not conclude without a doubt that ET was here? -500 interviews.
-can only conclude ETH is a possibility
-Based on that there was no other competing explainations 45 years ago.
-Not based on witness testimony
-Branches of psychology dealing specifically with perception barely existing as a field of study
How can this be?
Trouble with the quote function? It's pretty basic logic... Oh right, nevermind
edit on 10-9-2013 by ZetaRediculian because: (no reason given)
If time permitted I would talk about a number of radar cases. One of the most famous is the Washington National Airport sighting. On July 19, 1952, CAA radars and Andrews Air Force radars tracked unknowns moving at variable speeds from 100 miles an hour to over 800 miles an hour, and a number of airline pilots in the air saw these, and were in some instances vectored in by the CAA radar people, and then saw luminous objects in the same area that they showed on radar up near Herndon and Martinsburg.
I talked to five of these CAA people. One can still go back and check these old cases, I emphasize. I also talked to four of the airline pilots who were in the air at the time. I have gone over the quantitative aspects of the official explanation that this was ducting or trapping of the radar beams. That is quite untenable. I have gone over the radiosonde, computed the radar refractive index gradient, and it is nowhere near the ducting gradient.
Also, it is very important that at one time three different radars, two CAA and one Andrews Air Force Base radar, all got compatible echoes. That is extremely significant.
And finally from a radar-propagation point of view, the angles of propagation, radar and visual, were far above any values that would permit trapping, which makes this a case which is not an explained case. It was an instance of unidentified aerial objects over our Capital, I believe.
One could go on with many cases.
This sort of thing has happened over and over again. The ridicule lid keeps these out of sight; too many of them are occurring to delay any longer in getting at this problem with all possible scientific assistance.
K-PAX-PROTH: Do you realize how condescending and patronizing it sounds and comes across from someone who is telling someone they are wrong or having some mental discrepancies in what they saw regardless of other independent witnesses who witnessed the same stimuli
Zetariticulian: do you know how incredibly arrogant, condescending and patronizing it sounds when you tell everyone in every field of psychology and related disciplines that the knowledge gained for the last 45 years is useless based on someone's comments in 1968?
Nice bullying tactic again and yet again you you fail to produce any evidence to prove there are no ET intelligence's out there with the required technologies , (tired of me asking you this, well just admit you do not have any evidence then,
You know very well that you will never have that evidence and you also know very well that until you provided it then the ET hypothesis stands as a possibility
I have no trouble with anything. Is it OK if I disagree without you going into a tizzy? would that be possible?
and let me answer your quest above, McDonald provided ample evidence that multiple witnesses cases backed up with radar evidence are not in any way results of mental discrepancies, misconceptions ect.. Have you real trouble understanding the above, trouble with the above text function...??
Really you are sounding anything but scientific or credible in your conclusions of the "mental physiological and psychology" being the explanations for every single "quote" or multiple witness testimonies and radar back ups of what those witnesses witnessed.
The real truth of the matter here is that you have lost the argument that ALL quotes ,UFO cases with multiple witnesses, radar evidence are ALL just mental physiological and psychology" related misconceptions ect.. You have NOT looked at those cases investigated by McDonald that rule out any human mental misconception explanations due to the actual raw data they contain, lets look at one shall we then you can put for ward your now tiresome psychology" related misconceptions conclusions...
For the record i never claimed that McDonald had proof of ET visitation , he never claimed that either it was YOU who implied i did, round about the time you realized you were loosing the arguments for your human psychology" related misconceptions for ALL quotes and those cases investigated by McDonald.
really you sound like a broken straw man creation machine. I have said over and over again there is no explanation for every single case or even one case. what we have is no aliens to date. what we do have is knowledge of how people perceive and misperceive. we do also have cases where this has occurred. is it making sense yet?
it does manifest as a real arrogant and non credible argument to assume that ALL those MULTIPLE witnesses were suffering from delusions and mental misconceptions at the SAME time while witnesses the object under investigation, how is that argument in any way shape or form applicable to such cases of multiple witness, what scientific reasoning are you trying to achieve here, surely you can perceive that your human psychology" related misconceptions arguments for McDonald's ET hypothesis in relation to those multiple witness and radar cases he investigated and the conclusions he reached fir them are wrong on every scientific level ...
you missed it than because I haven't said what he is implying anywhere. can you quote where I did?
EnPassant
reply to post by zetarediculian
K-PAX-PROTH: Do you realize how condescending and patronizing it sounds and comes across from someone who is telling someone they are wrong or having some mental discrepancies in what they saw regardless of other independent witnesses who witnessed the same stimuli
Zetariticulian: do you know how incredibly arrogant, condescending and patronizing it sounds when you tell everyone in every field of psychology and related disciplines that the knowledge gained for the last 45 years is useless based on someone's comments in 1968?
Your rhetoric is running away with you. He is not saying the last 45 years of knowledge is useless. He is saying it does not apply in this case
EnPassant
zetarediculian
well the first thing that came to mind would be a seizure. here is an interesting article by Oliver Sacks but it falls short of your requirements but still worth a read...so this is where I would start.
EnPassant
So, what are the chances that two people who don't know each other and know almost nothing about ufology would have an error of perception that has their car engine stalling when a bright light in the sky approaches them? What are the chances that these events would be followed by an out of the body experience in both instances? Is there a mental disease known as bright-light-engine-stall-OBE-syndrome? If there was they would, no doubt, make a pill to cure it...
www.theatlantic.com...
This is the problem with the medical items in the debunkery bag- you can always pull out some syndrome or chemical to explain things away. What you need to do is look at the facts more carefully. These events are often multiple witness events and are often followed up by OBEs and preceded by sightings of ufos. If you are going to medicalise it you have to invent a new syndrome "UFO sighting-car stalling-OBE-lesions on body" syndrome. It simply does not work. The most logical conclusion is that these events are real because the alternative theory cannot provide a convincing explanation. You need to push the alternative theory to its limits to see if it will break down because simply saying "It could be explained by ..." and leaving it at that stops you from thinking any further.
EnPassant
draknoir2
EnPassant
You are complicating a very very simple thing. What are the chances that delusions could be so consistent across time, geographic borders and, most importantly, barriers that prevent people knowing about other's experiences?
You are over simplifying a very complicated thing and posing a loaded question. Reports are by nature diverse and inconsistent, and geographic borders are in no way impermeable to information... not now, not ever.
This is what's known as a complex question fallacy.
As is this:
EnPassant
"Even more simply: how could a person have a similar delusion, within very limited parameters, that mirrors another's when there is no cross contamination?"
You assert the constraints you deem necessary to produce the desired answer.
I don't think so. These constraints are real. Randles has unearthed cases that were buried in the archives that nobody knew about. For example, the Greys were described long before Striber's descriptions. Many of these cases were not published...
Certainly in my study of British cases there are no obvious greys at all until well into the l980's. Most - even hypnotically pursued - CE 4 s until about l985 had more human like or Nordic beings. The classic Telford encounter (pursued in l982/l983 with hypnosis on all three witnesses) produced different entity types with each witness and one of these was somewhat grey like. It is all the more apparent when you see how - after the massive import of greys into British culture circa l987 (via the books of Strieber and Hopkins) the previous pattern of British aliens virtually disappeared overnight and >>now you are hard pressed NOT to find greys." - Jenny Randles