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Originally posted by JoeP2247
World War III
It will most probably start in 2014
The death toll will be at least 10 times greater than World War II (600,000,000+)
It will be fought mainly in the China-Burma-India theater.
It will likely end in a nuclear exchange.
This is not a psychic prediction ( I have no abilities in that regard) . It is our historical pattern as a society though - and here is why I make these specific predictions.
The median time interval between a financial disaster and a major war is 6 years. It can be as short as 4 years (like the Panic of 1857 to American Civil War in 1861) or as long as 7 years (like the panic of 1907 led to the First World War in 1914). The pattern is always the same though - a financial debacle leads to war and it seems to take about 6 years for this to happen. I would speculate this time interval is related to how long it takes for the negative financial situation to fully filter down to society and erupt. I also observe that the monetary gains generated by the act of war ends the financial disaster most of the time. This pattern has been true for at least the past three hundred years of western history.
With each major war technology develops that increase our killing power by factors of about 10. For example, the introduction of the rifled musket in the 1850’s increased KIA to over 800,000 in the American Civil war - Machine guns led to 9,000,000 deaths in World War One - advances in air power killed at least 60 million people in World War II (I personally think it was over 80 million) - and so on.
Wars start where the last war was left unresolved. For example, World War Two was an almost inevitable product of the Versailles Treaty after the First World War. The theater of World War Two left most up in the air was the China-Burma-India theater which left many issues moldering.
Wars escalate to the extreme of the weaponry available to the parties. If one side is going to lose and the only weapon they have that might" escalate" to the point of winning is a nuclear weapon it will be eventually used. This is very much a Clausewitz theory of war and the United States and most modern powers do use Clausewitz as a model theorist. You could read “On War” - it is still required reading in military schools.
Mark Twain once said (paraphrasing) that if history doesn’t repeat itself, it sure rhymes.
I am curious what you guys think.
Joe
September 8, 2012, marks the first anniversary of the power blackout in San Diego. At least 1.4 million SDG&E customers were in the dark after a worker at a substation in Yuma, Ariz., accidentally short-circuited the region. The blackout lasted for 12 hours or longer in some areas. Source: www.nbcsandiego.com...
Originally posted by WesternIowaParanormal
I love the math that you have put into this. Great thread. Star and flag for you. I was also wondering what your research says about civil war. Do you have any facts or figures to speak of on that topic. I understand we have had only one in this country but what about other countries?
Originally posted by DestroyDestroyDestroy
Not sure why the world would be involved in the China-Burma-India theater, but yes tensions in that area are very high and will likely boil over soon.
However, I seriously doubt we will see nuclear war.
Originally posted by WesternIowaParanormal
I was wondering if there was any math to support a new civil war in the us like the guy above me mentioned.
They finally reached their destination and pitched a tent in the barren Depsang Valley in the Ladakh region, a symbolic claim of sovereignty deep inside Indian-held territory.
Analysts said they were baffled by Beijing's motives, since its actions could force India to move closer to Beijing's biggest rival, the United States.
Originally posted by Magister
Originally posted by DestroyDestroyDestroy
Not sure why the world would be involved in the China-Burma-India theater, but yes tensions in that area are very high and will likely boil over soon.
However, I seriously doubt we will see nuclear war.
1. India-China war
2. India losing, fires tac nukes at Chinese forces
3. China retaliates, stategic nukes India
4. US and Russia launch limited stategic nuke attack to eliminate Chinese nukes
5. China sees the incoming nukes and launches everything at US and Russia (use em or lose em stategy)
SHTF-TEOTWAWKI-KYAGBedit on 26-5-2013 by Magister because: addition
Originally posted by Happy1
reply to post by stirling
First of all, the US will be destroyed under any kind of alignment you see in a nuclear war -
Pakistan is a mess and will go with whatever winning side there is between Russia, China, or India (India I see as being completely destroyed also, they aren't as strong as China)
Strange, looking at Africa - a bloody mess in even the best of times - but a "prize" for the winner? Don't ever see Africa changing much.
South America and Latin America? Socialist people being made slaves, as usual.
Originally posted by JoeP2247
Originally posted by Happy1
reply to post by stirling
First of all, the US will be destroyed under any kind of alignment you see in a nuclear war -
Pakistan is a mess and will go with whatever winning side there is between Russia, China, or India (India I see as being completely destroyed also, they aren't as strong as China)
Strange, looking at Africa - a bloody mess in even the best of times - but a "prize" for the winner? Don't ever see Africa changing much.
South America and Latin America? Socialist people being made slaves, as usual.
What if the war starts between India and Pakistan (my preferred speculation). What if they initiate launches against each other - can you see what a mess this could be judging on which side Russia and China might come in? Will one or both align with Pakistan. No doubt in my mind, we have to come to India's defense because of treaty commitments and equally no doubt Islamic countries align with Pakistan - this would be one f-ing mess.
I think like the bizarre alliances that tripped WWI - this war will have strange bedfellows.
Joe
edit on 27-5-2013 by JoeP2247 because: (no reason given)