T-28 Days and counting!

reply to post by BrokenAngelWings33

Shouldn't this include data from previous years to quantify? (Hurricane data)

Yes indeed it should, in fact as all the graphs should but time is limited and whilst I have nearly completed the hurricane data back to 2010 I have not sort out a graph for it yet.

Hopefully in the next few days but real life has intervened as you will see from my next post.

T-17 Days and counting

Earthquakes

Due to serious illness in the family these reports will be minimal for the next week or so. Sorry.

Mag 5 quakes are still well below the average and this often indicates an imminent large earthquake 7+. The trend is still up, but the trend itself continues to drop very slightly.

Listing for the 03 December. 9 x 4.5/4.9, 1 x 5.0/5.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-03 23:58:36, 14.219, -92.317, 5.5, 35.2, Offshore Guatemala
usgs,2012-12-03 23:56:05, 14.958, 42.220, 4.5, 10.0, Nr. W. Coast Of Yemen
usgs,2012-12-03 17:48:28, 43.082, 145.869, 4.7, 57.2, Hokkaido. Japan Region
usgs,2012-12-03 14:29:33, 28.076, 129.455, 4.6, 47.0, Ryukyu Isls. Japan
usgs,2012-12-03 12:53:24, 30.497, 57.205, 4.6, 10.2, Eastern Iran
usgs,2012-12-03 11:55:25, 23.237, 95.926, 4.6, 16.8, Myanmar
usgs,2012-12-03 09:31:54, -28.733, -70.181, 4.9, 81.3, Atacama. Chile
usgs,2012-12-03 04:57:12, 36.270, 140.766, 4.7, 67.1, Nr. E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-03 03:11:20, -59.006, -26.438, 4.8, 115.7, South Sandwich Isls. Region
usgs,2012-12-03 02:50:10, -47.465, 104.922, 4.6, 10.0, S.East Indian Ridge

All Magnitudes 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9


Mag 5.0 to 5.9


Mag 6.0 to 6.9


Mag 7.0 to 7.9

Volcanoes

Volcano Chart


Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Category 1+ storms

Cat 1+ Storms Chart


BOPHA continues and is raised to Category 5.

Typhoon Bopha Hits the Philippines, Killing at Least 7.

Super Typhoon-5 BOPHA, 25 NOV-04 DEC, 140 kts, 5 - Active (Western Pacific)

That concludes the report of yesterday 03 December 2012 UTC.

reply to post by PuterMan


Best wishes and positive energy for you and your family.

T-16 Days and counting

Earthquakes

Due to serious illness in the family these reports will be minimal for the next week or so. Sorry.

Mag 5 quakes are still WELL below the average and this oftem indicates an iminent large earthquake 7+. The trend is still up, but the trend itself continues to drop very slightly.

Listing for the 04 December. 5 x 4.5/4.9, 1 x 5.0/5.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-04 23:12:25, -34.227, -178.889, 4.7, 73.1, South Of The Kermadec Isls.
usgs,2012-12-04 21:52:06, 41.931, 142.316, 4.6, 56.7, Hokkaido. Japan Region
usgs,2012-12-04 18:59:43, 36.934, 23.089, 4.9, 12.8, Southern Greece
usgs,2012-12-04 09:26:15, -32.771, -71.700, 4.6, 46.3, Offshore Valparaiso. Chile
usgs,2012-12-04 04:21:59, -8.889, -74.399, 4.5, 149.9, Central Peru
usgs,2012-12-04 01:42:48, 61.230, -150.719, 5.8, 53.2, Southern Alaska

All Magnitudes 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9


Mag 5.0 to 5.9


Mag 6.0 to 6.9


Mag 7.0 to 7.9


New charts for today - Average energy per quake Mag 4.5+
(These merely indicate the average per quake which is only useful as a 'trend' of overall energy)



And each Magnitude band

Volcanoes

Volcano Chart


Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Category 1+ storms

Cat 1+ Storms Chart


BOPHA continues (unable to connect but it won't have dissipated yet so I am assuming continuation) and is Category 5.

Super Typhoon-5 BOPHA, 25 NOV-04 DEC, 140 kts, 5 - Active (Western Pacific)

That concludes the report of yesterday 04 December 2012 UTC.

T-15 Days and counting

Earthquakes

An increase in Mag 5 quakes but they are still WELL below the average. The trend is still up, but the trend itself continues to drop very slightly - even with the slight increase in numbers.

Listing for the 05 December. 6 x 4.5/4.9, 3 x 5.0/5.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-05 23:41:56, -31.035, -177.571, 5.1, 29.9, Kermadec Isls. Region
usgs,2012-12-05 23:08:37, -20.709, -178.932, 5.1, 617.7, Fiji Region
usgs,2012-12-05 17:08:12, 33.490, 59.554, 5.6, 5.6, Eastern Iran
usgs,2012-12-05 16:25:31, -28.628, -70.037, 4.6, 71.5, Atacama. Chile
usgs,2012-12-05 14:35:00, 64.886, -133.990, 4.5, 5.0, Southern Yukon Territory. Canada
usgs,2012-12-05 13:48:46, -14.969, -173.237, 4.9, 35.8, Samoa Isls. Region
usgs,2012-12-05 11:22:02, -15.133, -173.671, 4.7, 9.8, Tonga
usgs,2012-12-05 01:10:47, 44.331, 147.733, 4.7, 89.2, Kuril Isls.
usgs,2012-12-05 00:33:35, 60.510, -177.831, 4.5, 14.5, Bering Sea

All Magnitudes 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9


Mag 5.0 to 5.9


Mag 6.0 to 6.9


Mag 7.0 to 7.9


Average energy per quake Mag 4.5+
(These merely indicate the average per quake which is only useful as a 'trend' of overall energy, which if the end is nigh should ramp up on would presume )



And each Magnitude band

Volcanoes

Volcano Chart

KVERT reported that an eruption from Tolbachik that began on 27 November continued through 30 November. Lava effused from two fissures along the W side of Tolbachinsky Dol, a lava plateau on the SW side of the volcano, and ash plumes rose less than 500 m on 28 November. A large thermal anomaly was detected on the N part of Tolbachinsky Dol. On 29 November the Aviation Color Code was raised to Red. Ash plumes rose less than 500 m and drifted 300 km ESE. Later that day seismicity decreased and the Aviation Color Code was lowered to Orange. During 29 November-1 December Strombolian activity and lava effusion from two fissures continued. A large thermal anomaly continued to be detected in satellite imagery, and ashfall was reported in Kozyrevsk (40 km NW). According to a news article on 30 November, the lava flows destroyed two scientific base camps 10 km away. On 1 December gas-and-steam plumes with small amounts of ash rose over 400 m. Based on information from UHPP (Yelizovo Airport), the Tokyo VAAC reported that ash plumes rose to altitudes of 4-6.1 km (13,000-20,000 ft) a.s.l. and drifted N and NW during 29-30 November and 3 December.

Source: Smithsonian

Darwin VAAC reported that during 28 November-4 December ash plumes from Paluweh rose to altitudes of 1.5-2.4 km (5,000-8,000 ft) a.s.l. and drifted 35-65 km NW and W. The Volcano Discovery team observed Paluweh during 30 November-2 December. They reported that a lava dome seemed to be visibly growing from all sides, with almost constant incandescent rockfalls in multiple areas. The dome was about 150 m high, the highest point on the island, and the basal diameter was 200-250 m.

Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Category 1+ storms

Cat 1+ Storms Chart


BOPHA continues.

Super Typhoon-5 BOPHA, 25 NOV-06 DEC, 140 kts, 5 - Active (Western Pacific)

A powerful typhoon that washed away emergency shelters, a military camp and possibly entire families in the southern Philippines has killed almost 350 people with nearly 400 missing, authorities said on Thursday.

More bodies were retrieved from hardest-hit Compostela Valley and Davao Oriental provinces and six others affected by Tuesday's storm, the Office of Civil Defence said.

At least 200 of the victims died in Compostela Valley alone, including 78 villagers and soldiers who perished in a flash flood that swamped two emergency shelters and a military camp.

"Entire families may have been washed away," said the interior secretary, Mar Roxas, who visited New Bataan on Wednesday. The farming town of 45,000 people was a muddy wasteland of collapsed houses and coconut and banana trees felled by ferocious winds.

Source: The Guardian

Further reading: 477 dead, many homeless in Philippines typhoon

That concludes the report of 15th

T-14 Days and counting

Earthquakes

Whilst this report looks back at the previous day there has of course been a Mag 7.3 and a Mag 6.2 off the coast of Japan ~260km from Fukushima. There will be reported on tomorrow as usual but they are significant enough to mention today.

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-07 09:01:53, 37.740, 143.542, 4.7, 35.3, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 08:48:15, 37.848, 143.581, 5.5, 34.8, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 08:31:14, 37.938, 143.762, 6.2, 29.2, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 08:18:24, 37.888, 144.090, 7.3, 36.1, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan

You will find topics for these here and here.

An increase in Mag 4 and Mag 5 quakes but they are still below the average. The trend is still up, but the trend itself continues to drop very slightly - even with the slight increase in numbers.

Listing for the 06 December. 9 x 4.5/4.9, 5 x 5.0/5.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-06 20:42:15, -22.008, -68.410, 4.6, 106.6, Antofagasta. Chile
usgs,2012-12-06 20:32:05, 35.561, 140.082, 4.8, 66.9, Nr. E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-06 18:58:55, -17.948, -69.470, 5.0, 122.9, Tarapaca. Chile
usgs,2012-12-06 17:48:15, 36.940, 23.110, 4.9, 12.8, Southern Greece
usgs,2012-12-06 16:52:24, -56.087, -27.399, 5.0, 103.6, South Sandwich Isls. Region
usgs,2012-12-06 15:46:50, -54.038, -1.963, 4.9, 18.7, Bouvet Island Region
usgs,2012-12-06 10:26:19, 10.945, 126.686, 4.6, 35.1, Philippine Isls. Region
usgs,2012-12-06 10:17:35, 36.460, 140.718, 4.5, 67.5, Nr. E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-06 06:11:51, -5.014, 143.083, 4.7, 142.8, New Guinea. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-06 04:09:07, -8.387, 120.480, 4.5, 43.6, Flores Region. Ind.
usgs,2012-12-06 02:24:25, 2.462, 90.434, 5.1, 11.8, Off W. Coast Of Northern Sumatra
usgs,2012-12-06 01:15:15, -2.879, 129.295, 4.7, 41.7, Seram. Ind.
usgs,2012-12-06 00:43:24, 11.002, 126.617, 5.4, 28.3, Philippine Isls. Region

All Magnitudes 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9


Mag 5.0 to 5.9


Mag 6.0 to 6.9


Mag 7.0 to 7.9


Average energy per quake Mag 4.5+
(These merely indicate the average per quake which is only useful as a 'trend' of overall energy, which if the end is nigh should ramp up on would presume )



And each Magnitude band

Volcanoes

Volcano Chart


Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Category 1+ storms

Cat 1+ Storms Chart


BOPHA continues.

Super Typhoon-5 BOPHA, 25 NOV-07 DEC, 140 kts, 5 - Active (Western Pacific)

See above for links to news reports.

That concludes the report of yesterday 06 December 2012 UTC.

T-13 Days and counting

Earthquakes

An obvious increase in Mag 4 and Mag 5 quakes which are almost all attributable to the Magnitude 7 in Japan. The overall trend is still up, and the events of the 7th cause a very slight increase in the overall trend from R2=0.0019 to 0.0038

Listing for the 07 December. 14 x 4.5/4.9, 11 x 5.0/5.9, 2 x 6.0/6.9, 1 x 7.0/7.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-07 23:52:04, 12.684, -87.868, 4.5, 69.6, Nr. Coast Of Nicaragua
usgs,2012-12-07 23:00:02, 37.732, 143.863, 5.6, 34.2, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 21:36:37, 37.727, 143.568, 4.8, 27.6, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 21:20:52, 37.437, 143.900, 4.7, 40.8, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 21:01:12, 37.446, 143.653, 4.9, 21.7, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 20:30:39, 37.795, 143.603, 4.9, 25.5, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 19:50:21, -7.632, 146.962, 5.6, 118.9, Eastern New Guinea Region. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-07 19:25:00, 40.880, 142.817, 4.9, 38.5, Nr. E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 18:19:07, -38.320, 176.085, 6.3, 166.8, N. Isl Of Nz
usgs,2012-12-07 16:18:42, 37.707, 143.877, 5.0, 32.6, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 16:11:56, 37.809, 143.740, 4.7, 34.9, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 16:01:54, 37.723, 143.868, 5.1, 30.7, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 15:15:31, 37.800, 143.850, 5.0, 35.8, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 14:32:17, 37.762, 143.637, 4.7, 35.0, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 14:08:43, 38.745, 88.101, 5.3, 16.1, Southern Xinjiang. China
usgs,2012-12-07 12:58:07, 37.877, 143.662, 5.0, 34.9, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 12:48:51, 37.534, 143.715, 4.8, 35.1, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 12:33:37, 37.555, 143.650, 4.7, 34.9, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 12:05:27, 37.852, 143.735, 5.0, 35.0, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 09:56:27, 37.571, 143.774, 4.6, 35.0, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 09:23:04, 37.822, 144.175, 4.8, 35.1, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 09:13:23, 37.721, 143.746, 4.7, 35.1, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 09:01:53, 37.740, 143.542, 4.7, 35.3, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 08:48:15, 37.848, 143.581, 5.5, 34.8, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 08:31:14, 37.938, 143.762, 6.2, 29.2, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 08:18:24, 37.888, 144.090, 7.3, 36.1, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-07 02:25:46, -5.300, 151.426, 5.1, 94.2, New Britain Region. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-07 01:35:09, -54.093, -1.927, 5.1, 17.4, Bouvet Island Region

All Magnitudes 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9


Strangely the M5 magnitudes trend went down again today very slightly indicating lesser magnitudes overall.
Mag 5.0 to 5.9


The two Mag 6 earthquakes are summed as the M6 quakes are shown as a daily figure. The magnitude is converted to ~energy, the products summed and then converted back to a ~magnitude.

125.8925412 GJ
+177.827941 GJ
=303.7204822 GJ
=6.455 Mw

Mag 6.0 to 6.9


The trend of the M7 quakes was completely reversed by this one. Remember that this is the trend of the magnitudes not the trend of the number of quakes.

Mag 7.0 to 7.9


Average energy per quake Mag 4.5+
(These merely indicate the average per quake which is only useful as a 'trend' of overall energy, which if the end is nigh should ramp up on would presume )

If this chart does not look right to you because of the Mag 7 be aware that as the time period covered extends the chart will be less and less affected by big events for lesser magnitude than the largest if that makes sense. The top quake in the list is M7.8 so this quakes at M7.3 is 5.62 times less energy that that. This is why these average of energy charts are not particularly useful but they would show a up-tick in magnitudes straight away. You can see this on the M4 chart in the block of 4 which is showing a slight but steady increase in the energy output of M4.5-4.9 quakes.

Average before the M7 was 55.76106553 GJ/Quake and after was 55.81278491 GJ/Quake



And each Magnitude band

Volcanoes

No known change in volcanic around the world today. Tolbachik is still doing it's thing.

Volcano Chart


Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Continued in next post due to very small post limitations..............

Category 1+ storms

Cat 1+ Storms Chart


BOPHA continues but the winds have dropped to Cat 3. Claudia in the Southern Indian OCean (Cat 1) is listed to day.

Super Typhoon-5 BOPHA (25 NOV-08 DEC)
Storm - Max Winds: 140 Category: 5
Current - Max Winds: 100 Category: 3



WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 17.3N 117.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRA

Super Typhoon-5 BOPHA, 25 NOV-08 DEC, 140 kts, 5 - Active (Western Pacific)



Scroll down that page for the report above.

New cyclone today added to the listing which was not there yesterday but it appears was active.

17 Cyclone-1 CLAUDIA 06-08 DEC 75 1 Active

Southern Indian Ocean

Claudia is mid ocean and poses no threat to land masses.



That concludes the report of yesterday 07 December 2012 UTC.

T-12 Days and counting

Earthquakes

The overall trend is still up, and the events of the 8th caused a very slight increase in the overall trend from R2=0.0038 to 0.0039

Listing for the 08 December. 8 x 4.5/4.9, 6 x 5.0/5.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-08 21:46:08, -14.777, 167.219, 4.8, 134.9, Vanuatu
usgs,2012-12-08 20:47:24, -5.172, 102.270, 4.7, 28.9, Southern Sumatra. Ind.
usgs,2012-12-08 19:00:11, -7.192, 144.001, 5.1, 32.8, Nr. S. Coast Of New Guinea. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-08 16:35:17, -7.210, 143.929, 5.7, 10.7, Nr. S. Coast Of New Guinea. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-08 14:26:55, 25.753, 122.335, 5.0, 289.1, Taiwan Region
usgs,2012-12-08 13:53:37, 37.768, 143.955, 4.7, 34.7, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-08 12:50:10, 37.622, 143.568, 4.9, 35.0, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-08 10:27:31, -7.144, 144.048, 5.0, 33.6, Nr. S. Coast Of New Guinea. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-08 10:09:41, 38.123, 74.160, 4.7, 157.6, Tajikistan
usgs,2012-12-08 08:11:56, 2.570, 128.367, 5.0, 153.9, Halmahera. Ind.
usgs,2012-12-08 07:18:13, 37.833, 143.883, 4.7, 35.2, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-08 06:16:55, -7.247, 143.930, 5.1, 21.7, Nr. S. Coast Of New Guinea. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-08 02:12:52, 37.604, 143.792, 4.7, 30.5, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-08 00:08:17, 37.921, 143.841, 4.8, 10.7, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan

All Magnitudes 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9
(The trend of overall magnitude is still increasing slightly)


Strangely the M5 magnitudes trend went down again today very slightly indicating lesser magnitudes overall.
Mag 5.0 to 5.9


Mag 6.0 to 6.9


Mag 7.0 to 7.9


Average energy per quake Mag 4.5+
(These merely indicate the average per quake which is only useful as a 'trend' of overall energy, which if the end is nigh should ramp up on would presume )



And each Magnitude band

Volcanoes

Yesterday and Thursday should have shown Lokon erupting but I had no alert about it until today. I have assumed that it continues today. Tolbachik is still doing it's thing.

Volcano Chart


Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Category 1+ storms

Cat 1+ Storms Chart


BOPHA continues but has nearly blown itself out now. Claudia in the Southern Indian OCean (upgraded to Cat 3) is listed to day.

Super Typhoon-5 BOPHA (25 NOV-08 DEC)
Storm - Max Winds: 140 Category: 5
Current - Max Winds: 45 Category: TS



WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 18.1N 119.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 119.0E

Super Typhoon-5 BOPHA, 25 NOV-08 DEC, 140 kts, 5 - Active (Western Pacific)



Scroll down that page for the report above.

Claudia is now upgraded to Category 3

Cyclone-3 CLAUDIA 06-08 DEC 100 3 Active

Southern Indian Ocean

That concludes the report of yesterday 08 December 2012 UTC.

T-11 Days and counting

Earthquakes

The overall trend is still up, and the events of the 9th caused a very slight increase in the overall trend from R2=0.0039 to 0.004

Listing for the 09 December. 9 x 4.5/4.9, 6 x 5.0/5.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-09 23:56:36, 37.501, 143.831, 4.9, 34.0, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-09 23:50:35, 37.457, 143.780, 5.0, 37.9, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-09 23:13:21, 1.624, 89.607, 4.7, 14.7, North Indian Ocean
usgs,2012-12-09 21:45:34, 6.718, 126.183, 5.6, 56.0, Mindanao. Philippines
usgs,2012-12-09 20:52:38, -16.155, -174.224, 5.2, 129.7, Tonga
usgs,2012-12-09 19:09:32, 52.448, -170.071, 4.8, 48.3, Fox Isls.
usgs,2012-12-09 18:59:48, 37.914, 143.913, 4.9, 35.0, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-09 18:30:07, -3.644, 141.109, 5.2, 58.4, New Guinea. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-09 14:42:17, 37.744, 143.978, 4.8, 34.2, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-09 12:38:40, -54.038, -1.940, 5.0, 9.9, Bouvet Island Region
usgs,2012-12-09 11:47:04, 38.172, 143.748, 4.6, 34.8, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-09 06:03:18, 9.905, -83.930, 4.5, 24.3, Costa Rica
usgs,2012-12-09 02:50:51, -3.502, 145.357, 4.9, 34.0, Nr. N. Coast Of New Guinea. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-09 02:34:19, 37.790, 143.590, 5.3, 30.0, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-09 01:23:07, 37.895, 22.620, 4.5, 13.9, Southern Greece

All Magnitudes 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9
(The trend of overall magnitude is still increasing slightly which is a little curious)


Mag 5.0 to 5.9


Mag 6.0 to 6.9


Mag 7.0 to 7.9


Average energy per quake Mag 4.5+
(These merely indicate the average per quake which is only useful as a 'trend' of overall energy, which if the end is nigh should ramp up on would presume )


And each Magnitude band

Volcanoes

I have assumed that Lokon continues today untill I get further information. Tolbachik is still doing it's thing.

Volcano Chart


Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Category 1+ storms

Cat 1+ Storms Chart


BOPHA and Claudia were both active on the 9th but have subsided by the time this report was prepared (01:00 UTC 10th Dec)

That concludes the report of yesterday 09 December 2012 UTC.

7.1 in Indonesia

USGS

Think this is because of the Japan quake the other day?

Originally posted by tport17
7.1 in Indonesia

USGS

Think this is because of the Japan quake the other day?

My own opinion would be probably not. The Banda sea, and Ceram Sea are in a complex system of plates and there are many boundaries between it and Japan such that I am not sure that Japan would affect it, at least not the recent one.

As you can see from the list of M6+ quakes in the Banda Sea of the last 3 years this is not an uncommon time of year (last few months) for larger quakes here.

It is possible that some of the stress from the Japan 9.1 got transferred this way which possibly might account for the apparent increase in magnitudes, but I would not bet on it!

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-10 16:53:09, -6.540, 129.814, 7.1, 159.3, Banda Sea
usgs,2012-10-08 11:43:35, -4.442, 129.165, 6.1, 34.7, Banda Sea
usgs,2011-08-30 06:57:41, -6.400, 126.773, 6.8, 465.0, Banda Sea
usgs,2009-12-26 08:57:24, -5.560, 131.129, 6.0, 57.0, Banda Sea
usgs,2009-10-24 14:40:44, -6.136, 130.384, 6.9, 134.2, Banda Sea
usgs,2009-08-28 01:51:20, -7.126, 123.430, 6.8, 642.4, Banda Sea

My sincere apologies but the update for day 10 and counting will not be done until later, and may have to be rolled into day 9 and counting due to personal circumstances.

The quakes for the day are as follows:

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-10 22:08:06, 37.756, 143.750, 4.8, 44.3, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-10 20:47:50, -6.485, 129.917, 5.3, 166.5, Banda Sea
usgs,2012-12-10 16:56:56, 44.956, 37.558, 4.9, 33.0, Caucasus Region. Russia
usgs,2012-12-10 16:53:09, -6.540, 129.814, 7.1, 159.3, Banda Sea
usgs,2012-12-10 15:25:46, -38.942, -72.912, 4.8, 29.7, Araucania. Chile
usgs,2012-12-10 12:43:24, 37.575, 143.554, 4.6, 34.2, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-10 09:09:35, 37.794, 143.607, 4.9, 30.5, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-10 08:41:41, 32.255, 141.300, 4.7, 7.0, Izu Isls. Japan Region
usgs,2012-12-10 00:09:53, 37.684, 143.754, 4.8, 33.9, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan

reply to post by PuterMan


Thanks for your answer! I knew the Japan quake the other day caused more earthquakes because of the "bell ringing" around the world. I wasn't sure if this quake was just more bell ringing. Thanks for clearing it up.

Good luck with your personal issues. Hope everything works out alright.

Ben81 has created a thread here with some real time monitoring tools. He said to post them here but it is easier to link the thread.

T-9 Days and counting

Earthquakes

A dearth of events in the 4.5 to 4.9 band yesterday with only 2 making the grade. Even the Mag 5 band is on the lower side of normal. It is still my opinion that we will see a Mag 7+ in the Vanuatu region before the end of the year, and possibly before the end of the world

The overall trend lifted slightly again, mainly due to the lack of Mag 4.5 - 4.9

Listing for the 11 December. 2 x 4.5/4.9, 4 x 5.0/5.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-11 23:28:04, 30.672, 140.095, 4.8, 136.0, Izu Isls. Japan Region
usgs,2012-12-11 23:16:19, -18.990, 167.790, 5.1, 10.0, Vanuatu
usgs,2012-12-11 12:18:20, -19.094, 167.624, 5.2, 28.2, Vanuatu Region
usgs,2012-12-11 06:18:27, 0.594, 126.247, 5.8, 29.7, Molucca Sea
usgs,2012-12-11 05:37:02, 14.530, 56.231, 4.8, 10.0, Owen Fracture Zone Region
usgs,2012-12-11 05:12:20, 68.135, -136.408, 5.1, 9.9, Northern Yukon Territory. Canada

All Magnitudes 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9
(The trend of overall magnitude is still increasing slightly which is a little curious)


Mag 5.0 to 5.9


Mag 6.0 to 6.9


Mag 7.0 to 7.9


Average energy per quake Mag 4.5+
(These merely indicate the average per quake which is only useful as a 'trend' of overall energy, which if the end is nigh should ramp up on would presume )


And each Magnitude band

Volcanoes

The weekly Smithsonian report will be out later so tomorrow will have better confirmed information.

I have assumed that Lokon continues today untill I get further information. Tolbachik is still doing it's thing. I posted this in Volcano Watch yesterday

Volcano Chart


Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Category 1+ storms

Cat 1+ Storms Chart


Claudia (Cat 3) continues.

Storm 4 as yet unnamed, currently south of Wallis and Futuna, is forecast to grow to Category 3 over the next few days. Current status is Tropical Storm.

Date: 11-11 DEC 2012
Tropical Storm FOUR
ADV LAT LON TIME WIND PR STAT
1 -14.30 -175.60 12/11/18Z 35 - TROPICAL STORM
+12 -13.80 -173.90 12/12/06Z 50 - TROPICAL STORM
+24 -13.20 -172.50 12/12/18Z 60 - TROPICAL STORM
+36 -13.00 -171.40 12/13/06Z 70 - CYCLONE-1
+48 -13.40 -171.50 12/13/18Z 80 - CYCLONE-1
+72 -14.80 -174.10 12/14/18Z 100 - CYCLONE-3

Source: Unisys Weather

For those of us who use proper date those are in American format.

That concludes the report of yesterday 11 December 2012 UTC.

reply to post by woogleuk


Responded on that thread.

T-8 Days and counting

Earthquakes

Another dearth of events in the 4.5 to 4.9 band yesterday with only 3 making the grade and the Mag 5 band is well below normal. The calm before the end of the world perhaps?

The overall trend dropped back slightly but is still up.

Listing for the 12 December. 3 x 4.5/4.9, 1 x 5.0/5.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-12 06:54:33, 10.072, -84.386, 4.5, 10.1, Costa Rica
usgs,2012-12-12 06:41:08, 33.871, 141.218, 4.5, 66.4, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-12 01:44:24, -19.603, -176.230, 5.0, 35.0, Fiji Region
usgs,2012-12-12 00:19:37, 37.003, 141.183, 4.8, 14.7, Nr. E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan

All Magnitudes 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9
Today saw a slight drop in the rate of upwards trend for the first time in several days.


Mag 5.0 to 5.9
The Mag 5 magnitude trend is now very slightly negative.


Mag 6.0 to 6.9


Mag 7.0 to 7.9


Average energy per quake Mag 4.5+
(These merely indicate the average per quake which is only useful as a 'trend' of overall energy, which if the end is nigh should ramp up one would presume )


And each Magnitude band

Volcanoes

Volcano Chart

KVERT reported that the eruption from Tolbachik that began on 27 November continued through 8 December. A very large thermal anomaly on the N part of Tolbachinsky Dol, a lava plateau on the SW side of the volcano, was reported daily. Lava effused from two fissures along the W side of Tolbachinsky Dol; lava had flowed 17-20 km away from the S fissure by 7 December. Ash plumes rose less than 500 m during 1-5 December, and minor ashfall was reported in Kozyrevsk (40 km NW) and Klyuchi (65 km NW) villages on 3 December. Gas-and-steam plumes drifted 250 km SE on 5 December, and rose as high as 1 km during 7-11 December and drifted SW and W. The Aviation Color Code remained at Orange.

Smithsonian

It looks as if the eruption ceased on 8th December, gas and steam not being counted. For the time bing it is considered ended.

White Island, New Zealand is showing some signs. See here

Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Category 1+ storms

New storm in the Southern Pacific (Evan) north east of Samoa and moving south west across Samoa.

Cat 1+ Storms Chart

Cyclone-1 EVAN 11-13 DEC 80 1 Active

Date: 11-13 DEC 2012
Cyclone-1 EVAN
ADV LAT LON TIME WIND PR STAT
1 -14.30 -175.60 12/11/18Z 35 - TROPICAL STORM
2 -14.10 -173.90 12/12/06Z 40 - TROPICAL STORM
3 -13.90 -173.20 12/12/12Z 50 - TROPICAL STORM
4 -14.10 -172.00 12/12/18Z 65 - CYCLONE-1
5 -14.10 -171.30 12/13/00Z 80 - CYCLONE-1
6 -13.90 -171.40 12/13/06Z 80 - CYCLONE-1
+12 -13.80 -171.30 12/13/18Z 95 - CYCLONE-2
+24 -13.90 -171.70 12/14/06Z 105 - CYCLONE-3
+36 -14.20 -172.90 12/14/18Z 110 - CYCLONE-3
+48 -14.60 -174.50 12/15/06Z 110 - CYCLONE-3
+72 -15.70 -177.80 12/16/06Z 100 - CYCLONE-3

Source: Unisys weather

Not sure if this is Storm 4 mentioned yesterday as the lat/lon is a bit out but since storm 4 has gone off the list and this is the same approximate area I am certain it is the same storm.

Claudia (Cat 3) continues.

That concludes the report of yesterday 12 December 2012 UTC.

T-7 Days and counting

Earthquakes

Not many events in the 4.5 to 4.9 band yesterday with only 4 making the grade but the Mag 5 band at 4 events is back towards normal.

Listing for the 13 December. 4 x 4.5/4.9, 4 x 5.0/5.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-13 21:39:26, 41.110, 19.792, 4.5, 10.1, Albania
usgs,2012-12-13 21:26:40, 13.140, -90.004, 5.5, 13.0, Offshore El Salvador
usgs,2012-12-13 17:20:26, 9.043, -84.041, 4.9, 34.0, Costa Rica
usgs,2012-12-13 17:16:22, 9.098, -84.066, 5.0, 37.3, Costa Rica
usgs,2012-12-13 11:56:06, 35.572, 140.192, 4.6, 62.6, Nr. E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-13 10:02:43, 23.426, -44.753, 4.7, 10.1, Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
usgs,2012-12-13 00:53:32, -30.928, -178.252, 5.5, 64.9, Kermadec Isls. Nz
usgs,2012-12-13 23:03:38, 80.784, 121.561, 5.7, 9.8, East Of Severnaya Zemlya

All Magnitudes 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9


Mag 5.0 to 5.9


Mag 6.0 to 6.9


Mag 7.0 to 7.9


Average energy per quake Mag 4.5+
(These merely indicate the average per quake which is only useful as a 'trend' of overall energy, which if the end is nigh should ramp up one would presume )


And each Magnitude band

Volcanoes

Volcano Chart

KVERT reported that the eruption from Tolbachik that began on 27 November continued through 8 December. A very large thermal anomaly on the N part of Tolbachinsky Dol, a lava plateau on the SW side of the volcano, was reported daily. Lava effused from two fissures along the W side of Tolbachinsky Dol; lava had flowed 17-20 km away from the S fissure by 7 December. Ash plumes rose less than 500 m during 1-5 December, and minor ashfall was reported in Kozyrevsk (40 km NW) and Klyuchi (65 km NW) villages on 3 December. Gas-and-steam plumes drifted 250 km SE on 5 December, and rose as high as 1 km during 7-11 December and drifted SW and W. The Aviation Color Code remained at Orange.

Smithsonian

The eruption ceased on 8th December, gas and steam not being counted. For the time bing it is considered ended.

White Island, New Zealand is showing some signs. See here

Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Category 1+ storms

Evan (Southern Pacific) continues. Claudia (max Cat 3) came off the list at midnight and has subsided. Still shown in the figures for the 13th.

Cat 1+ Storms Chart

Cyclone-1 EVAN 11-13 DEC 80 1 Active

Date: 11-13 DEC 2012
Cyclone-1 EVAN
ADV LAT LON TIME WIND PR STAT
1 -14.30 -175.60 12/11/18Z 35 - TROPICAL STORM
2 -14.10 -173.90 12/12/06Z 40 - TROPICAL STORM
3 -13.90 -173.20 12/12/12Z 50 - TROPICAL STORM
4 -14.10 -172.00 12/12/18Z 65 - CYCLONE-1
5 -14.10 -171.30 12/13/00Z 80 - CYCLONE-1
6 -13.90 -171.40 12/13/06Z 80 - CYCLONE-1
+12 -13.80 -171.30 12/13/18Z 95 - CYCLONE-2
+24 -13.90 -171.70 12/14/06Z 105 - CYCLONE-3
+36 -14.20 -172.90 12/14/18Z 110 - CYCLONE-3
+48 -14.60 -174.50 12/15/06Z 110 - CYCLONE-3
+72 -15.70 -177.80 12/16/06Z 100 - CYCLONE-3

Source: Unisys weather

That concludes the report of yesterday 13 December 2012 UTC.

T-6 Days and counting

Earthquakes

Definitely back to normal now - or ramping up?

Listing for the 14 December. 9 x 4.5/4.9, 5 x 5.0/5.9, 1 x 6.0/6.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-14 22:37:24, -6.229, 130.182, 4.8, 133.9, Banda Sea
usgs,2012-12-14 20:37:19, 38.625, 142.334, 4.8, 53.9, Nr. E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-14 19:18:57, 13.011, -89.982, 4.8, 69.0, Offshore El Salvador
usgs,2012-12-14 17:46:45, -5.258, 153.412, 5.1, 36.7, New Ireland Region. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-14 16:52:38, -15.368, -178.106, 5.3, 10.0, Fiji Region
usgs,2012-12-14 16:16:21, -7.797, 105.782, 4.8, 31.6, Java. Ind.
usgs,2012-12-14 10:50:15, 31.236, -119.695, 4.7, 9.8, Off W. Coast Of Baja California
usgs,2012-12-14 10:36:02, 31.213, -119.559, 6.3, 11.3, Off W. Coast Of Baja California
usgs,2012-12-14 09:55:44, -19.028, 169.540, 4.6, 9.9, Vanuatu
usgs,2012-12-14 05:07:04, 37.522, 143.794, 4.7, 33.4, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-14 04:58:51, 14.012, -91.764, 5.1, 45.9, Offshore Guatemala
usgs,2012-12-14 04:04:08, 13.956, -91.740, 5.2, 45.6, Offshore Guatemala
usgs,2012-12-14 02:34:53, -5.017, 152.943, 5.1, 52.5, New Britain Region. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-14 02:17:33, 22.750, 95.902, 4.7, 23.5, Myanmar
usgs,2012-12-14 01:22:05, 37.429, 143.546, 4.9, 39.8, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan

One mag 6+

Magnitude 6.3 - Off The West Coast Of Baja California

Location in Google Maps

• Date-Time: Friday, December 14, 2012 @ 10:36:02 UTC
  
• Earthquake location: 31.213°N, 119.560°W,
  
• Earthquake depth: 11.3 km
  
• Distances:
  263km (163mi) SSW of Avalon, California
  269km (167mi) WSW of Rosarito, Mexico
  276km (171mi) WSW of Imperial Beach, California
  277km (172mi) SW of Coronado, California
  746km (463mi) WSW of Phoenix, Arizona
  
• Event ID: usc000e9sl
  

Derived from Event Data Source: USGS
Powered by QVSData

All Magnitudes 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9


Mag 5.0 to 5.9


Mag 6.0 to 6.9


Mag 7.0 to 7.9


Average energy per quake Mag 4.5+
(These merely indicate the average per quake which is only useful as a 'trend' of overall energy, which if the end is nigh should ramp up one would presume )


And each Magnitude band

Volcanoes

Volcano Chart


Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Category 1+ storms

Evan (max Cat 3) came off the list and has subsided which is earlier than forecast. Still shown in the figures for the 14th.

Cat 1+ Storms Chart

Cyclone-3 EVAN 11-14 DEC 80 1

That concludes the report of yesterday 14 December 2012 UTC.

T-5 Days and counting

The tension! Will it won't it? Will some folks have to wait for their doom until the 22nd because of the time zones?

Earthquakes

Listing for the 15 December. 7 x 4.5/4.9, 4 x 5.0/5.9, 1 x 6.0/6.9

Prov,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
usgs,2012-12-15 21:23:44, 37.603, 143.784, 4.8, 34.1, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-15 19:30:03, -4.724, 152.963, 6.0, 55.8, New Britain Region. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-15 19:16:50, -3.504, 100.452, 4.9, 15.1, Kepulauan Mentawai Region. Ind.
usgs,2012-12-15 13:03:27, 13.204, -89.857, 4.5, 74.4, Offshore El Salvador
usgs,2012-12-15 12:43:29, 12.134, -88.700, 5.0, 34.6, Off Coast Of El Salvador
usgs,2012-12-15 10:55:25, 37.602, 143.745, 4.8, 35.4, Off E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-15 08:53:35, -23.976, -66.816, 4.5, 204.9, Jujuy. Argentina
usgs,2012-12-15 07:33:14, -4.924, 153.378, 5.2, 58.2, New Ireland Region. P.N.G
usgs,2012-12-15 05:46:15, 36.797, 141.127, 4.8, 45.3, Nr. E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-15 04:49:30, 52.344, 173.964, 5.9, 29.9, Nr. Isls.
usgs,2012-12-15 04:27:02, 37.348, 141.286, 5.2, 57.8, Nr. E. Coast Of Honshu. Japan
usgs,2012-12-15 01:03:36, -8.624, 120.416, 4.5, 126.4, Flores Region. Ind.

One mag 6+

Magnitude 6.0 - New Britain Region. Papua New Guinea

Location in Google Maps

• Date-Time: Saturday, December 15, 2012 @ 19:30:03 UTC
  
• Earthquake location: 4.724°S, 152.964°E,
  
• Earthquake depth: 55.8 km
  
• Distances:
  29km (18mi) SSW of Taron, PNG
  87km (54mi) ESE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea
  325km (201mi) ENE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea
  329km (204mi) WNW of Arawa, Papua New Guinea
  824km (512mi) NE of Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea
  
• Event ID: usc000eacu
  

Derived from Event Data Source: USGS
Powered by QVSData

All Magnitudes trend 4.5+


Mag 4.5 to 4.9 magnitudes trend.


Mag 5.0 to 5.9 magnitudes trend.


Mag 6.0 to 6.9 magnitudes trend.


Mag 7.0 to 7.9 magnitudes trend.


Average energy per quake Mag 4.5+
(These merely indicate the average per quake which is only useful as a 'trend' of overall energy, which if the end is nigh should ramp up one would presume )


And each Magnitude band

Volcanoes

Volcano Chart


Australian VAAC
Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology VAAC

Category 1+ storms

Evan (max Cat 3) was an error yesterday. They should not have taken the active status off. It is back on today.

Cat 1+ Storms Chart

Cyclone-3 EVAN 11-15 DEC 80 1

That concludes the report of yesterday 15 December 2012 UTC.