Quake Watch 2012

reply to post by PuterMan


Thanks, PuterMan!!! Does this mean you don't want these frog bumps? Dang it, I'll NEVER get rid of 'em!!

Stoopid Stoopid Double Doubler......

Muzzy, yesterday I received a private newsletter (PDF) that circulates to subscribers of Ken Ring. Has lots of interesting info included that you might like to evaluate?

Includes a fair bit of data, showing that EQ activity is actually decreased for NZ, and that the North Island has been having more EQ's than the South Island, but not getting much mention due to all the attention being given to Canterbury.

Maybe he's not as crazy as some might think...it's all about the MOON, SUN & PLANETS but at least doesn't believe in CHEMTRAILS or HAARP!

If you don't already have it and would like it just let me know.

reply to post by SpaceJockey1

yeah sure, I U2U'd you my address

I interrupt this thread for an important message to the US residents on here.

I case you have missed it there is now a FEMA website to post your ideas on how they can better help and do a better job..

With this thread........ www.abovetopsecret.com...

Sorry for the interruption.

Be nice,I was just trying to spread the word on how to better protect our citizens.

Carry on.

Magnitude mb 5.3
Region CRETE, GREECE
Date time 2012-01-27 01:33:23.0 UTC
Location 35.96 N ; 25.02 E
Depth 13 km
Distances 71 km NW Iráklion (pop 137,154 ; local time 03:33:23.6 2012-01-27)
71 km NW Néa alikarnassós (pop 11,886 ; local time 03:33:23.6 2012-01-27)
58 km SW Emboríon (pop 1,946 ; local time 03:33:23.6 2012-01-27)


Source parameters reviewed by a seismologist
EMSC

With a lot of 'afters' in the same area too.

Hmmmm
Rainbows
Jane

5.2 2012/01/27 01:33:22 35.949 25.003 8.9 CRETE, GREECE
4.2 2012/01/26 06:18:58 36.057 24.997 11.4 SOUTHERN GREECE
4.1 2012/01/26 05:57:59 36.080 25.136 17.1 DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE
5.2 2012/01/26 04:24:59 36.111 25.140 18.5 DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE
4.2 2012/01/21 22:48:24 34.579 26.772 35.4 CRETE, GREECE

The Depth is getting progressively shallower each time

Here's something I noticed - it's probably nothing

First is the tremor display for Jan 25

I have circled Big Bend and the X is where I calculate the quakes were





Looks like these quakes are not on any known fault line

2.5 2012/01/26 13:28:23 41.037N 121.999W 12.0 8 km ( 5 mi) WNW of Big Bend, CA
1.0 2012/01/26 07:34:00 41.042N 121.996W 5.0 8 km ( 5 mi) WNW of Big Bend, CA
3.2 2012/01/26 02:16:49 41.035N 121.997W 11.5 8 KM ( 5 MI) WNW OF BIG BEND, CA

Magnitude
3.2
Date-Time
Thursday, January 26, 2012 at 10:16:49 UTC
Thursday, January 26, 2012 at 02:16:49 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location
41.035°N, 121.997°W
Depth
11.5 km (7.1 miles)
Region
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Distances
8 km (5 miles) WNW (283°) from Big Bend, CA
23 km (14 miles) NNW (343°) from Montgomery Creek, CA
27 km (16 miles) N (350°) from Round Mountain, CA
33 km (20 miles) WNW (302°) from Burney, CA
60 km (37 miles) NNE (32°) from Redding, CA
279 km (174 miles) N (351°) from Sacramento, CA
Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 0.2 km (0.1 miles); depth +/- 1.1 km (0.7 miles)
Parameters
Nph= 55, Dmin=24 km, Rmss=0.11 sec, Gp= 43°,
M-type=local magnitude (ML), Version=5
Source
California Integrated Seismic Net:
USGS Caltech CGS UCB UCSD UNR
Event ID
nc71718530

earthquake.usgs.gov...

Wondering if there is any correlation between the tremors and the quakes...

Originally posted by SpaceJockey1
Muzzy, yesterday I received a private newsletter (PDF) that circulates to subscribers of Ken Ring. Has lots of interesting info included that you might like to evaluate?

Includes a fair bit of data, showing that EQ activity is actually decreased for NZ, and that the North Island has been having more EQ's than the South Island, but not getting much mention due to all the attention being given to Canterbury.

Maybe he's not as crazy as some might think...it's all about the MOON, SUN & PLANETS but at least doesn't believe in CHEMTRAILS or HAARP!

If you don't already have it and would like it just let me know.

I also get that newsletter and MY GOD.. what a load of twaddle that man can emit.. seriously, he's a loony!! For example, he's claiming that Geonet, our local quake monitoring outfit, is fiddling with the drums so we think the quakes are smaller than they are. Believe me, Canterbury is FULL of experienced quake watchers/feelers after nearly 18 months of quakes totalling just over 9,500 - we know a mag 5 when we feel one!!!!!

Another quake in Northern Italy

5.3 36km SW of Palma

Shallow

earthquake.usgs.gov...

Nice line of three quakes now

earthquake.usgs.gov...

No time for the PC today but thought I'd post this.

The 2010 earthquake that devastated southern Haiti may have opened a new era of seismic activity and residents should brace for more massive temblors, says a US study.
The 7.0 quake that killed 250,000 people and levelled much of the capital, Port-au-Prince, was of a magnitude unseen on the island since the 18th century, said the study in the Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America.

An equivalent 6.6-level quake in 1701, centred on the same region and described in similar ways to the 2010 temblor according to historical accounts, was followed by three big quakes - two in 1751 and one in 1770, said the study.

Those quakes would be equal to about 7.5, 6.6 and 7.5 today, and were all located on or near the same crack in the Earth's crust known as the Enriquillo fault that extends along southern Haiti and the Dominican Republic.

The fault system has accumulated ''considerable potential slip'' since the 18th century, and regional stress levels in the Earth may be sufficient to unleash more massive temblors in the coming years,'' said the research.

''The 2010 Haiti earthquake may mark the beginning of a new cycle of large earthquakes on the Enriquillo fault system after 240 years of seismic quiescence,'' said the study, led by William Bakun of the US Geological Survey.

''The entire Enriquillo fault system appears to be seismically active; Haiti and the Dominican Republic should prepare for future devastating earthquakes.''

Sydney Morning Herald

reply to post by murkraz


Wonder why this is coming out now? The geologists pretty much said all that immediately after the Haiti quake as I recall. The suggestion at the time was that the next one would be closer to Port Au Prince.

reply to post by MoorfNZ


I bet he's making a few $ out of it though. How much does it cost for the subscription?
Not that I want one
I got his book on Weather Forecasts back in 2006 as a Christmas present, as I was always moaning about how the NZ Met Office couldn't forecast beyond 3 days, and knowing the weather is important to my job.
Well I tracked the actual weather and compared it with his predictions for several months.
He was wrong 60% of the time.
The book was a waste of money, and I threw it away, a pair of socks for Christmas would have been more useful

From what I seen on TV any "hits" he has made about the Christchurch quakes have been pure chance, and manipulation of the forecast time period to cover all odds.

Originally posted by MoorfNZ
Another quake in Northern Italy

5.3 36km SW of Palma

Shallow

earthquake.usgs.gov...

Nice line of three quakes now

earthquake.usgs.gov...

Plus the two 5.4 and 5.2 in greece..

I really hope that those are the main quakes..

Magnitude ML 4.8
Region WESTERN TURKEY
Date time 2012-01-27 17:43:19.0 UTC
Location 37.47 N ; 27.10 E
Depth 4 km
Distances 78 km SW Aydin (pop 163,022 ; local time 19:43:19.0 2012-01-27)
42 km SW Söke (pop 68,230 ; local time 19:43:19.0 2012-01-27)
28 km SE Pithagório (pop 1,297 ; local time 19:43:19.0 2012-01-27)

EMSC

Man the whole region is active...

reply to post by MoorfNZ


SpaceJockey1 sent me a copy (cheers)
After a quick read I agree he hasn't got a clue about reading siesmos.
He's saying MQZ has been manipulated.
The MQZ traces are thinner because the station is the closest to the quake, less travel time, Rata Peaks is thicker and Wanaka even thicker still, because they are further away doh!

Diminishing Numbers
The problem with this is that the data for the last 2-3 months is only preliminary, so you can't compare it to data a from 6-9 months ago. I started making "revised and updated" maps for 2011 and found that the "numbers" had DOUBLED on a per day basis from the preliminary numbers.
It might have worked if he compared preliminary data from 6-9 months ago with recent data.
Even my numbers graph of 2011 is not 100% complete as we are only one - two months past Nov/Dec and the numbers forNov/ Dec are going to be higher than what the graph shows when the rest of the quakes have been located.
You can't draw any conclusions from any data less than 2 months old, unless its in the Mag 4.5+ range, and even then I have seen offshore 4's show up in the revised data that weren't there in the prelim.

Also he calls each aftershock "next largest earthquake"
Of course each quake has an identity in its own right, but you can't say they are not aftershocks or unrelated, they are on the same or neighbouring fault lines and caused by the settling/adjustment of the ground after the main event.

Perigees accompany every next largest earthquake, and closer ones accompany every larger event.

Oh yeah? My research shows this is not true at all. Many large quakes happen outside Perigee,
Now I have a copy of his predictions I'll keep track and see what % are correct over the coming months

For those who like Jewels,,,lol no Joules,,, and numbers,,


For the math people, in todays day and age,,
an interesting Formula for Energy Release.

Eth = VxdxTxK (from the Dynamics of Volcanism)

Eth is in Joules
V=volume in cubic kilo meters.
d=specific gravity (1.0)
T=temp. of Ejecta (500 degress Centigrade
K=Constant including the specific heat of the magma,
and the mechanical equivilent of heat,(8.37x10*to the 14th power,),,

thus the thermal energy released during the 79 A.D eruption was or approximately,,
2x10*too the 18th power Joules.
------------
May help in calculations,,

Me.

Originally posted by muzzy
reply to post by MoorfNZ

 

I bet he's making a few $ out of it though. How much does it cost for the subscription?
Not that I want one

I got his book on Weather Forecasts back in 2006 as a Christmas present, as I was always moaning about how the NZ Met Office couldn't forecast beyond 3 days, and knowing the weather is important to my job.
Well I tracked the actual weather and compared it with his predictions for several months.
He was wrong 60% of the time.
The book was a waste of money, and I threw it away, a pair of socks for Christmas would have been more useful

From what I seen on TV any "hits" he has made about the Christchurch quakes have been pure chance, and manipulation of the forecast time period to cover all odds.

The email newsletter is free, I wouldn't give that charlatan a penny of my money!!

He used to have a Facebook page but he didn't like his 'theories' being questioned and gave up as he couldn't control the content...

A group of us have been analysing his 'predictions' - even though the guy covers just about every day in each month he still can't get it right. He's loving the media attention he got here - but can't take the heat when someone asks his methods. Nutjob.

Hi guys

I regards to the 5.3 Quake in Italy, it was felt also in Switzerland with chairs moving, buildings shaking across some places ranging from Lausanne, Lucerne and Zurich. I live in Switzerland, haven't felt it but a lot of other people have felt it and posted their coordinates.

I was in the car anyhow to actually feel it

reply to post by MoorfNZ

If you've looked into it and found that it was useless, then I won't bother doing it again.
At least Jim Berkland (in the USA) has a web site where there is a follow up (results of) to his predictions.
I only go there occasionally to read what Don from Hollister has to say, he's the only one that talks sense, about the geology and such.
I take it K Ring doesn't follow up, probably because it would show he was wrong.