Quake Watch 2012

reply to post by murkraz


Yeah, I'm with you...pretty interesting. I am anxious to see what the others have to say. I know what they are talking about in the article in regards to the heating of the atmosphere...I've heard that before but I would like to see the US say they are concerned. Nothing I have found so far says that.

Yo MoorfNZ,

You guys just get a quake near NZ?

Picking up something down that way, but can't make heads or tales of it yet...

Edit, nah, can't be NZ, gotta be somewhere near Tonga/Fiji or Soloman, maybe Vanuato? Dunno...



Aha! 6.3 South of Fiji

earthquake.usgs.gov...

Magnitude mb 6.3
Region SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
Date time 2012-01-24 00:52:06.0 UTC
Location 24.89 S ; 178.66 E
Depth 595 km
Distances 752 km S Suva (pop 199,455 ; local time 12:52:06.0 2012-01-24)
752 km SW Nuku'alofa (pop 23,611 ; local time 14:52:06.0 2012-01-24)
742 km S Deuba (pop 1,846 ; local time 12:52:06.0 2012-01-24)

Source: EMSC

6.3mb? Possible 6.6Mw??

See you edited

USGS in 6.3Mw Don't believe Mb and Mw are the same although they can be.

ETA: Thought not

mb = 6.0 ( 74) ML = 0.0 ( 0) mblg = 0.0 ( 0) md = 0.0 ( 0) MS = 0.0 ( 0)

neic.usgs.gov...

Three points off from EMSC

reply to post by TrueAmerican


Good call there.

reply to post by murkraz


I will see if I can manage a couple of dollars worth tomorrow. I am investigating it.

Originally posted by TrueAmerican
Yo MoorfNZ,

You guys just get a quake near NZ?

Picking up something down that way, but can't make heads or tales of it yet...

Edit, nah, can't be NZ, gotta be somewhere near Tonga/Fiji or Soloman, maybe Vanuato? Dunno...

edit on Mon Jan 23rd 2012 by TrueAmerican because: (no reason given)

Aha! 6.3 South of Fiji

earthquake.usgs.gov...

edit on Mon Jan 23rd 2012 by TrueAmerican because: (no reason given)

Thankfully not us!! Not this time.....

Hmm, so now picking up something in the Papua, NG area... My how I wish I could give you a magnitude estimate.



We should see in a few...

Ok, so must not have made the 4.5 list... There was also another in Chile. That may not make the 4.5 list either. Sorry folks, trying to get a clue here....


Oh well, at least I am halfway vindicated: 4.6 Chile.
earthquake.usgs.gov...

TextMagnitude 4.6 Date-Time Tuesday, January 24, 2012 at 01:45:27 UTC Monday, January 23, 2012 at 09:45:27 PM at epicenter Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones Location 34.535°S, 71.886°W Depth 34 km (21.1 miles) Region LIBERTADOR O'HIGGINS, CHILE Distances 78 km (48 miles) NW of Curico, Maule, Chile 102 km (63 miles) NNW of Talca, Maule, Chile 106 km (65 miles) SSW of San Antonio, Valparaiso, Chile 165 km (102 miles) SW of SANTIAGO, Region Metropolitana, Chile Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 18.6 km (11.6 miles); depth +/- 6 km (3.7 miles) Parameters NST= 57, Nph= 61, Dmin=53.4 km, Rmss=0.89 sec, Gp=137°, M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=4

source(earthquake.usgs.gov...

reply to post by TrueAmerican


Do you mind me askIng what do you mean by saying you're picking up something? Do you have like a Website or what do you mean?

reply to post by Hellas


Shhhh - Ancient Chinese Secret

Something in the air folks! Let us hope we all get through this week okay!

Originally posted by murkraz

Another interesting post:

The devastating earthquake that struck Japan in early 2011 was apparently preceded by small, repeating quakes that migrated slowly to where the disaster eventually took place, scientists now find. The magnitude 9.0 Tohoku-Oki temblor in March was the most powerful earthquake known to ever hit Japan and the fifth-most powerful quake ever recorded.

To find out more about why it happened — in the hopes of predicting any other such disaster — seismologists combed through records of seismic activity from before the rupture occurred. Their analysis identified small earthquakes that are normally obscured by overlapping seismic waves.

In the month before the Tohoku-Oki "megathrust" quake, the researchers found more than a thousand quakes migrated toward its hypocenter, the point where the quake's energy was released, at the rate of 1.2 to 62 miles (2 to 10 kilometers) per day. Their analysis suggests two sequences of faults slowly grinding against each other led to the initial rupture point of the disaster. The second of these sequences may have contributed enough stress to set off the main earthquake, they said.

...Link

Interesting indeed.
You know you keep hearing stories like this about hundreds/thousands of small quakes happening in various places, like in Costa Rica last year too (posts are in the QW2011 somewhere) but the only one that was made public at the time it was happening was at Hierro, Canary Islands.
I'm starting to see that no matter how fastidious we are searching and following the quakes ourselves off the Internet, we are not going to see the big one coming, because they are not releasing all the data.

ETA; Speaking of Japan, there was a story onNZ National Radio News today saying that scientists are predicting Tokyo getting wacked with a 7+ within the next 4 years, because the Tohoku 9.0 has shifted the faults around over there.
Not sure if this is new or just a rehash. JMA keep a page for the expected Tokai quake here and there is nothing on it right now.

reply to post by Hellas


Using GEE (Global Earthquake Explorer)

You can read all about it here on TA's GEE topic

This is the GEE download page for all version of GEE (which is free)

Originally posted by PuterMan
reply to post by Hellas

 

Using GEE (Global Earthquake Explorer)

You can read all about it here on TA's GEE topic

This is the GEE download page for all version of GEE (which is free)

Awesome stuff, I had always wondered myself what everyone was using.

I'm actually going to Cali next week, so I hope nothing does unfold! Here's some action after yet another silent night, and no, I don't sleep.

Magnitude 3.9 - NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
2012 January 24 12:11:28 UTC
Location
38.969°N, 122.693°W
Depth
3.1 km (1.9 miles)
Region
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Distances
6 km (4 miles) SSW (200°) from Clearlake Oaks, CA
6 km (4 miles) WNW (289°) from Clearlake, CA
10 km (6 miles) NW (312°) from Lower Lake, CA
49 km (30 miles) ESE (114°) from Ukiah, CA
116 km (72 miles) WNW (294°) from Sacramento, CA

USGS

Shallow and based on water @ Clear Lake

Also,

CNN, I know, but caught my eyes in the headlines.

Tokyo faces the possibility of being hit by a massive earthquake within the next four years, according to Japanese researchers. The University of Tokyo's Earthquake Research Institute predicts there is a 70% probability that the capital's metropolitan area will experience a magnitude-7 quake within four years and a 98% probability within the next 30 years.

Nearly one year ago, a magnitude 9.0 quake struck off Japan's central Pacific coast, triggering a devastating tsunami and aftershocks that left more than 15,700 dead, according to a government report in December on Japan's recovery from the catastrophe. About 4,500 were listed as missing. Nearly 700 aftershocks registering magnitude 5 or greater followed last year's quake, the government report said.

The March 11 earthquake -- dubbed "Tohoku" after the region in which it occurred -- also damaged the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power station, where three reactors experienced full meltdowns, creating a nuclear crisis for a country already grappling with disaster.

How precise are seismic forecasts?

Gary Gibson, a seismologist at Australia's Seismology Research Centre Seismology Research Centre, called the Earthquake Research Institute's findings "not at all unexpected," given the level of seismic activity and their model.

"Seismologists cannot predict with certainty when, where and how large the next big earthquake will be," he wrote in an e-mail to CNN. "However, it is possible to forecast the probability of an earthquake in a particular time range (e.g. the next four years), location area (e.g. the Tokyo region), and magnitude range (e.g. greater than magnitude 7.0).

"Long-term forecasts use average activity levels from past earthquakes, geological data from fault displacements, and data about plate movement and deformation from very precise GPS measurements and other methods to determine these probabilities."

Link

TextMagnitude mb 4.8 Region FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS Date time 2012-01-24 13:34:56.4 UTC Location 52.78 N ; 167.41 W Depth 33 km Distances 1437 km SW Anchorage (pop 276,263 ; local time 04:34:56.4 2012-01-24) 1582 km SE Anadyr (pop 10,332 ; local time 01:34:56.4 2012-01-25) 134 km SW Unalaska (pop 3,571 ; local time 04:34:56.4 2012-01-24)

source(www.emsc-csem.org...

Because not yet reported on USGS

Originally posted by PuterMan
reply to post by Hellas

 

Using GEE (Global Earthquake Explorer)

You can read all about it here on TA's GEE topic

This is the GEE download page for all version of GEE (which is free)

Close, but not quite. Seeing as you abandoned us completely in the icequake thread ( ), dunno if I should tell you or not! But things have changed for me. Info in the icequake thread.

Hellas:
In general, yes, I am using tools to view waveform seismogram data in near real time, and I can see them now just about as fast as anyone- in other words, before the official agencies report the quakes. And so when I say I am picking up something, it means I believe I have spotted a seismic event. I think the regulars knew exactly what I was talking about.

little one in the english Channel
2012/01/24 12:12:36.0 49.807 -0.268 5 2.5 ENGLISH CHANNEL 110KM S OF WORTHING

rainbows
Jane

Arkansas is shaking.

Originally posted by TrueAmerican

Originally posted by PuterMan
reply to post by Hellas

 

Using GEE (Global Earthquake Explorer)

You can read all about it here on TA's GEE topic

This is the GEE download page for all version of GEE (which is free)

Close, but not quite. Seeing as you abandoned us completely in the icequake thread (

), dunno if I should tell you or not!

But things have changed for me. Info in the icequake thread.

Hellas:
In general, yes, I am using tools to view waveform seismogram data in near real time, and I can see them now just about as fast as anyone- in other words, before the official agencies report the quakes. And so when I say I am picking up something, it means I believe I have spotted a seismic event. I think the regulars knew exactly what I was talking about.

Well I'm glad you didn't come with an "I remote view them" answer

reply to post by Hellas


Actually, he is remote viewing them.

He just happens to be using software and hardware rather than wetware...



Eric, I have trouble getting any of my selves to do the dishes, no matter which one is doing the speaking...

I keep watching the little squares over at USGS and jave noted that there are now constant little eruptions of seismic activity east of the Rockies. Granted this is not entirely unknown, but it seems like there is more in the Eastern US than previously.

I'm sure PM hasv a chart somewhere showing seismic activity in the Eastern US is at "normal levels."

reply to post by murkraz


That must be where the Radio got the story.
Nothing new then really, heard it being forecast for years.
Radio NZ National are good for "as it happens" reporting such as when the big Christchurch quakes were going on, but looks like when there isn't any news they take feeds from such as CNN.

More rumbling out in the tumbleweeds:

Magnitude 3.6

Date-Time Tuesday, January 24, 2012 at 18:21:02 UTC Tuesday, January24,2012at 12:21:02PM at epicenter Time of Earthquakein otherTimeZones

Location 30.289°N, 103.367°W

Depth 5 km (3.1 miles)

Region WESTERN TEXAS

Distances 28 km (17 miles) ESE of Alpine, Texas 62 km (38 miles) E of Marfa, Texas 339 km (210 miles) ESE of El Paso, Texas 541 km (336 miles) W of AUSTIN, Texas

Location Uncertainty horizontal+/- 12.5 km (7.8miles);depth +/- 4.6km (2.9miles)

Parameters NST= 36, Nph= 40, Dmin=110.2 km, Rmss=1.13 sec, Gp= 61°, M-type="Nuttli" surface wavemagnitude(mbLg),Version=7

Source Magnitude: USGSNEIC (WDCS-D) Location: USGSNEIC (WDCS-D)

Event ID usc0007r0p

USGS

And in southwestern Utah:

Magnitude 3.0

Date-Time Tuesday, January 24, 2012 at 06:01:29 UTC Monday, January23,2012at 11:01:29PM at epicenter Time of Earthquakein otherTimeZones

Location 37.403°N, 113.875°W

Depth 1.2 km (~0.7 mile) (poorly constrained)

Region UTAH

Distances 23 km (14 miles) SW (217°) from Enterprise, UT 31 km (19 miles) NNW (327°) from Ivins, UT 33 km (21 miles) ESE (109°) from Joseco, NV 43 km (27 miles) NW (323°) from St. George, UT 61 km (38 miles) ESE (113°) from Caliente, NV 180 km (112 miles) NE (41°) from Las Vegas, NV

Location Uncertainty horizontal+/- 1.3km (0.8miles);depth +/- 2.9km (1.8miles)

Parameters Nph= 13, Dmin=28.5 km, Rmss=0.26 sec, Gp=194°, M-type=local magnitude (ML), Version=2

Source University of Utah SeismographStations

Event ID uu01240601

USGS also