UARS is now officially off track! T-minus impact on earth. Make a guess where it will land!

UN headquarters, NYC

Originally posted by LightAssassin
reply to post by dreamseeker

 

I'd say the server is overloaded with people watching it now.

The latest:

UPDATE #8 - As of 7 a.m. EDT Sept. 22, 2011, the orbit of UARS was 115 mi by 120 mi (185 km by 195 km). Re-entry is expected sometime during the afternoon of Sept. 23, Eastern Daylight Time. The satellite will not be passing over North America during that time period. It is still too early to predict the time and location of re-entry with any more certainty, but predictions will become more refined in the next 24 to 36 hours.

So this is suppose to re-enter tomorrow, Friday Sept 23? And it wont land somewhere for 24 - 36 hours?

Am I reading that correctly? When is it suppose to hit land?

On it's current trajectory (currently skirting Iraq/Iran) it will pass very close to DFW. TX, Chicago, IL, and London, England.....update, just changed. Will be closer to Bristol, England, and Paris, France.

I am bad at math here so if it is traveling 17460 miles per hour then how does that relate to how fast is dropping to earth. It is going 4.85 miles per secon so multiply that by 60 an you get 291 times 60 is 17460. Am I right on my math? So by that how can I caluclate when it will impact earth.

i wonder how hard it would be to make a cruise missle look like a broken down satelite

Indian ocean right on the coast , no injuries :-)

reply to post by dreamseeker


From what I can gather, it's an elliptical orbit - meaning that it gets closer then further away depending where it is in its orbit. You'd have to calculate the rate of fall for the entire ellipse. I think that's why nobody has it figured out yet. Also, while I was looking at it, the projected trajectory changed by a few degrees. I'm not sure that's helping with things. Now you have a third axis to add into your calculations.

reply to post by summer5


I am trying to figure that one out. It makes a huge difference. This thing is traveling at 17460 miles per hour so to know where it will impact will vary minute by minute.

reply to post by Badgered1


I am so horrible at math what kind of equation woul this be? Is this like a forumala I would have to set up? I got a d in algebra. If we just knew exactly the fall rate then we could say when an where.

My best guess would be in the Denver area. Almost makes sense with whats goin' on there. Who knows maybe the powers that be have of somewhat control over it and will make it crash there. Of course this is all just supposition.

reply to post by dreamseeker


I'm sure that atmospheric friction, atmospheric density, gravitational pull (dependent on where it is) would all come into play too. I'm not a math wizard at all. Just throwing out all the variables that make this a nightmare for the predictors! I'd sooner trust the guys in "the gray area" who had dreams about it! It's not like an artillery shell that you can pretty much call the landing zone. It's moving in a weird orbit.

Not sure there's any macro you could set up in time to predict this. I think that's why NASA are playing their "chances of it hitting you are very slim" card. They have absolutely no idea either, is my guess. Or they do, and they're just playing with us (consider the site you're on!).

Joplin and Columbia, Missouri should have overhead views soon!

With a bit of luck it might land on Al Gore's head.

There's always hope.

Warm enough for ya Al ?

Cosmic...

which way was it headed just before it went off the screen?

Currently headed towards the south pacific and will go 'feet dry' at Mazatlan, Mexico.

I betting on a trailer park.

I say Antarctica. Along with all the other UFO's and meteorites that hang out up there...

reply to post by Bowser65


I live in Denver, well lower Highlands Ranch. The police are conducting large scale terror-threat live drills all around the Denver Metro area - many locations within 5 miles of where Im at.

Definitely staying vigilant around here...interested to see what will become of the whole situation...Im hearing that the president is also nearby but Im not sure.

reply to post by Rails


Rails asked: i wonder how hard it would be to make a cruise missle look like a broken down satelite?

Not hard if you only show the public 8 frames of grainy cctv video of the impact.

If you have an android phone download the app called "Satellite AR". Its kinda like google sky for Satellites and they are tracking UARS in it.Next passover for here is in 10 minutes =D