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Originally posted by nataylor
No, not fact. The orbital data says that Elenin is on a hyperbolic orbit. This means it is unlikely to have entered the inner solar system at all in the past, and this one pass through will be its one and only. Even if the current orbital data is further refined with more observations, at best Elenin will have a very highly elliptical orbit with a period of millions of years. There is no way it can have a period of 3600 years.
Originally posted by phantomjack
6. Elenin is on an elliptical orbit which brings it to earth every ~3600 years. FACT
Originally posted by nataylor
Actually, if a comet breaks up, the debris tends to stay in very nearly the same orbit.
Originally posted by 3dman7
I haven't read every single post in this thread but, looking at the JPL model, I see the potential for a major problem when/if the comet disintegrates when it swings around the sun. The predicted path will be different for all those small bodies and earth/iss could likely be in the path of a hail of mini comets.....it's just a matter of at which point it breaks apart...if it indeed does.
reply to post by ALOSTSOUL
On another thought, if we are to believe that Elenin is 3-5 km then how can it be a global killer. Doesn't an asteriod/Comet need to be hundred of miles wide to cause an ELE.
Originally posted by Bob Sholtz
I'm going to keep this short, but sweet. I have some inside info on elenin and its trajectory. NASA is worried that comet elenin will hit, (yes, physically collide with), the International Space Station (the exact phrasing was "nasa space station"). This means the official .24 au passing distance is a lie.
Originally posted by Bob Sholtz
It also explains the media silence. Most comets recieve large, global news coverage.
Originally posted by Bob Sholtz
There seems to be a massive disinfo campaign concerning this comet, several youtube accounts have been deleted along with all their videos, for no reason.
Originally posted by operation mindcrime
reply to post by Bob Sholtz
Maybe it's the debris field this comet is dragging behind it that they are worried about?
Peace
The Xia Dynasty (Chinese: 夏朝; pinyin: Xià Cháo; Wade–Giles: Hsia-Ch'ao; IPA: [ɕiâ tʂʰɑ̌ʊ̯]; ca. 2070 BC–ca. 1600 BC) is the first dynasty in China to be described in ancient historical chronicles such as Records of the Grand Historian and Bamboo Annals, succeeded by the Shang Dynasty (1600 BC–1046 BC). According to Warring States and Han Dynasty texts, the Xia Dynasty was established by the legendary Yu the Great[1] after Shun gave his throne to him, and was later defeated and replaced by the Shang.
Xia Dynasty was the first dynasty of China. Xia dynasty can be dated back to 1600 B.C. The region of Xia dynasty was near Henan and Shaanxi province. Thesere two provinces are civilization cradle of Chinese. Henan and Shaanxi are rich in historical sites and cultural sites of China. Chinese culture and history are originated from these areas.
The establishment of the Xia Dynasty (21st - 17th century BC) is an important milestone in the history of Chinese civilization and marks the end of the Primitive Society and the beginning of the Class Society. It is the first dynasty in Chinese history, and lasted nearly 500 years including the reigns of 17 emperors.
Originally posted by THEDUDE86
reply to post by phantomjack
are you stating that you are certain that this comet is Nibiru?
Originally posted by RatedXx
I like ATS a whole bunch but given the track record of posts and end of the world stuff, I'd say nay to this. The end of the world gets predicted on a weekly basis and has yet to end. I'll believe Discovery over an unidentified mysterious NASA source any day.
If the comets eccentricity is greater than 1, it does not have an orbital period, let alone a 3,600 year one. This is fundamental orbital mechanics. JPL just updated the data as of the 13th, and it is based on 1292 observations over the course of 124 days, and it is still showing an eccentricity greater than 1. What models are you basing your 3,600 year number off of? When were they last updated? How many observations do they use? What time period of observations do they cover?
Originally posted by phantomjack
I am researching this further. There are more than one claim to the various theories as to its orbit. But based on what I have seen with the models there, the orbit appears to be more in line with that of my number of ~3600 than 660,000 years.
Granted, I am not a mathematician, nor claim to be. But I am a scientist and not just playing one on TV.
reply to post by phantomjack
Exactly, which is the reason why trying to nuke an inbound would not be wise. While we would break up the mass, the mass, in smaller chunks, would continue to travel in the same trajectory.
Originally posted by nataylor
JPL lists the eccentricity of the orbit as >1. Hence, it is in a hyperbolic orbit, and thus does not have a "period." As more observations have been made of the comet, the JPL data is refined (it's currently based on 1123 observations over a 118 day period). Originally, they calculated a period of several hundred thousand years, then refined it to several million, and now show it with a hyperbolic orbit.
Originally posted by phantomjack
Really? Because "burdman3006" is one opinion, and the only one I have seen thus far regarding this 660,000 year orbit. I guess everyone, including JPL is wrong but Burdman3006 is right.