Solar Activity Watch 2011

Originally posted by Phage
reply to post by intergalactic fire

 

Blue is higher energy radiation which mostly means more penetration of materials (soft x-rays can hardly penetrate anything).

X-rays, like all electromagnetic radiation, travel at the speed of light. That the hard x-rays hit the sensors first means they were emitted from the Sun first.

But they always are emitted first then?what would be this cause?

X-rays, like all electromagnetic radiation, are unaffected by the magnetosphere. But all x-rays are completely absorbed by the atmosphere long before they can be a threat to anyone but astronauts. That's why the sensors are on satellites. The x-rays don't make it to the surface.

Auroras take place in the ionosphere, so the ionosphere absorbes all of the x-rays, so what rays penetrate through the whole atmosphere that affects our power grid? IS it a different type of rays or just a large density of x-rays?

The electron flux changes in response to a number of different things; different components of the solar wind, geomagnetic activity. It's of concern to satellite operations more than anything.

So the effects we see here on the ground are because of magnetic interferences?
Is there a difference if the particles are more positively or negatively charged?
Maybe would have more effect on earth's north or south pole

son.nasa.gov...

reply to post by intergalactic fire

But they always are emitted first then? what would be this cause?

I don't know.

Auroras take place in the ionosphere, so the ionosphere absorbes all of the x-rays, so what rays penetrate through the whole atmosphere that affects our power grid? IS it a different type of rays or just a large density of x-rays?

Auroral displays are not related to x-ray flares. They are related to the geomagnetic activity caused by CMEs. X-rays do not affect power grids.

So the effects we see here on the ground are because of magnetic interferences?
Is there a difference if the particles are more positively or negatively charged?
Maybe would have more effect on earth's north or south pole

Yes. The magnetic fluctuations induce electrical currents (power surges) in long conductors (power lines, pipelines). The type of particle doesn't have much effect on the level of activity or its location, protons and electrons are both guided toward both the poles by the Earth's magnetic field.

reply to post by intergalactic fire


Your YouTube was removed by user.
I found another one. They threw in rock and roll.


A little low and wide?
It sounds like our sun is throwing fast balls at us.

Anybody have any details as for how this may affect us on earth that looked huge ..I'm not freaking out yet but it looks like there are more to come ,

Now according to this chart which clearly shows it is above the M and X M=moderate flare X =Large

So this is half way between the M and the X .. which means


Sun today-Solar Flare
www.tesis.lebedev.ru...

June 8, 2011

Magnetic storm of level G1 (minor) from 00:00 to 03:00 UT

www.tesis.lebedev.ru...

www.solar-storm-warning.com...

What could possibly happen???

beta.news.yahoo.com...

reply to post by NorthStargal52


All is well.
The big one won't hit Earth until 2012.
Until then just enjoy your broadband internet connection.
-----------------------
The last time we got hit was September 1859. It only took 18 hours to get here!
- CME Hits Earth September 1, 1859 -

Latest GOES satellite x-ray data
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/f190dbaf5d64.gif[/atsimg]
www.swpc.noaa.gov...

A new active region is coming into view on the NE limb, S1062. There are 6 sunspots in that region and has a beta configuration for the moment.
It has been producing some C-class flares in the past days. On june 15 around 22:00UTC there was a small M1.3 from this region, sunspot 1236.
I think we will have some more activity in the coming days with chance for some more M class flares.
Will be interesting to monitor as its a big spot and looks similar to the 1226
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/72b8514d4d5f.gif[/atsimg]
video of the m flare can be seen here and here
www.youtube.com...

Latest solar activity reports:
SIDC
Wed Jun 15 2011, 1235 UT

Catania region 10 (NOAA AR 1236) has produced an M1.3 flare peaking at 21:47 UT on June 14. This AR can produce more M-flares. A partial halo CME was seen leaving the Sun at 07:00 UT (LASCO-C2), the bulk of the ejection is directed towards the east, but a glancing blow to Earth could occur around June 17. The influence of the coronal hole related solar wind is decaying, with speeds below 500 km/s at present. Mostly unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected.

Solar Terrestrial Activity Report

The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled on June 14. Solar wind speed ranged between 425 and 556 km/s under the influence of a high speed stream from CH455.
At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 5 spotted regions.

Region 11234 developed slowly and was mostly quiet.
Region 11235 was quiet and stable.
New region 11236 rotated into view at the northeast limb on June 13 and was numbered the next day by NOAA/SWPC. The region is complex and has a weak magnetic delta structure in the southernmost penumbra. Further M class flaring is possible. Flares: C1.8 at 00:41, C2.2 at 11:29 and M1.3 at 21:47 UTC.

A partial halo CME was observed after 07h UTC following a large filament eruption in the southeastern quadrant.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on June 15 due to effects from CH455. Effects from CH456 could reach Earth on June 16 and cause some unsettled intervals that day and on June 17.

Partial Halo CME CACTus and Lasco
and solar tsunami

[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/e4b3c2bd7c9b.jpg[/atsimg]

All that black is not good.

Shutting down? ,,black as sackcloth?,, damn.

Just seen this on www.spaceweather.com...

HOW'S THE WEATHER? "Lately, the Sun has been behaving a bit strangely," write Lika Guhathakurtha (NASA) and Dan Baker (U. Colorado) on the opinions page of today's New York Times. In 2008-2009, solar activity plunged to a hundred-year low; and now that the sun is waking up again, no one is able to predict what will happen next next. "Will solar activity continue to be sluggish, or will solar storms return with pent-up vigor?" they ask. Good question!

Below is a link to the full article.

Link to full article

LATELY, the Sun has been behaving a bit strangely. In 2008 and 2009, it showed the least surface activity in nearly a century. Solar flare activity stopped cold and weeks and months went by without any sunspots, or areas of intense magnetism. Quiet spells are normal for the Sun, but researchers alive today had never seen anything like that two-year hibernation.

So now there is doubt as to what to expect during this solar maximum. Well with all the new ways to observe the sky/Sun we will keep finding out that this is different to that in my opinion. Just like weather on Earth.....very unpredictable sometimes!

The whole solar maximum thing intrigued me to go into more research.

Originally posted by NorthStargal52
Anybody have any details as for how this may affect us on earth that looked huge ..I'm not freaking out yet but it looks like there are more to come

There is a speculation about the effects of the solar burst are based on real proof by NASA - the solar flare started in 2001 is expected to be at maximum in the year 2013. This is where the speculation occurs, that this Solar Maximum will be nothing like before, it will be bigger and catastrophic. There is no proof or way to show that this maximum will be bigger than any previous, that's why it is a speculation.

Yet it is NASA that first claim, this may be a big flare, are they hiding some details about the Sun? To me this is a very possible and realistic threat nothing like the fairy tales of 2012. According to a documentay on History channel, this solar flare if bigger, might cause electricity shut down for a very long time - maybe months. Since drinking water is dependent on electricity (the plants that make the water clean use electricity) it would be a problem, the same goes for food also uses electricity to be preserved. According to some that would cause lots of deaths - well people have dealt fine without electricity, we can learn from our ancestors, we know how to make fire and wait a minute - we can produce electiricy! Water turbines if you know how to construct them yourself you can have your own source of electricity, so is shutting down the electricity going to be a problem for the living? Because it certainly will be for business and the global economy.

So in short, firstly it is not clear if the solar mixum will cause any effects, seconly shutting down electricty for a long time - have our predecessors not lived without electricity? And we have the knowledge how to produce it so it still puts us ahead. Thirdly - how would this affect people? Unless the solar storm burns and causes damage on the entire surface.

One thing to say, it is foolish to think we won't see more of the Earth's processes, the planet has its nature to change drastically in large periods of time, this period may be soon if the current disasters suggest processes. - Im curious, is there any real evidence this will be a larger flare and will definitely cause havoc? Does it mean there is some truth in the Mayan calendar, the talks about upcoming cataclysm that from asteroid, Nibiru seems to be most likely the Sun?

Hello Solstice SUN! A little extra energy for all of us.

Coming our way:
iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080...

www.spaceweather.com...

Regards and Nameste,

-Chung