posted on Jul, 5 2009 @ 04:24 AM
An invasion of the continental United States? Who, and with what?
The first problem I see with this scenario is exactly HOW a foreign army would invade the United States. As far as I’m aware, no countries (other
than the US & allies) have the logistical or transport capacities that would be required to transport, maintain, and resupply a fighting force of
100,000 soldiers over 3,000 miles…let alone a force of several million. Even if China or Russia possessed the ability to transport and resupply such
a large force, the preparation for the invasion would be glaringly obvious. The United States would be able to detect the buildup from both satellite
and ground intelligence and would have months, even years to respond.
The invading country would most likely not have any immediate “staging ground” that bordered the United States…and even if they did, the US
would detect it. Any invading army would basically have to land and establish a beachhead in the continental United States. In any case, the thousands
of transports would require a large blue-water navy to defend against US naval and air attacks across the Pacific/Atlantic. I don’t know of any
country with this big of a blue-water navy.
Even IF the US had a collective seizure for several months and missed all of the above, the foreign army would have to deal with the US army and a
hostile US population. The US military is overstretched, but not to the extent that many of you are implying. The overstretching has more to do with
tours of duty and commitments to allies than with having the physical personnel. The US has 1,500,000 active duty soldiers and 850,000 reserves.
Approx. 600,000 soldiers are stationed overseas and 1,750,000 are stationed in the US. In the event that the United States was under a serious threat
of invasion, most of the soldiers stationed overseas would be redeployed to the US, all the reserves and national guard would be called up, and there
would be a draft. My point is, the US isn’t as undefended as many of you are implying.
Even IF the US army was somehow defeated or seriously disorganized, the foreign army would still have to deal with a logistical nightmare and a large
American insurgency. The foreign army would have supply lines that ran over several thousand miles of ocean and hundreds (or thousands) of miles of
the continental US - which would be vulnerable to guerilla attacks by the US military, military contractors, police, militia groups, etc.
It almost seems like some of you are viewing this from what I like to call a “command and conquer” style approach…as in, because China’s
population outnumbers the US’s by 4-1, China could basically “zerg” rush the US and overrun it. China could raise a huge army but it would be
restricted to the Chinese mainland and China’s immediate neighbors. If China did draft dozen or so million soldiers, it would need to feed, cloth,
fuel, equip, house, pay, and resupply the millions of men in its army. Furthermore, although (relative) US power has declined over the last decade, it
is still the sole superpower. The United States has clear technological superiority vis-à-vis most other countries and has large arsenals of
relatively modern military equipment. I’m not saying that the United States is invulnerable or anything like that. I can see scenarios where the US
looses a regional war…however, losing a war 4,000 miles away and loosing a war on your own turf are two very different things.
In my opinion, the likelihood of a foreign invasion of the continental US within the next few years is close to nil…The logistics required for an
invasion of the US would be enormous. And if a country were to try it, the US would detect the buildup in its infancy and that country would be bombed
into oblivion. If the United States does eventually get eclipsed as a superpower, or even a great power – I believe it will have to do with
prolonged regional conflicts and overwhelming economic debt.