Magnetosphere Watch Thread - Pictures - Latest Information -

*** ATTENTION ***

Seriously, why push, why continue to derail the thread, does it really make sense to do so.

Please post on topic, if you have something to say other than anything about the Magnetosphere ,then send a U2U or personal email.

Thank You.

Originally posted by elevatedone
*** ATTENTION ***

Seriously, why push, why continue to derail the thread, does it really make sense to do so.

Please post on topic, if you have something to say other than anything about the Magnetosphere ,then send a U2U or personal email.

Thank You.

Everything here seems to be thoroughly on topic, reading back on the thread, Show me this derailing you speak of...> ?

Guys... it´s the Magnetosphere Watch thread... so watch it, don´t bitch around. And explaining how to U2U, is certainly not ontopic.
The "storm" is again at a pretty high level i think, the magnetic field looks a bit out of place:


but i actually am a noob in this kind of stuff.

[edit on 9-7-2009 by euleberlin]

[edit on 9-7-2009 by euleberlin]

reply to post by Trunkeight


Your post is derailing the thread.

This is the type of off topic posts that we don't need in a 15 page thread.
It opens the door for others to continue to post off topic.

Discussion over, if you need further clarification, send me a u2u.

waoh look like were being hit pretty hard just now, with the bottom left picture, is it normal to see that sort of circle of light blue appearing and turning green>??

www2.nict.go.jp...

reply to post by Free4Ever2

Things are getting interesting. This activity was forecast by SWPC a couple of days ago, they call it "unsettled".

The part of the simulation you're looking at (green circle) is a "view" down on the ionosphere from above the north pole. The circular area is where the magnetic field joins the Earth near the north pole. This is the region where the aurora appear.

The really interesting part of the simulation right now (07/09/09 22:12) is the magnetic field representation. See that place where the lines get "pinched" together close to the night side of the Earth. That could be an indication of a magnetic reconnection. This process allows the particles from the solar wind to get pulled toward the poles (creating the activity you noticed around the pole).

[edit on 7/9/2009 by Phage]

www.solen.info...

theres a 20-60 % chance of effects from a coronal hole hitting earth within th next 5 days. ch373

www2.nict.go.jp...


i gots a feeling about this one to be honest, this are going to get seriously interesting fast

Look at this huge peak in the plasma temperature:

, but i have no idea what it means.

[edit on 9-7-2009 by euleberlin]

www2.nict.go.jp...

woah this thing looks prett darn serious to me.

Im starting to understand this stuff more and more(I Think...)

The new Space Weather Prediction Center discussion is out and it says...

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jul 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. Region 1024 (S09W65) was quiet and stable as it approached the west limb. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. Solar wind started to increase at approximately 1700Z due to coronal hole effects. This resulted in an unsettled period for 1800Z to 2100Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected be quiet on day one (10 July). Day two (11 July) is expected to be quiet to unsettled due to possible coronal hole effects. Day three (12 July) is expected to be quiet. III. Event Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 09 Jul 069 Predicted 10 Jul-12 Jul 069/069/068 90 Day Mean 09 Jul 070 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jul 003/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jul 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 005/005-007/008-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/10/05 Minor storm 01/05/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/15/10 Minor storm 05/10/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01

I think, But i could possibly be wrong. That the part where it mentions "Geophysical Activity" refers to the Magnetosphere. It says activity picked up during the 1700 time frame...which if you go back to around that time is when it started to get intense. The forecast for tomorrow however is forecasted to be quiet. They also don't seem to be making a huge fuss over it.

If i am wrong, Please someone correct me. I am still learning.

[edit on 9-7-2009 by Cruxshadows]

Originally posted by euleberlin
Look at this huge peak in the plasma temperature:

, but i have no idea what it means.

[edit on 9-7-2009 by euleberlin]

I too have little to no clue what it means, but we certainly have seen it go up that high before, and are still around. So this is not really out of our norms. Take a look at the spikes back on a day in 11/2008:

reply to post by Cruxshadows

No correction necessary. This activity was forecast a couple of days ago when the coronal holes first appeared.

While the pressure on the magnetosphere is fairly high, the magnetic activity is not. It is the K index which tells us the level of magnetic activity. It's the magnetic activity that makes a storm.

K-indices of 5 or greater indicate storm-level geomagnetic activity around earth.

www.solarcycle24.com...

The current K-index is 3 and as you point out the forecast is for activity to decrease through tomorrow.




[edit on 7/9/2009 by Phage]

reply to post by euleberlin



Here is the picture you linked. Wow - we were getting hit pretty hard - yet the magnetosphere was twisted up.

[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/38035e3afb3b.jpg[/atsimg]

Here is the current picture - interesting enough they do not have the flare out of the magnet field pictured. hhhmmmmm


[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/56f759403f4f.jpg[/atsimg]

The problem as I see it - is not the fact we have huge solar flares etc. hit us at times - we have had that throughout history. It is the fact that the magnetic field had decreased in strength - that is where we can get into problems here on Earth. Our magnetic field not holding up. It has not seemed to of held up very well today as we have been being hit.

Originally posted by Phage
reply to post by Free4Ever2

 

Things are getting interesting. This activity was forecast by SWPC a couple of days ago, they call it "unsettled".

The part of the simulation you're looking at (green circle) is a "view" down on the ionosphere from above the north pole. The circular area is where the magnetic field joins the Earth near the north pole. This is the region where the aurora appear.

The really interesting part of the simulation right now (07/09/09 22:12) is the magnetic field representation. See that place where the lines get "pinched" together close to the night side of the Earth. That could be an indication of a magnetic reconnection. This process allows the particles from the solar wind to get pulled toward the poles (creating the activity you noticed around the pole).

[edit on 7/9/2009 by Phage]

I think hell just froze over. That was almost giddy school girl excitement as far as phage speak goes IMO.

Well it isn't letting up it's picking up again to day.
www2.nict.go.jp...

reply to post by questioningall


The magnetosphere strength is proportional to how much solar activity there is.

Notice that the reports about the magnetosphere waning was during the deep solar minimum we were having?

Now that the activity has increased again the magnetosphere strength should also increase.



For those wanting to see what the simulator was doing in previous years, each day has been archived HERE. It goes back to December 2003.