reply to post by geogeek
I agree with this.
Before assuming that there is some conspiracy here, it is much more logical to assume that the data is becoming much more refined and accurate now.
Think of how much things have changed in the electronics and computer equipment that consumers are familiar with over that same period. It's many
orders of magnitude of improvement. That time period has been phenomenal in terms of the very kinds of technology that are used to measure and
analyze these kinds of signals.
The first thing that jumped into my mind after reading that post about the depths changing was simply that the data was probably now a lot more
accurate and if we could somehow go back in time and re-record the seismic movements from the earlier events, and then re-analyze them using modern
tools, we'd probably find that the depths would move upwards, too.
In the '70s, a fully functional multi-track audio recording studio would have set you back between 1/4 and 1/2 million dollars. Today, I can
download a free application that will run on a PC which will do 64 track 24 Bit 96 Khz digital recording and mixing, and do it better and in an
automated fashion.
Sure, I'll still need expensive microphones, pre-amps, and a high-quality sound card to make it work, but literally, for under ten thousand dollars,
anyone can now have a multi-track recording and mixing studio that is arguably better than what even the most well-funded record company could have
afforded back then.
As computers have gotten more powerful and inexpensive, and as people have had the tools and the motivation to put in the effort to study all of this
using these improved tools, the understanding of every bit of this has certainly improved.
So while I have no way to know if things are being hidden from us or not, I tend to doubt that. It'd take a conspiracy of thousands of individuals
who are not that tightly connected to cover it up. It doesn't seem likely.
Not to throw too much water on all of this fun, but here's how I see it:
The USGS is doing their best to actually understand what's going on. They've got their hands full just doing the real work, let alone wasting time
devising an elaborate way to fool the world by altering or editing things.
The older data on earthquakes is probably incomplete at best, but slowly gets better and better over time, leading to more accurate and highly refined
models, measurements, and interpretations.
While I'm sure that the officials are extremely careful to avoid unnecessarily alarming us all, and thus are probably quite conservative about
issuing dire doomsday warnings, I'm also convinced that the people involved are doing their best to balance this all.
I, for one, do NOT want to load up my family and pets and try to pick out the most valuable material objects in my home, and hit the road along with
everyone else, traveling to God knows where only to find out that it was a false alarm.
I feel terribly sorry for people when I see them forced to evacuate due to hurricanes, floods, wildfires, etc. I shudder to think how it must be.
I may be a trusting sort, but I honestly think we're getting good data.
But hey, if this wasn't fun, nobody would be on a site like this, I guess