Hi All,
Well I would like to throw my five cents in the hat, for what its worth. ( And I apologize for the long post. I had to find some pages to back up a
few statements, and then explain a few key points.) First of all after doing a bit of research paroosing, I have discovered a few bits of interesting
knowledge.
First this from "the truth about cars dot com": (it is a blurb from the original AP article here:
GM Opens 1st Russina Facotory )
While GM, Ford and Chrysler put the squeeze on the taxpayer’s elected (and appointed) representatives, their shift of investment out of the
U.S. and into other countries continues apace. This morning, for example, the Associated Press reports on the grand opening of General Motors newest
$300mfactory… in St. Petersburg, Russia. “This plant is GM’s first in Russia, where demand for cheap, well-built cars has exploded amid a
decade-long economic boom.” source
According to the AP article Russia was experiencing growth in this part of its economy. Apparently many of the worlds car makers are setting up
factories in Russia. The irony is this statement also from the AP article:
"We may see a slowdown in the next six months but when the
situation economic stabilizes and car loans become more available, the market will keep growing," Pak said. "Russia will definitely become Europe's
largest car market -- if not this year, then next year."
Hmmm... should they hold their breath waiting for economic stabilization to come? My question is, would part of the bailout money go for paying off
the cost of this new factory?? With moves like this, I cant see any of the big three trying their best to protect the jobs of its US workers.
As many of the corporations have discovered in the past couple of decades, it is cheaper to hire labor overseas. I cant help but think that the big
three asking for money is to secure "other" ventures, and to line the pockets of a few key higher-up's.
That being said, I think that $25 billion is a mere starting point, in terms of lending, that the automakers truly want. I am quite sure the
correct figure would scare the begeezus out of everyone, and would result with a resounding "Hell No!" I would like to us the current AIG fiasco to
prove my point.
They previously asked for and was granted a $85 billion loan, that total has been upgraded to $150 million. With a bit of restructuring here is the
amount that AIG will be getting from the FED:
As part of the new arrangement, the Federal Reserve is reducing a $85 billion loan it had made available to AIG to $60 billion. The Fed also
is replacing a separate $37.8 billion loan to the insurance company with a $52.5 billion aid package. www.cbsnews.com...
Thats three different payments
totaling the $150 billion.
I am quite sure the execs at AIG knew the original amount needed to be higher. Maybe that is why they still scheduled and enjoyed that luxurious spa
weekend. They knew more money was coming in.
Here is another reason why I am sure that the initial $25 billion will not be enough. Here are the last quarterly losses that the big three according
to this article in
Dail
y Markets
1.) Ford (approx) $3 billion
2.) GM $4.2 billion
3.) Chrysler $772.5 million (
Source )
Tallying up those figures and rounding them off, totals to about $7.8 billion, and that is just for the last quarter. If we divide the $25 billion
between the three with say $5 billion going to Chrysler and $10 billion each going to Ford and GM, that would be enough for, at most, two more
quarters. (That without any of the big three dipping into their reserves, their quarterly losses staying under $5 billion, and the hope that they are
not cooking their books!-- which I doubt
)
What happens when the quarter after that comes up?? I cant imagine that our economy will be miraculously repaired by then. Do they have some sort of
secret business plan that can successfully be implemented by that time? I doubt it. So I believe that the $25 billion is just a starting point, and
it wont do anything but keep them afloat for a few more months.
Of course that is a few more months that many people will have a paycheck. So this whole bailout question is quite a complicated one. On the one
hand, I agree that they should "fail", as the current business model is faulty, and cannot be sustained, especially since there is no real
"solution" in the works. A bailout will not fix the problem.
However a bailout will save the paychecks of a few million people, and that is something that should not be ignored. I mean it isnt like there will
be a new equal paying job waiting for the people who are let go. So I think the bailout money should either be spent as very "fat" severance check
to the millions of workers that they are going to have to let go of anyway, or it should be poured into a research and development project. A R&D
project that could come up with a sort of conversion kit that they could sell to existing and new customers. ( A kit that would make it so the car
could be converted to a hybrid, electric, or other type of technology that would make the cars more appealing to buyers)
The research and development idea is something that I think they would be able to implement in half a years time. There are several conversion kits
already available online for someone with the know how. I am sure that it would be easy for the R&D team to "borrow" some of these ideas and make
one that could be patented (important for most big corps) and installed. Of course the banks would have to take part by using some of their own
bailout money to provide loans to the people wishing to buy the cars.
I am, of course, not saying that my R&D idea is feasible or even doable. It is just that… an idea. I like to come up with solutions to problems
instead of harping about the problem itself. It is a waste of energy, in my opinion. (cont next post)
[edit on 11/20/2008 by sylvrshadow]