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originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone
When has their actually been a truly fair election?
Within the last 60 years, I am sure there has always been some sort of medaling and/or fraud when it comes to any presidential election. Which, is what I am assuming the Op is referring to, not just a generic election
How do people update beliefs in light of new information, and why do false beliefs often persist despite countervailing evidence? An epistemically rational agent makes evidence-based inferences guided by the pursuit of accuracy1. However, belief updating can exhibit desirability effects, such that, given evidence, beliefs are more often updated towards a desired state. For example, people update their beliefs about an expected election winner less following polls that show a projected loss (versus win) for their preferred candidate, discounting undesired outcomes2. In politics, desirability effects can take the form of partisan asymmetries, with members of opposing groups interpreting evidence in a way that favours their party. Such effects can lead to belief polarization, with partisan groups increasingly diverging in their beliefs3,4,5, even if they are exposed to similar evidence6,7,8. Beyond politics, this dynamic extends to many of the most important issues of our time, from vaccine uptake to climate change9,10,11,12,13.
According to current theories, these desirability effects are the result of irrational, biased reasoning (‘directional motivated reasoning’14,15): beliefs are selectively updated to support desired conclusions. Often the conclusions are those that help maintain positive emotions, self-esteem and social identities4,16. Put simply, people ‘believe what they want to believe’. If this is the case, the role of evidence in combatting false beliefs is unclear.
originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone
That does nothing to answer the question that was asked.....
originally posted by: quintessentone
originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone
When has their actually been a truly fair election?
Within the last 60 years, I am sure there has always been some sort of medaling and/or fraud when it comes to any presidential election. Which, is what I am assuming the Op is referring to, not just a generic election
This explains best the idea (false beliefs, keeping false beliefs despite evidence to the contrary) I am trying to relay:
How do people update beliefs in light of new information, and why do false beliefs often persist despite countervailing evidence? An epistemically rational agent makes evidence-based inferences guided by the pursuit of accuracy1. However, belief updating can exhibit desirability effects, such that, given evidence, beliefs are more often updated towards a desired state. For example, people update their beliefs about an expected election winner less following polls that show a projected loss (versus win) for their preferred candidate, discounting undesired outcomes2. In politics, desirability effects can take the form of partisan asymmetries, with members of opposing groups interpreting evidence in a way that favours their party. Such effects can lead to belief polarization, with partisan groups increasingly diverging in their beliefs3,4,5, even if they are exposed to similar evidence6,7,8. Beyond politics, this dynamic extends to many of the most important issues of our time, from vaccine uptake to climate change9,10,11,12,13.
According to current theories, these desirability effects are the result of irrational, biased reasoning (‘directional motivated reasoning’14,15): beliefs are selectively updated to support desired conclusions. Often the conclusions are those that help maintain positive emotions, self-esteem and social identities4,16. Put simply, people ‘believe what they want to believe’. If this is the case, the role of evidence in combatting false beliefs is unclear.
www.nature.com...
originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone
I asked you when has there been a fair election, not what a "false belief" is. So yeah, you dodged the actual question as always
originally posted by: SourGrapes
originally posted by: quintessentone
originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone
When has their actually been a truly fair election?
Within the last 60 years, I am sure there has always been some sort of medaling and/or fraud when it comes to any presidential election. Which, is what I am assuming the Op is referring to, not just a generic election
This explains best the idea (false beliefs, keeping false beliefs despite evidence to the contrary) I am trying to relay:
How do people update beliefs in light of new information, and why do false beliefs often persist despite countervailing evidence? An epistemically rational agent makes evidence-based inferences guided by the pursuit of accuracy1. However, belief updating can exhibit desirability effects, such that, given evidence, beliefs are more often updated towards a desired state. For example, people update their beliefs about an expected election winner less following polls that show a projected loss (versus win) for their preferred candidate, discounting undesired outcomes2. In politics, desirability effects can take the form of partisan asymmetries, with members of opposing groups interpreting evidence in a way that favours their party. Such effects can lead to belief polarization, with partisan groups increasingly diverging in their beliefs3,4,5, even if they are exposed to similar evidence6,7,8. Beyond politics, this dynamic extends to many of the most important issues of our time, from vaccine uptake to climate change9,10,11,12,13.
According to current theories, these desirability effects are the result of irrational, biased reasoning (‘directional motivated reasoning’14,15): beliefs are selectively updated to support desired conclusions. Often the conclusions are those that help maintain positive emotions, self-esteem and social identities4,16. Put simply, people ‘believe what they want to believe’. If this is the case, the role of evidence in combatting false beliefs is unclear.
www.nature.com...
Oh, like all of your false beliefs about Trump?
originally posted by: quintessentone
originally posted by: SourGrapes
originally posted by: quintessentone
originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone
When has their actually been a truly fair election?
Within the last 60 years, I am sure there has always been some sort of medaling and/or fraud when it comes to any presidential election. Which, is what I am assuming the Op is referring to, not just a generic election
This explains best the idea (false beliefs, keeping false beliefs despite evidence to the contrary) I am trying to relay:
How do people update beliefs in light of new information, and why do false beliefs often persist despite countervailing evidence? An epistemically rational agent makes evidence-based inferences guided by the pursuit of accuracy1. However, belief updating can exhibit desirability effects, such that, given evidence, beliefs are more often updated towards a desired state. For example, people update their beliefs about an expected election winner less following polls that show a projected loss (versus win) for their preferred candidate, discounting undesired outcomes2. In politics, desirability effects can take the form of partisan asymmetries, with members of opposing groups interpreting evidence in a way that favours their party. Such effects can lead to belief polarization, with partisan groups increasingly diverging in their beliefs3,4,5, even if they are exposed to similar evidence6,7,8. Beyond politics, this dynamic extends to many of the most important issues of our time, from vaccine uptake to climate change9,10,11,12,13.
According to current theories, these desirability effects are the result of irrational, biased reasoning (‘directional motivated reasoning’14,15): beliefs are selectively updated to support desired conclusions. Often the conclusions are those that help maintain positive emotions, self-esteem and social identities4,16. Put simply, people ‘believe what they want to believe’. If this is the case, the role of evidence in combatting false beliefs is unclear.
www.nature.com...
Oh, like all of your false beliefs about Trump?
What are my false beliefs about Trump?
originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone
Keep dodging the question you don't have the answer to, good job bud. We all understand you don't know everything you can stop the charade
originally posted by: SourGrapes
originally posted by: quintessentone
originally posted by: SourGrapes
originally posted by: quintessentone
originally posted by: PorkChop96
a reply to: quintessentone
When has their actually been a truly fair election?
Within the last 60 years, I am sure there has always been some sort of medaling and/or fraud when it comes to any presidential election. Which, is what I am assuming the Op is referring to, not just a generic election
This explains best the idea (false beliefs, keeping false beliefs despite evidence to the contrary) I am trying to relay:
How do people update beliefs in light of new information, and why do false beliefs often persist despite countervailing evidence? An epistemically rational agent makes evidence-based inferences guided by the pursuit of accuracy1. However, belief updating can exhibit desirability effects, such that, given evidence, beliefs are more often updated towards a desired state. For example, people update their beliefs about an expected election winner less following polls that show a projected loss (versus win) for their preferred candidate, discounting undesired outcomes2. In politics, desirability effects can take the form of partisan asymmetries, with members of opposing groups interpreting evidence in a way that favours their party. Such effects can lead to belief polarization, with partisan groups increasingly diverging in their beliefs3,4,5, even if they are exposed to similar evidence6,7,8. Beyond politics, this dynamic extends to many of the most important issues of our time, from vaccine uptake to climate change9,10,11,12,13.
According to current theories, these desirability effects are the result of irrational, biased reasoning (‘directional motivated reasoning’14,15): beliefs are selectively updated to support desired conclusions. Often the conclusions are those that help maintain positive emotions, self-esteem and social identities4,16. Put simply, people ‘believe what they want to believe’. If this is the case, the role of evidence in combatting false beliefs is unclear.
www.nature.com...
Oh, like all of your false beliefs about Trump?
What are my false beliefs about Trump?
All of them!!
Let's start with what you think you're right about?