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Therefore, we’d expect the first #SARSCoV2 sequences would be more similar to bat coronaviruses, and as #SARSCoV2 continued to evolve it would become more divergent from these ancestors. But that is *not* the case!
Instead, early Huanan Seafood Market #SARSCoV2 viruses are more different from bat coronaviruses than #SARSCoV2 viruses collected later in China and even other countries.
@lpipes
@ras_nielsen
give nice technical analysis
originally posted by: flice
a reply to: anonentity
Thats pretty early... that puts covid in both China and Italy back then.
originally posted by: IAMTAT
originally posted by: flice
a reply to: anonentity
Thats pretty early... that puts covid in both China and Italy back then.
Italy has always had a very large population of workers imported from Wuhan working in the textile industry there.
originally posted by: flice
a reply to: anonentity
Thats pretty early... that puts covid in both China and Italy back then.
originally posted by: AaarghZombies
originally posted by: flice
a reply to: anonentity
Thats pretty early... that puts covid in both China and Italy back then.
The outbreak in China is only suspected that early on, but it's confirmed in the case of Italy. The found it in sewage samples.
originally posted by: flice
a reply to: anonentity
Thats pretty early... that puts covid in both China and Italy back then.
originally posted by: AaarghZombies
originally posted by: flice
a reply to: anonentity
Thats pretty early... that puts covid in both China and Italy back then.
The outbreak in China is only suspected that early on, but it's confirmed in the case of Italy. The found it in sewage samples.
originally posted by: AaarghZombies
originally posted by: IAMTAT
originally posted by: flice
a reply to: anonentity
Thats pretty early... that puts covid in both China and Italy back then.
Italy has always had a very large population of workers imported from Wuhan working in the textile industry there.
Except those areas didn't have big covid outbreaks, it was expensive ski resorts popular with western tourists.
originally posted by: anonentity
a reply to: flice
In September of 2019, hong kong taxi drivers did not want to go to Wuhan because of a mysterious illness.
originally posted by: chr0naut
a reply to: flice
Have you considered what these early dates of origin of the pathogen says about the lab leak theory? Demolishes it if the disease was spreading before the experiments were done and before anyone at the lab became sick.
Also what about the Wuhan Market origin theory? Also messes with it's timeline, too.
And now we have research that indicates the virus is strongly human adapted and may not have had a recent zoonotic transfer. In silico comparison of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein-ACE2 binding affinities across species and implications for virus origin
It is starting to look like my 'wild theory' of origin (which is specifically that zoonotic transfer from bats to domestic cats occurred hundreds of years, or more, ago, and then further zoonotic transfer from domestic cats to humans, decades ago, and then in-species adaptation and mutation, in humans, until, in 2018, the pathogenic version arose, and that Wuhan was just the place where it was identified as being epidemic) is more plausible.
originally posted by: Oldcarpy2
originally posted by: chr0naut
a reply to: flice
Have you considered what these early dates of origin of the pathogen says about the lab leak theory? Demolishes it if the disease was spreading before the experiments were done and before anyone at the lab became sick.
Also what about the Wuhan Market origin theory? Also messes with it's timeline, too.
And now we have research that indicates the virus is strongly human adapted and may not have had a recent zoonotic transfer. In silico comparison of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein-ACE2 binding affinities across species and implications for virus origin
It is starting to look like my 'wild theory' of origin (which is specifically that zoonotic transfer from bats to domestic cats occurred hundreds of years, or more, ago, and then further zoonotic transfer from domestic cats to humans, decades ago, and then in-species adaptation and mutation, in humans, until, in 2018, the pathogenic version arose, and that Wuhan was just the place where it was identified as being epidemic) is more plausible.
Interestingly, I'm fairly sure we had Covid before Christmas 2019 I think. We had like flu symptoms and Mrs Carpy has still lost her sense of smell and taste. At the time we were both working in Salisbury, Wiltshire, and there were hordes of Chinese tourists that got very close to us. Hmmmm, eh?
originally posted by: chr0naut
originally posted by: Oldcarpy2
originally posted by: chr0naut
a reply to: flice
Have you considered what these early dates of origin of the pathogen says about the lab leak theory? Demolishes it if the disease was spreading before the experiments were done and before anyone at the lab became sick.
Also what about the Wuhan Market origin theory? Also messes with it's timeline, too.
And now we have research that indicates the virus is strongly human adapted and may not have had a recent zoonotic transfer. In silico comparison of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein-ACE2 binding affinities across species and implications for virus origin
It is starting to look like my 'wild theory' of origin (which is specifically that zoonotic transfer from bats to domestic cats occurred hundreds of years, or more, ago, and then further zoonotic transfer from domestic cats to humans, decades ago, and then in-species adaptation and mutation, in humans, until, in 2018, the pathogenic version arose, and that Wuhan was just the place where it was identified as being epidemic) is more plausible.
Interestingly, I'm fairly sure we had Covid before Christmas 2019 I think. We had like flu symptoms and Mrs Carpy has still lost her sense of smell and taste. At the time we were both working in Salisbury, Wiltshire, and there were hordes of Chinese tourists that got very close to us. Hmmmm, eh?
Where there are Chinese tourists, there are other tourists too.
While it is likely that the virus came from China, it isn't a definite thing, and less so as we learn more.
The supposed Chinese origin is due to it first being epidemic in Wuhan. But Wuhan was an ideal location for an epidemic outbreak (large population, high density, massive trade & transport).
originally posted by: OccamsRazor04
a reply to: chr0naut
People in the lab were sick in November, which would be perfect for the timeline. From what we know, China should have infections in October/November if they are the origin. And lo and behold we have mystery illnesses being covered up by China in Oct/Nov and them destroying evidence about it.