2020 Election Results

originally posted by: ketsuko
Teikiatsu is playing with math. He's basically taking the electoral map and doing his projections. If you take the recent public polling that shows Biden in the lead and shift every one about 1% toward Trump, then Biden narrowly wins. If you do just the weekend public polling at 1%, Trump narrowly wins. If you do weekend with a 3% Trump shift, then Trump wins it 310 to 228. The last shift is to account for polling oversampling and shy voters.

My map, in case anyone cares:

originally posted by: UKTruth
FLORIDA - Early Voting + mail In + Votes today
REGISTERED REPUBLICAN Votes now +143,609 over REGISTERED DEMOCRAT votes

Gap is getting bigger and not slowing down...

When you teach people to fear going in public, indoors, and with strangers, don’t be surprised when they are afraid to go out and vote for you.

a reply to: carewemust

Why would Clinton tell him to concede when she's and elector?

a reply to: UKTruth

Lots of Democrats switched to the Republican party in Florida. And Republicans registered over 150,000 new voters.

www.clickorlando.com...

Democrat pundits criticized the Biden campaign all summer and fall for having such a weak ground game in swing States. All the workers were scared of Corona flu, just like Joe.

originally posted by: neo96
a reply to: carewemust

Why would Clinton tell him to concede when she's and elector?

I'm glad the Supreme Court ruled this Summer that electors cannot defect!

15% of the black vote
40% of the hispanic vote

www.thegatewaypundit.com...


“North Carolina extended voting hours at four different precincts after technical problems with voting machines delayed the opening of the polling sites.”


Why would they have to extend hours? Just let everyone wait in line who is there in time.

a reply to: SuperStudChuck

I think polls have to close at a specific time. They can't wait until the last person in a mile long line has voted.

Hoping for a Kanye landslide myself

#TeamKanye #MakeAmericaHipAgain

originally posted by: ketsuko
Someone on the comments at PJ reported that lines in north KC are now upward of 2 hours long.

This reminds me why I love my town of 700 people. At the longest, I'd wait about 10 minutes. But we had record turnout in 2016 and I bet we break that record this year.

originally posted by: carewemust
a reply to: SuperStudChuck

I think polls have to close at a specific time. They can't wait until the last person in a mile long line has voted.

The rules here are that anyone who was in line by closing time gets to vote even if it's after the polls are technically closed. So if our poll closes at 7, and I get to the end of the line by 7, then I get to cast my ballot even if it takes me 2 hours to get through that line.

So if the ballot boxes aren't working and it delays the casting, then those who are delayed get to vote, those who showed up prior to official closing get to vote, but hours should not be extended to those who come in late.

Townhall now reporting that protesters are gathering at BLM plaza and pallets of water bottles being delivered in front of the White House.

a reply to: ketsuko

Right, that would be my take. But delaying closing seems super sketch...

CNN having a conniption about robo callers saying “stay home, stay safe”. That talking point is so last week. And next week. But you can’t catch Covid today. Covid is a patriotic little sucker. I salute you C-19.

a reply to: Teikiatsu

Trump will most likely take WI. Not sure about MN. I think it's been since the 60's or 70's since a Republican won MN.

ETA: Nixon won MN in 1972 and Eisenhower won in 1956 and 1952 (Nixon was his VP). Those are the only 3 times a Republican won MN going back to the 1920's.

Possible news out of PA?

originally posted by: ketsuko
a reply to: xavi1000

Reports are that Rs are outvoting Ds 2 to 1 in Florida at the moment. Democrats did the COVID thing too heavily.

They're probably scrambling to get the buses out. Covid, what covid...this bus has a hepa filter.

CNN anchor:

“Just because votes are coming in one way doesn’t mean they will win. You have to wait for the next batch of votes to come in for the other guy and then you can declare the winner.”

Playbook confirmed once again...

originally posted by: SuperStudChuck

originally posted by: UKTruth
FLORIDA - Early Voting + mail In + Votes today
REGISTERED REPUBLICAN Votes now +143,609 over REGISTERED DEMOCRAT votes

Gap is getting bigger and not slowing down...

When you teach people to fear going in public, indoors, and with strangers, don’t be surprised when they are afraid to go out and vote for you.

The *only* change I’ve seen since February is more people are working from home and everyone wears a mask in public. Outside of that, there’s a few bars shut down on the beach. Stores still have the same amount of people in them, the beach still has the same amount of people on it. I have not once gotten the idea that people in Florida are fearful of anything.

a reply to: carewemust

Not sure how many crossovers would bother to actually change party.

There is a reason why you have Reagan Democrats. If you are only voting across party lines once or twice, then why change your party affiliation? If you are going to vote split ticket, then why change?

I'm betting a lot of votes for Trump who were Democrat, aren't changing their party at least not this time. Now if the GOP does something to keep them engaged? They may change party later on.