ATS, give us your 2020 Electoral College Predictions!

Here's my prediction. I think Trump will hold, but by a slim margin.

a reply to: Ohanka


i agree....

not enough Ballot Harvesting creation was accomplished by the Democrafty-Socialists....10 electoral college votes short

a reply to: Ohanka

Wow... we're confident Arizona will flip here?

I think Trump's more likely to win Penn!

Either way, close election result there. Thanks for the post!

originally posted by: AugustusMasonicus
a reply to: Southern Guardian

I changed my prediction based on the early stealing results that are coming in...

A near landslide for Biden there.

I think Iowa and Ohio will be safely Trump states.... they've moved rightwards demographically over the last 10 years.

originally posted by: Southern Guardian
A near landslide for Biden there.

I considered giving him Canada as well.

a reply to: AugustusMasonicus

Ah yes... Canada... the second most populous State and the 51st at that. Yep, Biden sure has that one locked up.

Which every side does a Better JOB at PACKING the ELECTROL voters will win '
if 300 are Demacrate then Biden wins if 300 are republican's Trump wins .

Popular vote will be contested till DOOMS days ( which at the Rate they are going will be BOTGH party's Christmas's present to the COUNTRY doom.

Trump wins... not a question about it!

The real thing you should be asking is what will happen afterwards!

a reply to: Southern Guardian

Biden has zero chance

It’s obvious that you already know that too

Biden may win Florida because how bad DeSantis, one of Trump's biggest allies Florida has mis-managed the COVID pandemic.

Furthermore Florida was recently 'opened up for business as usual' something that will most likely cause a large spike in new cases in the coming weaks followed by a spike of deaths right before election day.

Before the COVID outbreak, Trump was leading Florida. After Florida cases spiked, Biden has pulled ahead.

Trump has his work cutout if he wants to win Florida from this point forward. The next wave of COVID infections and death certainly won't win him any more votes.

a reply to: midnightstar

Not a chance that Trump wins the popular vote. In fact, I would be willing to bet Trump loses the popular vote by a wider margin than he did in 2016.

Stupidly, I cannon embed a png. Trump 318-Biden 219...

Either way, can't wait for the salt to flow.

THE SALT MUST FLOW!

a reply to: Breakthestreak

It’s obvious that you already know that too

No, I'm leaning firmly to a Biden win.

originally posted by: burdman30ott6
Stupidly, I cannon embed a png. Trump 318-Biden 219...

All good Birdman... I tried to play around with your link but no luck!

Wasn't this the same result again Hillary?

It depends on how serious they are about monitoring the election. If Florida is allowed to count votes for days and days afterwards then it’s over for Trump.

Do you all remember when they were counting the votes in Florida and wouldn’t let anybody in? reporters security Etc.

ETA I think it was the midterm two years ago

originally posted by: scyther2286
a reply to: putnam6

Also you can use mail in votes to sway the numbers only to a certain extent. There becomes a certain point where basic mathematics can prove that some sort of debauchery has occured. The mathematics of statistics is not talked about enough when people start worrying about voter fraud.

It is why they can call a state with a small percentage of votes reporting, because mathematically the percentage of the votes can not change dramatically enough based on p value and standard deviation to change the outcome.

The last thing you want to do is commit fraud in a way that makes it over 95% certain you cheated.

Interesting stuff I can be a little bit of a numbers guy, have no doubt they have ways of ascertaining the validity of botes to a certain extent.

originally posted by: Southern Guardian
a reply to: Breakthestreak

It’s obvious that you already know that too

No, I'm leaning firmly to a Biden win.

Sure sure

a reply to: Southern Guardian

I have two entries, and my own desired outcome aside, this is my best guess:

Election night results: ("Red Mirage")



After mail-in votes are counted:



At this point Trump can point to his many statements of suceptiblility to manipulation and challenge all overturned (from election night) states. He will declare the Results invalid. Map 2 will be largely disputed.

This based on the probability democrats are more likely to be germaphobic bubble people that do everything The CDC advises them to.

I am HOPING for a clear win On election night its self .
With all the advertising that has been done on the whole disenfranchising 60 Million mail on votes and MILITARY .
A Lot of people I know have opted to risk voting in person I no longer think the election will be hanging so much on mail in as the mail ins wont be as big as the Right is hopping for .

As things stand Biden will win even a small amount on election night will disarm Trumps plans to contest it .