TRUMP is winning Check This Out !

originally posted by: 1Angrylightbulb
Well the last link showing him winning most of the states only has a sampling of 105,000 voters. That averages out to 2,075 voters per state. That's is a very small sampling of voters per state to say he would win them.

The much vaunted CNN/WSJ poll that showed Hillary up by 11 only had a sample size of 500.

What were we saying about small sample sizes?

originally posted by: ManBehindTheMask

originally posted by: cassp83
I think it's pretty obvious that the people who support Trump (for the most part) don't want to be outspoken about it. Because there is so much controversy surrounding him, the supporters support silently. I have a feeling that we are all going to be shocked when he wins by a landslide.

I wont be, I always knew that the lowest information voters are targeted with the rhetoric from both sides........


The difference is I was foolish, I thought conservatives were by in large , more educated in policy, direction and understanding........

I was gravely mistaken

Yeah, you're right. I should be voting for Hillary because her policies are SOOOO wonderful. /sarc

Understand, Johnson never had a chance. The libertarians forfeited their chance when they put him up as a candidate. They might have had a shot with a serious candidate, but they chose him instead.

So, this is what we're left with.

originally posted by: ketsuko
What were we saying about small sample sizes?

Somebody once told me, "Size doesn't matter."

I knew they were lying, and I knew why too.

a reply to: cassp83

I agree, I think the silent majority is made up of a mostly trump supporters.with all the division that Obama and Hillary have been inciting the trump supporters aren`t putting trump signs in their yards proclaiming their support of trump because they don`t want to be a victim of the Clinton riff raff who would throw rocks at their house or burn it down.

a reply to: cavtrooper7

So PRIMARY election then.

a reply to: Grambler

RCP and 538 all apply weighting to the polls they use. No poll is going to get a random sample that is perfectly representative of the political balance in the electorate they are working with. Every poll has what is called a 'house bias' one way or the other. Quinnipiac, for example, has about a 4% Republican house bias, that is why it is consistently the most favorable poll for Trump. This has been known and allowed for for years, that is why you cannot just take any individual poll by itself as gospel.

RCP and 538 take this into account in order to "fit" the numbers to the actual electorate. If there are more Democrats in the poll than the electorate in general, they give a bit more weight to the Republican votes to increase the balance, and vice-versa. It isn't perfect, but it is consistently better than just using the raw numbers.

a reply to: rnaa

Yep.
Of course the early votes have already started.

originally posted by: Tardacus
a reply to: cassp83

I agree, I think the silent majority is made up of a mostly trump supporters.with all the division that Obama and Hillary have been inciting the trump supporters aren`t putting trump signs in their yards proclaiming their support of trump because they don`t want to be a victim of the Clinton riff raff who would throw rocks at their house or burn it down.

We can hope.

There was a story about a Trump supporter in this area, where he has held a consistent 10 pt lead, who had to put his Trump signs in a tree to keep them from being vandalized.

a reply to: cavtrooper7

But they aren't being counted are they? This line of discussion started with the claim that Trump was already ahead - and the evidence was the number of absentee ballots being requested for the Primaries in March.

Sheesh Louise.

a reply to: cassp83

hope he arrest holiary at the same time. im in UK so i dont vote and feel bad for you guys. you need a blooyd big change and trump will offer that, unusre if its positive or negative. Hillary is so so so corrupt how can anyone even consider her. She dont lead by example in the slightest. No matter how good a specch she has done, he actions speak alot louder

originally posted by: lSkrewloosel
a reply to: cassp83

hope he arrest holiary at the same time. im in UK so i dont vote and feel bad for you guys. you need a blooyd big change and trump will offer that, unusre if its positive or negative. Hillary is so so so corrupt how can anyone even consider her. She dont lead by example in the slightest. No matter how good a specch she has done, he actions speak alot louder

Hillary only has 2 paths left. President or jail. Unfortunately she is going to be allowed to take the former path.

a reply to: jrod

At the time everyone was saying Jeb Bush had it on lock, however he was the first to drop out. All of these predictions are BS!

a reply to: FauxMulder

Yet the gambling sites have had Clinton the front runner for years now.

I suppose some think the Nationals will beat the Harlem Globetrotters too.

a reply to: jonnywhite

She's the sensible candidate and the vast majority of voters detect it. T

Sensible, really?

1. She was under criminal investigation from the FBI. The FBI did not say that she didn't commit any crimes nor any crimes weren't committed, they said they wouldn't prosecute because they couldn't prove INTENT not that a crime wasn't committed.

2. She has 30 years of service in gov't and has nothing to show for it but scandals,lies,and billions of coincidence bordering corruption at best. Heck even her team doesn't want her to talk too much about the topic of "experience".

3. She has demonstrated traits of pathological liar.

4. She has Her husband talk to the Attorney General on a secret tarmac meeting days before the decision was made by the FBI to not prosecute on her active criminal investigation.

5. She can't proof how billions were spent when she was SOS and in the Clinton Foundation.

6. Her Husband was impeached and had his license to practice law revoked .

7. The DNC was shown to have manipulated the process for Hillary to win and DW resigned cause of it. What does our corrupted one do? She turns around and hires DW to her team.

8. The FBI called her irresponsible and likely worth firing for her actions with State Secrets had she was working for the FBI versus promoting.

I can go on, but surely you can't think that is a sensible person for POTUS.

She is no more sensible than trump but the difference between her and trump and what makes her the greater evil is .

1. She has been in office in key positions and has been ineffective for the people but verry effective for the corporations.

2. She has proved that she is incompetent when keeping state secrets or could care less.

3. She blatantly spit on every Americans face and demonstrated that she is above the law when Her husband talk to the Attorney General during an active criminal investigation on her.

4. There has already been a Clinton in office no need for political Dynasty.

6. The Clintons not only match the Trumps on being scum , but the Clintons can out match them in just about every way. Clintons make the Trump look like a cubscout.

a reply to: UKTruth

Hillary only has 2 paths left. President or jail. Unfortunately she is going to be allowed to take the former path.

This is not a former Soviet Republic. The President cannot simply lock up the political opposition as Trump's supporters want. There would need to be yet another time and tax money wasting investigation, and it is doubtful the results would be much different. Using a private email server, though contrary to State Department guidelines, is not a crime. There is no evidence of quid pro quo in Clinton Foundation transactions. Conjecture, speculation, and wishful thinking have no place in a court of law.

Donald Trump, on the other hand, has a lot of explaining to do. He has threatened to sue the New York Times, but dares not. That, of course, is for a different thread.

a reply to: Metallicus

Been outside lately? General population is insane. Personally, I can't deal with all hipster wannabe intellectuals with mommy and daddy's credit cards telling me I'm retarded- while they support anyone who will support communism, socialism, and the general tearing down of America.......While looking like a circus act...

originally posted by: DJW001
a reply to: UKTruth

Hillary only has 2 paths left. President or jail. Unfortunately she is going to be allowed to take the former path.

This is not a former Soviet Republic. The President cannot simply lock up the political opposition as Trump's supporters want. There would need to be yet another time and tax money wasting investigation, and it is doubtful the results would be much different. Using a private email server, though contrary to State Department guidelines, is not a crime. There is no evidence of quid pro quo in Clinton Foundation transactions. Conjecture, speculation, and wishful thinking have no place in a court of law.

Donald Trump, on the other hand, has a lot of explaining to do. He has threatened to sue the New York Times, but dares not. That, of course, is for a different thread.

She is going to jail if he is elected. The reason is nothing more than justice. It has not been served by the corrupt DOJ and if the US escapes it's Banana Republic status, then justice will be served.

originally posted by: carewemust
a reply to: interupt42


I saw a brief story today that said Hillary spoke to a "record crowd" in Ohio. But it never said what the size was, LOL. Maybe it was a room full of Record producers.

That was a RECORDED crowd

a reply to: Wardaddy454

Also what they don't understand is that most Trump supporters don't do polls.

That's why we are called the silent majority. Pols are for protesters and liberals

a reply to: DJW001

But putting classified info on it is. Whether you did it by accident or on purpose.