heres how i see it going
1.iran launches 1 or more icbms at Israel proper
2.iron dome arms and the dolphins surface and start launch procedure ,isreli aircraft attempt to scramble to not get caught on the ground and civilans
attempt to get to shelters
3.america,india,pakistan,russia,turky/rest of nato,china and Israel raises its def con level/equivalent,and appropriate forces mobilize relevant
forces
4 any forces (naval) try to get up wind and out of any potenal blast radius. and pretty much any one with SSBNS puts them on alert and either tells
them to await possible war orders and surface in preparation of SLBM launch or dive deep or second strike
5 entirely too many frantic calls to the un ,and obama probally calls Israel and other allies to form some kind of strategy
6. iron dome attempts to engage icbm(s) and collectively the world needs a bunch of new underwear ,if it sucessfully engages the nuke the Israeli
government probably debates either a full counter attack with its own nuclear aresenal or an overwhelming air attack meant to cripple the command and
control centers . if it fails a good deal of isrealis probally glow green and they launch what ever they have at any one they possibly have a grudge
with and the middle east burns.
7a if the nukes go off possible counter attacks from allied nations and or declarations of war and isreli missiles are probally approaching targets in
iran ,as well as possible other nuclear armed nations sending more icbms isreals way depending on who they launched nukes at and we get our self a
moderate nuclear exchange and tens if not hundereds of millions dead .
7b if they dont go off id see most of the focus being on containing situation and attempting to keep it from escalating (controling Israeli and
Iranian actions further and keeping others from joining in) and america and russia try to stop a full blown nuclear exchange (historically the only
thing that has stopped the Israelis when they were intent on doing something is Russia and the USA telling them to back off at the same time) either
way the un and a good deal of the citizens of the world will be flipping the frack out
8a assuming Israeli nuclear forces launched every thing they got we can assume eqypt,syria,pakistan,saudi arabia,iran,UAE,anywhere isis is and perhaps
jordan have been hit and heavily dammaged as nation states (going off of memory who they may not like if this were to go down) this would undoubtedly
illicit a response from pakistan which if i am remembering my geography correctly would have to launch its counter attack over India which i dont see
them being to happy about given how they get along and the circumstances so that has the chance of esclation as well.(EDIT NVM pakistan is on the left
side of india so no need to go over india
8b. assuming usa and russia (or un take your pick) have managed to calm the situation to a point no one has lobbed any more nukes there will
definitely be some kind of UN or otherwise allied coalition formed to both descalate the situation and as well most likely go in to occupy the
aggressor as well as the potental victicm(us troops to isreali lands and russian troops to iran if allowed in hopes of stopping a conflict) either way
war will be on the table with an empasis of keeping the isrelis from launching nukes like candy.
9a if at this point pakistans icbms have landed we can pretty much check off isreal from the map as a nation as well as a good deal of the nations
they hit and if india gets invovled its all down hill from there and more people die and price of oil shoots through the roof not to mention what ever
the fallout would be doing by this point and we may enter a game over situation
9b.if major war has been avoided at this point we get to frigging cheer and hope for not to many civilian causalites in the eventual air war by who or
whom ever ends up invading iran over lobbing a nuke and the world collectively catches its breath obama and putin look more creidible to various
constituents and hopefully it would improve relations ,still tenuous situation but hopefully we have dodged nuclear Armageddon
10a if its gone more then regional we got problems as at the very least a good deal of the oil producing region of the earth just got flattened and
irradiated and an entire area of the planet taken out which in concert with the fall out may take out the fledgling economies of the world in a combo
of econmic ruin and food shortages
10b. if we avoid any one getting nuked we should be cheering and hoping nothing like this ever happens again
TLDR a very very very very bad things
b.still pretty bad but not nuclear
www.jpost.com... j post take on the matter (isreali first strike vs iranian one)
wargamingcommunity.wordpress.com... compendium of various war game scenarios that i think were
mostly done by think tanks and reserach groups
www.mcclatchydc.com... how an attack could back fire
www.washingtonpost.com... one
covering how it could esclate quickly for a variety of reasons
www.globalresearch.ca... one link from global
research
edit on 17-7-2015 by RalagaNarHallas because: (no reason given)