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originally posted by: greyer
Now we have crossed the barriers from ego to belief. When that happens it easily shows egotistical people have no belief, even in what they see in front of them.
There are many more complex things that people do and are not aware of, so I don't worry about little things like disbelief in something that is there. Also, they don't pile up the evidence or make correlation, they just stay arguing one small point after each other instead of taking associations into consideration. If they were a Statistical Analyst they would now that after three or more correlations the odds go up through the roof - therefore we were visited.
In this visitation, the aliens came down to earth 1,000s of years ago, possibly knowing about earth for millions of years. The visitation 1,000s of years ago was unlike the visitation of the 20th century. Back then in ancient times, they literally parked on the 'white house lawn' and mingled with society. For hunderds of years they shape shifted all over the earth, bringing people to so much awe they immediately called them gods and worshiped them. That is why they worshiped cows with human body's, and much more. In the 20th century we got to know the Greys, but in ancient times they knew the Greys and the beings who created the Greys, who appear to be shape shifting giants.
originally posted by: greyer
If they were a Statistical Analyst they would now that after three or more correlations the odds go up through the roof - therefore we were visited.
originally posted by: JimOberg
Besides, the author, George Leonard, repudiated his own book, asked people to stop criticizing it, and expressed hope everybody would just forget they had ever seen it. So he came to his senses and was embarrassed by his earlier foolishness.
originally posted by: Uggielicious
Your reply is balderdash. Barriers? What barriers? Who set them up and for what purpose and who is enforcing them? You make blanket statements.
originally posted by: onebigmonkey
originally posted by: greyer
If they were a Statistical Analyst they would now that after three or more correlations the odds go up through the roof - therefore we were visited.
As someone who knows a thing or two about statistical analysis, I can tell you that this statement makes no sense whatsoever.
Sometimes, a statistical experiment can have n possible outcomes, each of which is equally likely. Suppose a subset of r outcomes are classified as "successful" outcomes.
The probability that the experiment results in a successful outcome (S) is:
P(S) = ( Number of successful outcomes ) / ( Total number of equally likely outcomes ) = r / n
originally posted by: greyer
As someone who knows a thing or two about statistical analysis, I can tell you that this statement makes no sense whatsoever.
I can give examples if you like, but some people (like you) say things that are so far away from the truth, as if the truth is on another planet. Sometimes they do it to kind of start a revolution. Sometimes they do it to keep other people safe. Sometimes they do it because they have indeed been lied to and it wasn't easy to find the truth.
I will give you an example to show all the others reading this that you are delusional and saying things to me that do not make any sense whatsoever, but they are just an embarrassing attack against my knowledge, so in fact you are just judging me like egotistical people do, and those people are very slow to learn that the ego is not a good judge at all, but a prideful ego is always wrong.
The Dead Sea Scrolls:
They were found in caves by a place called Qumran. At first nobody believed they were from a peoples living in Qumran because they didn't know for sure. Well, on the scrolls themselves it was written that the Essenes came from Qumran. That is two correlating pieces of information!
But you still say that it doesn't bring up the chances of the scrolls actually being from Qumran, because correlations do not bring up probability or any evidence at all. See how stupid that sounds?
But, the educated people still didn't believe that the scrolls were written by the Essenes who came from Qumran because there was enough evidence to say for sure. Then they found the burial grounds, and saw from carbon dating that the earliest burials were all males, an important piece of information because it was written the Essenes were an all male religious group of people. So now the educated people tell us that indeed the scrolls are from the Essenes in ancient Qumran. It took them 3 correlating evidences to believe that something was the truth.
Now why did you argue with me for saying that the more correlating evidences found on something mysterious, the more probability it will be true? In fact since you claim to be so smart, can you even clearly explain yourself as to why I am wrong and you are right?
Sometimes, a statistical experiment can have n possible outcomes, each of which is equally likely. Suppose a subset of r outcomes are classified as "successful" outcomes.
The probability that the experiment results in a successful outcome (S) is:
P(S) = ( Number of successful outcomes ) / ( Total number of equally likely outcomes ) = r / n
originally posted by: onebigmonkey
Yes, what you have written does sound stupid, because correlations do not bring up probability, what you you do is use probability distributions to determine whether a series of measured events are related or not.
Because you used the term correlate incorrectly in terms of statistical analysis. That is as simple as it gets.
originally posted by: greyer
originally posted by: onebigmonkey
Yes, what you have written does sound stupid, because correlations do not bring up probability, what you you do is use probability distributions to determine whether a series of measured events are related or not.
Because you used the term correlate incorrectly in terms of statistical analysis. That is as simple as it gets.
Lol I wish everyone was here to see that. In telling me why you disagreed, all you did was demonstrate that you are playing a game of words.
I said earlier to another that creative writing, poetry, abstract thinking, heck even the ancient texts, are not picky over words and terminology. Your dumb terminology is saying the exact same thing in different words. That is pathetic. it is a basic fact that you are acting more stupid because you refuse to understand that I am saying the same thing in different words. That is the most stupid thing in the world, that you would assume all the people talking to you have to say the exact same words that you would use. Now it is people like you who say that the ancient text are meant word for word, and that is part of the whole delusion of your reality that I was talking about earlier.
originally posted by: onebigmonkey
originally posted by: greyer
As someone who knows a thing or two about statistical analysis, I can tell you that this statement makes no sense whatsoever.
Now this is what the educated people say on television - they straight up lie, but it is more than a lie. It is an egotistical approach as a result of being lied to.
originally posted by: Uggielicious
originally posted by: onebigmonkey
originally posted by: greyer
As someone who knows a thing or two about statistical analysis, I can tell you that this statement makes no sense whatsoever.
Now this is what the educated people say on television - they straight up lie, but it is more than a lie. It is an egotistical approach as a result of being lied to.
Nope - it's what someone who taught statistics at undergraduate level says. It's what someone who understands what a correlation coefficient is, how it is calculated and how i can be used appropriately and inappropriately. The example you gave was inappropriate.
snip
That is a general discussion of the nature of probability. It is not how a correlation coefficient is calculated or interpreted.
originally posted by: Uggielicious
originally posted by: onebigmonkey
originally posted by: greyer
As someone who knows a thing or two about statistical analysis, I can tell you that this statement makes no sense whatsoever.
Now this is what the educated people say on television - they straight up lie, but it is more than a lie. It is an egotistical approach as a result of being lied to.
Nope - it's what someone who taught statistics at undergraduate level says. It's what someone who understands what a correlation coefficient is, how it is calculated and how i can be used appropriately and inappropriately. The example you gave was inappropriate.
snip
That is a general discussion of the nature of probability. It is not how a correlation coefficient is calculated or interpreted.