Quake Watch 2014

a reply to: Nyiah

yes to close too
u know who,, for my liking.
Remember it was a slip,, upwards,,,

http:earthquak.usg,gov/Just got home and popped in.

They seem to be getting shallower.

Haven't posted in some time. gotta get used to the new setup here.

Sorry no link. Will work on figuring this out.

Never was good at posting links.





I think I got it now


What the heck is going on with ATS. I can't move my mouse unless you below a certain position, editing is hard??? I know I'm bad, but this is not me. And if I am at a certain level I keep getting this blank area with a rolling thing???

a reply to: crappiekat

Well I guess my shallow thought is out. look here

Wow missed the first part, was at work, but as usual NZ Radio kept us up to date, same overstated magnitudes as reported here initially, guess they were getting it off Useless. 7.2 Kermadecs and 8.0 Rat Islands
GFZ current score for aftershocks is Rats 17, Kerms 16
If you added the magnitude numbers together (forget about the 31.6 x greater rule for each step up in mag)
Kerms = M90.7
Rats = M91.9
Energy released so far
Kerms = 582,378.41 TTNT
Rats = 10,766,513.38 TTNT

not sure I have scaled these correctly, at least as close a match as I can,
IRIS :: RAO :: Raoul, Kermadec Islands
scale 98.05E-6
23rdJulyUTC
24thJulyUTC

IRIS :: SMY :: Shemya, Alaska
scale 98.06E-6
23rdJulyUTC
24thJulyUTC

Raoul is a lot closer to her earthquakes than Shemya is to hers, but SMY is the closest BHZ channel I can get for the Aluetians

a reply to: muzzy

Consequently oh wise quake-jockey sage . . .

What are you guesstimating will occur/not occur the next week or two?

a reply to: BO XIAN

Whilst I am not the Sage Muzzy, just a simple quake jock I guess not a lot - I don't think we are due to see a bigger one in either of these two regions (Alaska and Kermadec Islands) but then again I am probably wrong.


On another subject, probably not of interest to you BO, would all users of the QVSData program please not, if you have not already noticed, that the Australian seismic service has changed the format of the data without consulting me and as a consequence for the past three days the AUST import has been broken. This affects all versions of the program. I do wish people would not keep on doing this without my leave!

A new version of the program will issue shortly - hopefully tonight UTC but there are some complications as the code is in the middle of being changed for a database schema change and the changes are untested. I guess no one will have an fit if this does not happen for a day or two if need be - after all how often does Australia have earthquakes of any significance????

There's also this bit of news about volcanic activity in the Aleutians. The Alaska Volcano Observatory says it hasn't seen this much activity in 26 years.

Aleutian volcanoes are waking up

On the Alaska Volcano Observatory website three volcanoes are classified with a yellow alert level—signifying signs of elevated unrest above known background levels—and three are at an orange alert level—heightened unrest with increased likelihood of eruption.

Orange is the second-highest alert level after red signifying an eruption that is imminent or underway.

With Muana Loa perking up after 30 years too, and the increased seismic activity around Alaska lately, things sure are getting interesting for the Ring of Fire.

a reply to: PuterMan

Welllllllll, thanks.

And you are both Super Quake Jocks, to me.

I do appreciate your work on all the computer stuff. I don't wrap my layman's mind around much of it a lot but when I bother to click, the wonderments are illustrative in clear and helpful ways.

Blessings,

a reply to: berkeleygal

Those types of matches interest me, as it seemed to happen during the 2010 Christchurch Sept 7.1 series between there and offshore Wanganui in the North Island too.
But your distances between are HUGE
Kerm versus Rat Islands
Tap for Tap?
Not really ..............
to see for sure one needs a graph.....

(click image for larger version, opens in new tab/window)

or a table .....


Only once in the 16:23 hr period covered
between 22:03 and 22:33
(mm:ss) = time between
Rat (12:27) Kerm (02:44), Rat (01:27) Kerm (09:45) Rat (3:59) Kerm (14:04) Rat, then Rat Rat Kerm etc

Case dismissed, lack of evidence

I didn't see the UTC+5hrs on your text at first look, couldn't find the time on the table, must have been USGS, I used GFZ, no match there

a reply to: BO XIAN

no idea, need more time to pass to see what the TTNT energy release does
I suppose I could claim a accurate prediction on post of Jun, 21 2014 @ 08:40 PM , or at least say that the Muzzy Rule has definite merit.
I was expecting South of the Kermadec Islands, as it had been relatively quiet there.
I don't/won't post a warning every time the TTNT drops below 10, as it could be classed as scare mongering, it is up to people to read the graphs themselves, and take whatever steps they feel prudent.

a reply to: muzzy

That's quite a prudent and reasonable stance, imho.

Though . . . perhaps some . . . color cues at the parts of the charts that you think we should regard as more interesting than average might be helpful.

Thanks for all you do.

Blessings,

In about 15 minutes a guy from EQC is going to visit our house to inspect the consentena'd floor boards in one of our bedrooms, 12 months and 4 days AFTER the 6.5Mw earthaquake in Cook Strait.!
Nothing major, we have lived with it for that time, the boards are about 3-4mm out of level across the floor.
Thats the quake where the ground was like a wave of water passing underneath.
Makes you feel for the Christchurch folks, who have waited even longer and still living in sub standard homes throughout this period.

a reply to: BO XIAN
whenever the vertical orange graph lines drop below 10 ........ alert status! seems for within max. 6 days.
I'm trying to get a better idea of the % of times the theory works, working through 2009 at the moment, its hard work because the data has been reviewed since 2011, and the Kermadecs are included now.

edit: the number may even be below 12, as it works too.

a reply to: muzzy

Yeoman's work, imho. Creative and powerful.

I wonder where we could nominate you for a geology award???

You've sure earned it, accomplished Super Quake Jockey!

a reply to: BO XIAN

:blushing here:
no need, it not very precise yet
I just had a look over May and June combined and the hit rate is only 66.66%

Of course all my NZ data is in UTC, ie Noon till Noon NZST, I wonder what the results might be in NZST Midnight to Midnight?
Another study for the next rainy day ..............

a reply to: muzzy

Welllllllllll, all your wise tinkering is a wonder to behold and a lot of fun for a lot of us to study, peruse, ponder, blather about and speculate about.

It's a LOT better than anything we see most of the governmental bureaucracies put out. But then that's not saying much. LOL.

Who knows how much, or not, it will ultimately turn out to have been worth your time. At least you are doing something creative, thoughtful and probably useful. Too many paid drones seem to be content to sit on their poles . . . uhhhh . . . . in interesting ways . . . doing not much of lasting value, if much at all. And this you do in your spare time.

Besides, you're fun to watch do your Super Quake Jocky moves, maneuvers and masterful matchups. LOL.

3.1 22km SSE of Kettleman City, California 2014-06-25 10:02:52 UTC-07:00 7.7 km
3.4 22km SSE of Kettleman City, California 2014-06-25 07:34:56 UTC-07:00 8.6 km
3.1 23km SE of Kettleman City, California 2014-06-25 03:12:22 UTC-07:00 5.0 km
2.7 22km SE of Kettleman City, California 2014-06-25 01:41:55 UTC-07:00 8.8 km
2.5 24km SE of Kettleman City, California 2014-06-24 23:36:26 UTC-07:00 7.1 km
2.8 20km SE of Kettleman City, California 2014-06-24 22:32:24 UTC-07:00 9.1 km
2.9 Central California Epicenter time not available 6.9 km
3.2 20km SE of Kettleman City, California 2014-06-24 20:56:52 UTC-07:00 8.1 km
2.7 23km SSE of Kettleman City, California 2014-06-24 18:07:45 UTC-07:00 7.0 km
3.0 20km SE of Kettleman City, California 2014-06-24 17:58:30 UTC-07:00 8.1 km
2.6 20km SSE of Ridgemark, California 2014-06-19 11:08:24 UTC-07:00 8.6 km

An interesting upkick in EQs here since yesterday.

The most recent was 3.1 less than an hour ago.

earthquake.usgs.gov...

*eyeballs Cali*

Also found this, as there is an oil field there:

Removal of oil from the large Kettleman Hills fields, mainly the North Dome, has been suggested as a cause of the 1985 M6.1 earthquake, since the total deformation caused by the quake was exactly that necessary to compensate for the oil removed historically, i.e. by filling the vacated space. The same mechanism has been suggested for the 1983 Coalinga earthquake and the 1987 Whittier Narrows earthquake, both of which occurred near the centers of mature oil fields.[8]

Wiki-en.wikipedia.org...

I wonder if part of the oil field is collapsing?

They put the depth of the oil at about 10km...
Right below or at these EQ depths.

Just had a good shake here 7 minutes ago, no warning, just bang and then back and forth quite vigorously.
Geonet say 4.8, but it started at 5.6, I think the first estimate was closer to what it was, it was a good one for sure
location has changed from E of Eketahuna to Castlepoint already too
www.geonet.org.nz...

edit 7:56am NZST: yep going back up 4.9 now, and back to 10 km east of Eketahuna

edit: 8:13 NZST: Geofon the first Network to confirm, 4.8mb
Just noticed my printer, which sits on top of a 4ft high cabinet beside my desk, has shifted about 6" to the south, lucky it didn't go any further it would have toppled and landed on my keyboard!!

a reply to: Darkblade71


That is interesting. I spent my youth in the southern San Joaquin valley--definitely gobs of oil being pumped for decades, but I had never heard that it caused the 1985 earthquake.

That is an impressive series of quakes popping off near Kettleman--fortunately the populations are fairly low in that area.

******************
@Muzzy
I'm glad your printer didn't take out your keyboard. Be safe Muzzy.

M3.3 - 22km SSE of Kettleman City, California 2014-06-25 22:01:36 UTC
Depth
8.6km

Event Time

2014-06-25 22:01:36 UTC
2014-06-25 15:01:36 UTC-07:00 at epicenter
2014-06-25 17:01:36 UTC-05:00 system time

Location

35.815°N 119.888°W depth=8.6km (5.3mi)
Nearby Cities

22km (14mi) SSE of Kettleman City, California
30km (19mi) SE of Avenal, California
43km (27mi) SW of Corcoran, California
54km (34mi) S of Lemoore, California
338km (210mi) SSE of Sacramento, California

USGS

Just another one to add to the list.
One of the larger of the small cluster EQs.

a reply to: Olivine
I am suspecting something larger looming out of this area.
But then, that is just gut feeling.

Glad to know it is a low population area.