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Who cares, if war starts there is absolutely zero paths for Iran to get soldiers or supplies to Syria. No land, no Sea no air, so whatever pitiful forces they have there will be cut off from day one and doomed.
Originally posted by wrabbit2000
reply to post by TinfoilTP
Who cares, if war starts there is absolutely zero paths for Iran to get soldiers or supplies to Syria. No land, no Sea no air, so whatever pitiful forces they have there will be cut off from day one and doomed.
It's nowhere remotely near that easy. Iran already has been flying troops in, by the way. Not huge numbers, but some here and there to make headlines as this has been developing over recent months. That's how they'll do it if war breaks out..IF they choose to even go that direction with it. I agree, they could never really get sea born forces there. The Suez is too long a waterway, counting the Southern approach...and we have a Carrier group down at the Southern end of it right now, anyway. That door is closed and has been for quite awhile.
Flying tho? Well, You didn't miss the part where I mentioned Baghdad, Tehran and Damascus inked the final agreements to begin construction on the Caspian-Med Gas line last year, right? If we're assuming Iraq is going to turn against both Syria and Iran with just IT'S OWN ability? Oh...we're in serious serious trouble. Iraq can't even keep peace within it's own borders. It can not even play at standing up to a fight in two directions at once. They'll make a neutral air corridor at best, is my guess.
People assume the US has about 1000x's more influence there than we do. I think we DID, at one time and not that long ago ....but that's largely blown in the wind now and even our own leaders don't seem to have caught up to current events and realized it.
Originally posted by wrabbit2000
reply to post by TinfoilTP
(sigh)
That overconfidence is why Adolph Hitler ended life with his brains sprayed all over a wall, not ruler of Europe and most of what laid around it.
We've played in the very face of military history and tactical reality that shows for many many years and we've gotten away with it. By our sheer size, tech and power, we've fought on multiple fronts and not lost. That's NO small thing to have accomplished in the way we have, in looking at this from a strictly academic perspective.
That hasn't bred confidence as well it should. It's bred arrogance and that's fatal. We aren't going to be facing the toy A.A. systems Iraq had. What may have been high tech to his thinking was rusting wrecks in the U.S. Southwestern Desert from having tested our equipment against them long before Saddam trying using them against us. Doom on him for fighting today's battle with yesterday's tech.
Syria is not yesterday's tech. If Russia chooses to simply not abandon them? Well, they don't even need to be actively involved. Just don't leave them high and dry for support of existing deployed systems....and Syria will be the most advanced nation we've yet faced in war since perhaps Serbia...and comparisons would be real stretched for a number of reasons, there.
If we go into this fight thinking "We be GODS!" and 'We shall smite those ignorant little Assad men'.....We're going to get our asses kicked so hard, we're thrown back to our borders for a generation or more. I'll bank on that. Syria is NOT Iraq. Iran is FAR more than Syria. To have BOTH actively fighting at once is a WORST case scenario....and damn few forces of any nation in the area will make it when it's all over. Including ours.
I smell dead fish all over this folks. I am trying to scream at the top of my lungs that the Assad regime is innocent, the rebels are being backed by the CIA, Bengazi had SOMETHING to do with running guns into Syria for the rebels.
Originally posted by wrabbit2000
reply to post by TinfoilTP
S-400's are fatal and a question of how many aircraft we LOSE to take them out.
The Syrian government has accused foreign-backed militants of using chemical weapons in Rif Dimashq.
The Syrian TV showed a number of Saudi-made containers of materials used by the militants in the production of chemical gases.
The Syrian army found these containers in a warehouse in Jobar district on Saturday.
The discovery came after the government forces surrounded a sector of militant-held district of Jobar on Saturday.
Syrian army soldiers also found chemical agents in tunnels dug by the foreign-backed militants in the northeastern suburb of the capital, Damascus, the Syrian TV said.
Originally posted by Swills
reply to post by stumason
How about another source? www.theguardian.com...
Originally posted by FlyersFan
I don't believe or disbelieve the Damascus-State TV.
They have an agenda so they could be telling lies.
Or they could be telling the truth. We will never know.
The Syrian government is bad. The 'rebels' are bad.
The Russians backing the Syrian gov't are bad.
The radical Muslims and the Obama admin backing the 'rebels' are bad.
It's all bad. Let them wipe each other out. Just as long as Mr. Nobel Peace Prize (Obama)
doesn't drag us into yet another useless war ... (good luck with that ... eh??)