VOTE: 2004 U.S. Election Results Overview & Discussion

I've already told you, Kerry can lose OH and still win....

Gaz, Gaz, Gaz...
Bush lead now 14,000 in NM. De Baca county's 991 votes are completely counted and they went bush by a margin of 71 - 29.

I've pretty much conceded Kerry's lost NM, but he'll make up for it with NV. If that indeed happens, we're still looking at a Kerry win, regardless of OH and FL, even NM.... Do the math....

[edit on 2-11-2004 by Gazrok]

Fox is now calling Ohio for Bush if these projections hold Bush is as good as re-elected.

Kerry would need a clean sweep of all states left on the board including Alaska which is doubtful.

[edit on 2-11-2004 by Phoenix]

Originally posted by Gazrok
I've already told you, Kerry can lose OH and still win....

Gaz, Gaz, Gaz...
Bush lead now 14,000 in NM. De Baca county's 991 votes are completely counted and they went bush by a margin of 71 - 29.

I've pretty much conceded Kerry's lost NM, but he'll make up for it with NV. If that indeed happens, we're still looking at a Kerry win, regardless of OH and FL, even NM....

Do the math....

[edit on 2-11-2004 by Gazrok]

I ma doing the math, and it doesn't agree with what you are telling me.

Originally posted by spngsambigpants

I ma doing the math, and it doesn't agree with what you are telling me.

CBC is also saying that if Kerry loses Ohio that he can't win mathematically.

Originally posted by Phoenix

Originally posted by TrickmastertricK


Im not an expert, but 7 Million Voters are unaccounted for as of 12:03AM EST
16 counties have not counted absentee, nor have given final numbers, this incluse Broward which is DEM, it also has 18 precincts not counted for.

Trick is the missing 7,000,000 voters based on a 100% turn-out?

Thats what I am saying, even if half voted, thats still 3,500,000 not counted for.
Remember these are projections based on models. It May Chage

[edit on 2-11-2004 by TrickmastertricK]

Effectively, if the electoral votes go as the projections stand now,
Bush only needs Alaska to win the re-election.

According to current numbers... 246 Bush to 216 Kerry (Yahoo), if Bush wins OH and NM, that's 271. He would win.

We hadn't heard from Hawaii - I found this in the local Fox affiliate:

(R) BUSH, George W. 55445 44%
(D) KERRY, John F. 69661 55%
(L) BADNARIK, Michael 360 0%
(G) COBB, David 480 0%

Doesn't say what % of counties reporting


B.

Am I missing something? My original projection only differed by having Kerry win NM and lose NV. It now appears he may win NV, but lose NM. If that is the case, both states have 5 electoral votes...so the number is the same...and it's Kerry 271 and Bush 267 if current projections hold.... Maybe it's just too late, I don't know...

[edit on 2-11-2004 by Gazrok]

NM lead grows for Bush now 17,000
Nevada has Kerry up by 3500, NV has 17% reporting and None of the Above is gaining. Now at 1647. I love none of the above.

Nevada is a squeeker right now

299 of 1802 precincts - 17 percent
John F. Kerry Dem 203,516 - 50 percent
George W. Bush (i) Rep 200,002 - 49 percent
Ralph Nader Ind 2,095 - 1 percent
None of These Candidates Una 1,647 - 0 percent
Michael Badnarik Lib 1,340 - 0 percent
Michael Peroutka IAP 461 - 0 percent
David Cobb Grn 415 - 0 percent

news.yahoo.com...

IMHO New Mexico is soon to be called for Bush - just my own prediction - we'll see.

CBS called Florida for Bush, and Fox News called Ohio for Bush -- bringing Bush's total to 266. Bush is also practically guaranteed Alaska and is leading pretty well in New Mexico -- add those 8 to 266, and Bush wins it all, even if Kerry wins whatever states are left.

If Bush is at 266 and gets Alaska that would be 269 and the best Kerry could hope for is a tie.

Originally posted by Gazrok
Am I missing something? My original projection only differed by having Kerry win NM and lose NV. It now appears he may win NV, but lose NM. If that is the case, both states have 5 electoral votes...so the number is the same...and it's Kerry 271 and Bush 267 if current projections hold.... Maybe it's just too late, I don't know...

If Kerry wins every state he's currently leading in, plus HI, he'll have 259 electorals.
Bush will have 269 with AK.
That leaves 5 outstanding for NM.

Your math is a few off.

[edit on 2-11-2004 by Banshee]

Bush just pulled ahead in Wisconsin... leading by 600.

.

CBC just called Alaska for Bush!

.

Originally posted by ShadowXIX
If Bush is at 266 and gets Alaska that would be 269 and the best Kerry could hope for is a tie.

Yup and we all know who would win a vote by congress don't we?

MSNBC Discussing Ohio Recount.

Correction... it's the race in Iowa I was talking about. Kerry edged ahead again.