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Romney currently leads Obama 52% to 46% among voters who say they have already cast their ballots. However, that is comparable to Romney's 51% to 46% lead among all likely voters in Gallup's Oct. 22-28 tracking polling. At the same time, the race is tied at 49% among those who have not yet voted but still intend to vote early, suggesting these voters could cause the race to tighten. However, Romney leads 51% to 45% among the much larger group of voters who plan to vote on Election Day, Nov. 6.
Originally posted by Taiyed
National polls.
The last hope of a desperate supporter.
Originally posted by charles1952
reply to post by Taiyed
Just curious, what do you suggest to be used? I don't know of better, current, factual information than polls. Some polls are better than others, but what are you suggesting instead?
Obama by 3, 50 to 47.
Originally posted by 0zzymand0s
What's Ohio look like? Because that is all that matters. First past the post, yo.edit on 2-11-2012 by 0zzymand0s because: (no reason given)
Survey Methods Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking Oct. 22-28, 2012, with a random sample of 3,312 registered voters, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.
For results based on the total sample of registered voters, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
For results based on the sample of 2,888 likely voters, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Interviews are conducted with respondents on landline telephones and cellular phones, with interviews conducted in Spanish for respondents who are primarily Spanish-speaking. Each sample includes a minimum quota of 250 cell phone respondents and 250 landline respondents per 500 national adults, with additional minimum quotas among landline respondents by region. Landline telephone numbers are chosen at random among listed telephone numbers. Cell phone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods. Landline respondents are chosen at random within each household on the basis of which member had the most recent birthday.
Samples are weighted by gender, age, race, Hispanic ethnicity, education, region, adults in the household, population density, and phone status (cell phone only/landline only/both, cell phone mostly, and having an unlisted landline number). Demographic weighting targets are based on the March 2011 Current Population Survey figures for the aged 18 and older non-institutionalized U.S. population. All reported margins of sampling error include the computed design effects for weighting.
In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
Samples are weighted by gender, age, race, Hispanic ethnicity, education, region, adults in the household, population density, and phone status (cell phone only/landline only/both, cell phone mostly, and having an unlisted landline number).
You wanna see the most telling Poll?
Originally posted by kimar
How any ATS member could want a Romney win is beyond me.
But one finding stood out. The new survey showed Romney leading the president by six points, 49 percent to 43 percent, among independent voters — a group many analysts consider key to the race. How could Romney be leading by six points among independents and trailing by five in the broader race? Especially when the pollsters asked independents whether they considered themselves closer to the Republican or Democratic party, and 44 percent said Republican, while 36 percent said Democrats?
Originally posted by 0zzymand0s
What's Ohio look like? Because that is all that matters. First past the post, yo.edit on 2-11-2012 by 0zzymand0s because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by ShakaDoodle
Good news indeed! The hope for change is in the air! Now everybody - let's move Forward! Not that I'm all that excited about Romney, but almost anything is better than the anti-American rabbit hole that Obama has been leading us down!