The big secret is.....

"Anyone who said the Adrian Darya-1 wasn’t headed to #Syria is in denial. Tehran thinks it’s more important to fund the murderous Assad regime than provide for its own people. We can talk, but #Iran’s not getting any sanctions relief until it stops lying and spreading terror!"

twitter.com...

a reply to: Mover3

Looks as though the Adrian Darya has already off loaded the oil cargo in Latakia and is headed back for another load?
I doubt John bolton is a "signal" source to be trusted for some reason.
Oil is still trading in a range lower than the July 31 peak.

US stock markets were all up by over 1.5% for the week as expected.
September did come in like a lion with the Dow closing out the week 97 points above my target of 26,700.
The 40 week moving average has gained at a rate of about 2.1% for the last 14 months, so you can do better with an FDIC protected savings account if you need access to the money on demand.
The Fed chairman said we have reached their 2% inflation target, the US economy appears "strong" and there are no rule books for trade wars.

We haven't seen the Dow dive below the 40 week moving average very far this year and currently its over bought again.

I have a theory that stock market bears have gone through some kind of Darwinian evolution that has left the survivors with more patient, market friendly trading instincts. That may mean choosing the 40 week moving average as a floor to the trading range and being patient waiting for tops to short sell unless there is some really bad news.

The problem with getting out of short positions is that you really can't profit from the subsequent rally. If you have to wait for settlement a few days before you can reinvest, the market is already back near the top of the trading range.

"They" may prefer to divide and conquer keeping the bears only selling and bulls only buying though.

originally posted by: Slichter
a reply to: Mover3

Looks as though the Adrian Darya has already off loaded the oil cargo in Latakia and is headed back for another load?

Nope. They're suggesting Tartus...

originally posted by: Slichter
a reply to: Mover3
I doubt John bolton is a "signal" source to be trusted for some reason.

Never said he was.

Stick to your single digit percentages & technical analysis ;-)

originally posted by: Slichter
a reply to: Mover3

US stock markets were all up by over 1.5% for the week as expected.
September did come in like a lion with the Dow closing out the week 97 points above my target of 26,700.
The 40 week moving average has gained at a rate of about 2.1% for the last 14 months, so you can do better with an FDIC protected savings account if you need access to the money on demand.
The Fed chairman said we have reached their 2% inflation target, the US economy appears "strong" and there are no rule books for trade wars.

We haven't seen the Dow dive below the 40 week moving average very far this year and currently its over bought again.

I have a theory that stock market bears have gone through some kind of Darwinian evolution that has left the survivors with more patient, market friendly trading instincts. That may mean choosing the 40 week moving average as a floor to the trading range and being patient waiting for tops to short sell unless there is some really bad news.

The problem with getting out of short positions is that you really can't profit from the subsequent rally. If you have to wait for settlement a few days before you can reinvest, the market is already back near the top of the trading range.

"They" may prefer to divide and conquer keeping the bears only selling and bulls only buying though.

Spoken like a true "day trading" youtube charlatan.

a reply to: Mover3


The Dow started 2019 below its 40 week moving average and has returned below that 5 times including 3 last month.
But you make a good point since 90% of day traders that aren't willing to hold a position for over a weekend let alone a couple months lose money. At this point I would be setting your stop loss orders a little more loosely if you sold short Thursday or Friday, it could be a couple months for the return to the 40 week moving average.

Shhhhhh.......

It just keeps creeping higher.

a reply to: Generation9

I heard they were planning a breakout rally all the way to 27,500 for the Dow Jones.
It was beginning to look like 2007 last month so I will have to keep my single digits till we get another buy opportunity.
Has to return below the 200 day moving average sometime..

a reply to: Slichter

Is there finally a time when you just admit that a weird 40-week cycle exists?

It makes sure to not make sense.

But there it is. The Dow is up since Pentecost.

a reply to: Generation9

Using the 40 week moving average as your statistical decision tool would logically require making fewer trades per year.

90% of day traders that trade more than 3 times a week end up broke the first year so maybe that explains some of the magic of using the 40 week moving average?

If I were to annualize my ROI for the last 60 days it would equal my BMI, so there also is just luck and coincidence.

I think we need to integrate a few more "signals" into our divine alignments before we can say we are investing rather than gambling.

a reply to: Slichter

"Drone attacks spark huge fire at world's largest oil processing plant in Saudi and at second massive facility nearby as tensions in region reach boiling point following Iranian attacks on tankers"

Well, well, well...

www.youtube.com...

Alright. I'm just going to write you off. You have no idea what I'm talking about here. I don't know where you get this idea of a 40-week average. This whole thread is about a time period of creation that lasts 40 weeks. There is no average. There is no financial analysis. There is no voodoo. I count from 1 to 40 and then do it again.

a reply to: Mover3

I have no idea what a Saudi oil fire has to do with this. If you can explain it further I'd be happy to listen.

a reply to: Generation9

You have no idea how what's taking place in the middle-east could tie in with price movements or how it relates to this thread? What if the group part of the big secret have their tentacles in various places? What if they're not just selectively producing the news but they're also creating some of it? Do you believe the news knew WTC7 was going to collapse or it was just coincidental?

It isn't simply a Saudi oil fire, apparently it was an Iranian-backed drone attack... if you have no idea how this could play out then you haven't really been paying attention.

I agree with the premise of this thread and have been interested in what you have to say but like you have said before, we're only guessing/interpreting... there's no manual, guide, or tutorial.

a reply to: Mover3

You predicted a double digit move in oil before it happened.
Price of oil did jump 20% overnight back to the June price range.
I watched for signals in the US dollar index but there were none there.
Looks like only the insiders receive the important signals?
Both my parents are dead so I'm no longer in the loop.

Saudi oil fire seems to be a manufactured event designed to impact Trump and the U.S. economy. Oil prices have risen but the stock market isn't too badly affected. Trump isn't interested in getting into a war. People in general simply are not buying into the mainstream media's leftist propaganda. The hero's quest is higher! We go higher.

a reply to: Generation9


Can Trump hold off this impeachment attempt, is this it? Couple more weeks of sideways movement then we're going down, I think.

a reply to: Mover3

I have no idea what's going on with Trump impeachment. Democrats are probably just attempting to create hysteria as usual. I don't know.

I think the proper interpretation of the signal is upward from Pentecost. To start the move the Dow sold down until Pentecost. Then they started buying. And now there is another little struggle playing out on the chart. The market will rig itself upward. Until the week of January 19, 2020. What then? I don't know. But I know there will be another signal to let us know.

originally posted by: Slichter
a reply to: Generation9

Using the 40 week moving average as your statistical decision tool would logically require making fewer trades per year.

90% of day traders that trade more than 3 times a week end up broke the first year so maybe that explains some of the magic of using the 40 week moving average?

If I were to annualize my ROI for the last 60 days it would equal my BMI, so there also is just luck and coincidence.

I think we need to integrate a few more "signals" into our divine alignments before we can say we are investing rather than gambling.

90% is close but it's a little higher than that, the reason they blow their accounts up is because they're often using brokers where they're always taking the other side. Controlling the platform allows them to tickle the stop losses routinely, you sound like someone who day trades and wants to get an edge... you'd be best off finding a decent broker then going from there. A decent mentor is a must but threads like this are interesting, especially to those attracted to patterns and cycles.

originally posted by: Mover3
a reply to: Generation9


I agree with the premise of this thread and have been interested in what you have to say but like you have said before, we're only guessing/interpreting... there's no manual, guide, or tutorial.

I am attempting to discover the manual. The signals are being given to guide us. Who gives the signal? I don't know. The guide is telling us what will happen during the next 40-week period. It is not a moving average on a chart. It is a precise period of 40 weeks. It is a project. Like building a baby. It takes 40 weeks. The tutorial is in the occult philosophy and symbols. I've read some books that primed my brain for the discovery of this back in March 2003. That's all I know. I write here hoping that some of you have some clues.

This is about controlling the movement of vast amounts of money.

Like a lock raises a body of water up or lowers it down, so does the 40-week cycle raise or lower the stock market.

The lock is 40 weeks wide. It lifts the market up or lowers the market down.

The key is going to allow you to benefit from the motion of the lock. You will know which way the market is going to move. With certainty. How else do you think the biggest bankers slosh around billions without losing? They know ahead of time. Like a done deal. They know which direction the market is rigged. This thread is about one market in particular. The Dow Jones Industrial Average seems to be a good way of diversifying large amounts of money into various company stocks that move mainly together over long periods of time. If a company isn't moving along with program they will take it out of the average and put in a new company that gets with the program. Stocks all seem to basically move together in one direction as measured by the large index averages. This thread is looking for confirmation from the DJIA in particular.