Quake Watch 2012

seems to me we should either be having a bigger quake soon or a swarm of little quakes. It happens when the number of quakes on the USGS site dips down below a hundred sixty. The earth needs to keep a frequency at a certain point and if there are too few quakes for a while it has to bring up the frequency somehow or the energy level will build too high or the frequency goes too low.

It appears that man's behavior is tied to this frequency. If the frequency goes too low we blow things up or do things to up the frequency to what we are geologically used to. If the frequency raises we think faster but also make mistakes more because it exceeds the limitations of the brain sometimes. If the frequency disappears, as in a power outage, people get irrational and do things they would never do sometimes. If the weather gets damp, it drains our power and we get lazy and tired if the chemistry of our bodies does not have the right conditions.

A change in frequency causes an imbalance in brain chemistry till the brain acclimates. Too much energy from the environment causes us to tire quickly as is evident in heat waves. It is hard for some to sleep in the heat because it's hard to downregulate the body when there is a lot of energy present, the heat keeps you awake. High humidity also causes problems in heat because it allows more energy to interact with the body.

People who live in areas with high small earthquake activity tend to have thinking problems temporarily if the energy levels lower so don't so much feel at home in lower energy/frequency environments. People acclimate to their surroundings. People can absorb energy from their environment, eating is not the only way we acquire energy although it is the main source.

reply to post by PuterMan


"Strange isn't it how people react to quakes. I saw the 5.5 off Washington, looked at it and decided to ignore it as not particularly significant but interesting."

That was my reaction, as well. Too far from land, wrong fault to worry much.

reply to post by JohnVidale

Ditto, John. Well, almost ditto...

I found it interesting but not really of any great concern, and only posted about it on the thread here to show that larger ones have occurred in the same general region in the recent past without anything major following.

But your statement "wrong fault to worry much" does beg a question -- from me, at least. What I mean is, can we rest assured that even if there is fairly significant activity on that fault, it will have little or no effect on the actual subduction zone? ie There is no suggestion of a possible causative link between the two locations?

Regards,

Mike

probably missed it but will read the thread later but isn't this kind of unusual?


www.aeic.alaska.edu...


02:24 AM AKDT Saturday August 18th, 2012 5.30 Mb VANUATU ISLANDS REGION
02:23 AM AKDT Saturday August 18th, 2012 5.67 Mb VANUATU ISLANDS REGION
01:41 AM AKDT Saturday August 18th, 2012 6.31 Mb SULAWESI
01:39 AM AKDT Saturday August 18th, 2012 4.60 Mb SOLOMON ISLANDS
01:21 AM AKDT Saturday August 18th, 2012 Unknown in the Fox Islands region of Alaska
01:19 AM AKDT Saturday August 18th, 2012 4.40 Mb OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
12:58 AM AKDT Saturday August 18th, 2012 4.80 Mb SUMBA ISLAND REGION
12:37 AM AKDT Saturday August 18th, 2012 4.30 Mb OFF E. COAST OF S. ISLAND, N.Z.
10:51 PM AKDT Friday August 17th, 2012 5.56 Mb BONIN ISLANDS REGION

then after that there are a alot of high 4's a few 3's and I think a 5 in the list too. I've never seen that many big quakes in a row though. Though I'm not a big watcher. I checked today because I thought I felt an earthquake sometime this morning when I was sleeping. Usually if in a dream or whatever my bed starts to shake that means an earthquake which in my dream my bed was shaking so.

reply to post by JustMike


A much bigger earthquake on the transforms or ridges out there could throw more stress further in towards the dangerous faults, so it is possible activity there could be ominous. A big quake on a normal fault might generate a moderate tsunami, although I don't recall any normal-fault generated tsunamis. But that area is not of great concern.

sooo,
maybe there really IS something brewing in the plates
aside from the last few 6's it has been kinda quiet in an ever tectonicly moving planet
pressure building?

The area called Bora bora keeps popping in my mind.....? I dont know why but all day its been popping up.

Now my dad just mentioned it popping up suddenly in his head.

maps.google.com...

SWARM DETECTED !!!!!

Location 34.256°N, 117.073°W

Distances

6 km (4 miles) NNE (31°) from Running Springs, CA
11 km (7 miles) E (90°) from Lake Arrowhead, CA
15 km (9 miles) W (275°) from town of Big Bear Lake, CA
25 km (15 miles) NE (55°) from San Bernardino, CA
110 km (68 miles) ENE (78°) from Los Angeles Civic Center, CA
+/-

Tuesday August 21 2012, 02:33:36 UTC Southern California 1.4
Tuesday August 21 2012, 02:40:14 UTC Southern California 3.0
Tuesday August 21 2012, 02:41:33 UTC Southern California 1.8
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:03:20 UTC Southern California 1.4
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:09:43 UTC Southern California 1.4
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:14:04 UTC Southern California 1.1
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:21:35 UTC Southern California 2.2
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:22:45 UTC Southern California 1.7
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:23:06 UTC Southern California 1.7
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:34:11 UTC Southern California 1.7
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:57:13 UTC Southern California 2.0
Tuesday August 21 2012, 04:04:13 UTC Southern California 1.3


Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:18:41 UTC Northern California 1.9
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:19:06 UTC Northern California 1.6
Tuesday August 21 2012, 04:10:44 UTC Northern California 1.7
Tuesday August 21 2012, 04:12:59 UTC Northern California 1.1

img.abovetopsecret.com..." target='_blank' class='tabOff'/>[qu ote]Originally posted by dreamfox1
SWARM DETECTED !!!!!

Tuesday August 21 2012, 02:33:36 UTC Southern California 1.4
Tuesday August 21 2012, 02:40:14 UTC Southern California 3.0
Tuesday August 21 2012, 02:41:33 UTC Southern California 1.8
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:03:20 UTC Southern California 1.4
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:09:43 UTC Southern California 1.4
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:14:04 UTC Southern California 1.1
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:21:35 UTC Southern California 2.2
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:22:45 UTC Southern California 1.7
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:23:06 UTC Southern California 1.7


Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:18:41 UTC Northern California 1.9
Tuesday August 21 2012, 03:19:06 UTC Northern California 1.6









I see im not the only one monitoring this situation.... its very active in the big bear ca area tonight..... if u have Gee i suggest pulling up the Big Bear seismos... pretty active.... they had a big one bk in 1992.. i believe a 6.2
en.wikipedia.org...


www.data.scec.org...

This threads version,circa early 1900's

www.sfmuseum.org...

reply to post by steve95988


Keeping an eye on this activity.

reply to post by JohnVidale

Thanks for your comments, John. Much appreciated.

Regarding tsunamis generated by normal faulting, about the only significant one I could find that might apply relates to the Dec 28, 1908 Messina Straits quake. The most detailed recent study I have to hand is by Pino et al ***, and if I've read it right (always questionable! ) it seems that this quake is generally taken as the result of "normal" fault movement; however, there is disagreement over what exactly caused the tsunami. Some argue that it was directly generated by the faulting, others suggest a large subsea landslip was involved.

If I recall correctly, the 1929 Grand Banks (Nova Scotia) quake and tsunami also resulted from normal faulting, but in this case the tsunami was definitely caused by a subsea landslip that was generated by the quake. So the Messina event is an odd one; it does seem strange that normal faulting could cause such a devastating tsunami and it makes me wonder if the landslip theory is far more likely the correct one.

Anyway, as I'm very much an amateur in these matters I'd be glad if you could offer any insights or opinion on the Messina event.

Also, as there have been subsea landslip-generated tsunamis off the US coast in the past, do you consider they present any serious threat for near-coastal residents -- or, for example, coastal nuclear power stations?

(*** Note to members: this is a link to a 5.45 MB pdf at earth-prints.org)

Mike

reply to post by kdog1982


Really interesting site Kdog.
Thanks for posting that link.

reply to post by JustMike


I don't know much about the Messina event. It was too long ago to be confident of much.

5.0 South Indian Ocean 2012-08-21 17:51:37 0.160°S 91.983°E 14.5
5.3 Southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia 2012-08-21 17:39:38 0.165°S 92.062°E 15.0

Source

These along with my headache make me nervous

East of East Cape Ridge Off NI N.Z. July 18 to Aug 19 2012

Swarm? or aftershocks of the 5.7 on the 21st July?
There have been 93 quakes since the 18th July which started with a 4.882, then a couple of 3's and then the 5.7, another mag 5 (a 5.235) on 2nd Aug, 31, all up 31 mag 4's and 60 mag 3's
There were 19 quakes in between the 5.7 and the 5.2 , 15 of those mag 4's
last quake was a couple of days ago on the 19th July a 4.231


interactive version actually all of NZ last 30days

graph


thats not a timeline graph, its just the sequence in which they occured.

having read the last couple of pages about the 5.5 and the 4.6 off Washington recently I think you guys would be freaking out and thinking the megathrust 9.0 was upon you if this was happening over there

Where these are, on the Pacific Plate, and not in the Hikurangi Trench or in the Ridge itself, my feeling is that the PP is jammed, the PP isn't moving under the AP as it normally does, so is is buckling up where these quakes are located.
Just a theory.
It will either give suddenly under the Ridge with a Mag 7+ or the stress will dissipate back out onto the Pacific Plate over a larger area and the quakes will taper off.
The gap since the 19th worries me a little bit, but it could just be Geonet being slow, they had no quakes anywhere for NZ on the 20th at all

FWIW that 5.7ML was also a 5.7 mb, and 5.7Mw , how can that be

201207210454A OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAN
Date: 2012/ 7/21 Centroid Time: 4:54: 8.1 GMT
Lat= -37.70 Lon=-179.90
Depth= 15.5 Half duration= 1.8
Centroid time minus hypocenter time: 1.0
Moment Tensor: Expo=24 -3.400 2.100 1.300 0.707 2.080 3.960
Mw = 5.7 mb = 5.7 Ms = 5.8 Scalar Moment = 5.2e+24
Fault plane: strike=76 dip=41 slip=-47
Fault plane: strike=205 dip=62 slip=-120

GCMT

Type: Earthquake
26 minutes ago
Magnitude: 3.3
DateTime: Tuesday August 21 2012, 21:21:28 UTC
Region: Colorado
Depth: 5 km
Source: USGS Feed

reply to post by JustMike


Hey there Mike! ;-)

I haven't seen you around much, although I lurk more than I post these days.

I see you are now a moderator..... Congrats!

Muzzy is working with Earthquake Report and you are now working on my other fav. site! Lol xoxox

What do you make of the swarm in Ca?? I was a little antsy when I saw the Arkansas quakes this week but then I digress.

Im not worried at all, just like to stay aware.

Hope things are going well for you and yours!

reply to post by dreamfox1


Almost same date as last one, August 23, 2011 was 5.5. This time 2 days earlier & 2 magnitudes lower. Better than higher.

I didn't feel anything as it's quite a ways from Denver, but thought I heard an odd rumbling at about that time, which is impossible from this distance, I think anyway.

I think that I might be spending too much time on this thread!

I tend to have quite vivid dreams (and rarely anything to do with EQ's even though I've lived thru two major ones), and just b4 I woke this morning, I have very clear impression of a sizeable quake taking place somewhere in North America. I saw it as a map with an expanding bullseye.

If I would hazard a guess, I'd say it was emanating from the region of Idaho or Montana, but can't imagine why that would generate quakes of any significant size?

I don't always trust dreams like this, but many years back (35 yrs) I had a vivid dream of a galloping horse raise in Australia, where I saw a close finish in a race and the name GOLD something was clear in my mind. I checked at my local betting agency that morning and found that there were 4 horses racing that day, with GOLD in their names...anyway for fun I decided to back each of them for $5 each-way and couldn't believe that at the end of the day, 3 of them WON (one dead-heated for first), and the 4th one ran a nose second!! (collected over $150).

I was most excited about this new 'ability' and couldn't wait to get to bed that night and dream about the next winner(s)! Suffice to say that 35 yrs later I've only had the occasional racing related dream, and unfortunately I could never remember that name of the horse

Anyway, decided to post this little story, as would be kicking myself if something popped in the area and I had kept this to myself.