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Originally posted by steppenwolf86
reply to post by theovermensch
Why does everyone insist the Russians will become involved? They do not need Iran for oil, or anything else for that matter. Russia has sat out, what 5 Israeli/Arab wars? That doesn't count the War of Attrition air battles fought against the IAF, when Russian MiGs were station in Egypt, as the Russians sat on the sidelines for the main war 2 years later in '73.
Russia has threatened to intervene, but they have a lot of trouble moving their troops, and can barely manage any naval deployments. Also, if the Russians were so intent on helping the Iranians, why are they still holding up the delivery of the S-300 SAM system?
Look, realistically, Israel does not have the manpower to invade Iran, and the US does not have the heart or good enough reason for it after the last 10 years in the sandbox. So, Israel will take out the Iranian plants and facilities in a quick airstrike, and possibly will try to eliminate Iran's airforce. They are entirely capable of doing this, and Iran is entirely incapable of defending against it. The only obstacle in Israel's way is the court of international opinion. They cannot afford to isolate themselves further. But on the military side of the equation, it is no contest, and I doubt Russia will risk everything by getting involved on a large scale.
Originally posted by steppenwolf86
Originally posted by edog11
If the brunt of the Israeli attack is carried out by the Air Force, Iran could just simply start using those cute little double-digit SAMs that they purchased from Russia to take a lot of very expensive Israeli jets down. Just add to that a few proxy wars aimed against Israel and you've got yourself a screwed up Middle East in complete chaos.
The deciding factor in the war that is coming will IMO be the actions of the superpowers in the region. Who will support who? I think it would be a likely reason for a possible global thermonuclear war If superpowers like the USA/China and Russia interfere.
In other words, pray that this war will be averted or else the likelihood of us having a good future will decrease dramatically.
IT--
news.yahoo.com
(visit the link for the full news article)edit on 21-11-2011 by edog11 because: (no reason given)
Go look up Operation Mole Cricket 19. The Israeli's wrote the book on taking out air defenses. So much so, that they may have hastened the end of the cold war, because the russians realized their SAMs could not match up to the pointy end of a HARM.
Originally posted by JohhnyBGood
reply to post by edog11
So.............................do you suppose an Israeli EMP attack would take out their missile defences?
The Jericho III ICBM equipped with a nuclear warhead provides Israel with a powerful deterrent against a nuclear Iran. It gives Israel a credible Electronic Magnetic Pulse (EMP) capability to loft a low kiloton yield warhead to an apogee over Iran that upon detonation would destroy the country’s industrial infrastructure, frying motherboards of hundreds of thousands of computers, disabling telecommunications, transportation and industrial systems. According to veteran Iran watcher, Ken Timmerman, President and CEO of the Foundation for Democracy in Iran, that possibility was confirmed by ex-CIA case officer Chet Nagle at a Capitol Hill EMPact America press conference in Washington, DC on Tuesday, the day before the Jericho III test was announced.
Israel needs to grow some balls and get this over with.