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“People on twitter might be joking, but in all seriousness, we would see a bigger boost in spending and hence economic growth if the earthquake had done more damage.”
“World War II is the great natural experiment in the effects of large increases in government spending, and as such has always served as an important positive example for those of us who favor an activist approach to a depressed economy.”
"If we discovered that, you know, space aliens were planning to attack and we needed a massive buildup to counter the space alien threat and really inflation and budget deficits took secondary place to that, this slump would be over in 18 months," he said. "And then if we discovered, oops, we made a mistake, there aren't any aliens, we'd be better"
Have you ever witnessed the anger of the good shopkeeper, James B., when his careless son happened to break a square of glass? If you have been present at such a scene, you will most assuredly bear witness to the fact, that every one of the spectators, were there even thirty of them, by common consent apparently, offered the unfortunate owner this invariable consolation: “It is an ill wind that blows nobody good. Everybody must live, and what would become of the glaziers if panes of glass were never broken?”
Now, this form of condolence contains an entire theory, which it will be well to show up in this simple case, seeing that it is precisely the same as that which, unhappily, regulates the greater part of our economical institutions.
Suppose it cost six francs to repair the damage, and you say that the accident brings six francs to the glazier’s trade — that it encourages that trade to the amount of six francs — I grant it; I have not a word to say against it; you reason justly. The glazier comes, performs his task, receives his six francs, rubs his hands, and, in his heart, blesses the careless child. All this is that which is seen.
But if, on the other hand, you come to the conclusion, as is too often the case, that it is a good thing to break windows, that it causes money to circulate, and that the encouragement of industry in general will be the result of it, you will oblige me to call out, “Stop there! Your theory is confined to that which is seen; it takes no account of that which is not seen.”
It is not seen that as our shopkeeper has spent six francs upon one thing, he cannot spend them upon another. It is not seen that if he had not had a window to replace, he would, perhaps, have replaced his old shoes, or added another book to his library. In short, he would have employed his six francs in some way which this accident has prevented.
Let us take a view of industry in general, as affected by this circumstance. The window being broken, the glazier’s trade is encouraged to the amount of six francs: this is that which is seen.
If the window had not been broken, the shoemaker’s trade (or some other) would have been encouraged to the amount of six francs: this is that which is not seen.
And if that which is not seen is taken into consideration, because it is a negative fact, as well as that which is seen, because it is a positive fact, it will be understood that neither industry in general, nor the sum total of national labor, is affected, whether windows are broken or not.
Now let us consider James B. himself. In the former supposition, that of the window being broken, he spends six francs, and has neither more nor less than he had before, the enjoyment of a window.
In the second, where we suppose the window not to have been broken, he would have spent six francs in shoes, and would have had at the same time the enjoyment of a pair of shoes and of a window. Now, as James B. forms a part of society, must come to the conclusion, that, taking it altogether, and making an estimate of its enjoyments and its labors, it has lost the value of the broken window.
Whence we arrive at this unexpected conclusion: “Society loses the value of things which are uselessly destroyed,” and we must assent to a maxim which will make the hair of protectionists stand on end — to break, to spoil, to waste, is not to encourage national labor; or, more briefly, “destruction is not profit.”
What will you say, Moniteur Industriel? What will you say, disciples of good M. F. Chamans, who has calculated with so much precision how much trade would gain by the burning of Paris, from the number of houses it would be necessary to rebuild?
I am sorry to disturb these ingenious calculations, as far as their spirit has been introduced into our legislation; but I beg him to begin them again, by taking into the account that which is not seen, and placing it alongside of that which is seen.
“Stop there! Your theory is confined to that which is seen; it takes no account of that which is not seen.”
The reader must take care to remember that there are not two persons only, but three concerned in the little scene which I have submitted to his attention.
One of them, James B., represents the consumer, reduced, by an act of destruction, to one enjoyment instead of two.
Another, under the title of the glazier, shows us the producer, whose trade is encouraged by the accident.
The third is the shoemaker (or some other tradesman), whose labor suffers proportionately by the same cause.
It is this third person who is always kept in the shade, and who, personating that which is not seen, is a necessary element of the problem. It is he who shows us how absurd it is to think we see a profit in an act of destruction. It is he who will soon teach us that it is not less absurd to see a profit in a restriction, which is, after all, nothing else than a partial destruction. Therefore, if you will only go to the root of all the arguments which are adduced in its favor, all you will find will be the paraphrase of this vulgar saying — what would become of the glaziers, if nobody ever broke windows?
Originally posted by here4awhile
reply to post by mnemeth1
well put and good logic...but uh...who the hell is Paul Krugman lol...some liberal douche who thinks people really care and listen to what he says? uh huh...
Originally posted by ChungTsuU
Mr. Krugman has been saying some very strange things lately, for a person of such "regard". Alien Invasions...TPTB etc...
Regards and Nameste,
-Chung
That is why Nobel prizes mean nothing now that and Obama getting one for being black its great to know we have zorg running our econ
Originally posted by mnemeth1
reply to post by here4awhile
He's a Nobel Prize winning economist that has influence over the nation's economic policy through his New York Times editorials.
That, my friend, is who Paul Krugman is.
edit on 24-8-2011 by mnemeth1 because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by mnemeth1
Originally posted by ChungTsuU
Mr. Krugman has been saying some very strange things lately, for a person of such "regard". Alien Invasions...TPTB etc...
Regards and Nameste,
-Chung
Oh yes, thanks so much for reminding me about that.
Originally posted by pcrobotwolf
its great to know we have zorg running our econ
Originally posted by mnemeth1
reply to post by here4awhile
He's a Nobel Prize winning economist that has influence over the nation's economic policy through his New York Times editorials.
That, my friend, is who Paul Krugman is.
And yes, this does mean that the nuclear catastrophe could end up being expansionary, if not for Japan then at least for the world as a whole. If this sounds crazy, well, liquidity-trap economics is like that — remember, World War II ended the Great Depression.
Nonetheless, we must ask about the economic aftershocks from Tuesday’s horror [the 9/11 attacks]. These aftershocks need not be major. Ghastly as it may seem to say this, the terror attack — like the original day of infamy [the bombing of Pearl Harbor], which brought an end to the Great Depression — could even do some economic good.
Originally posted by ChungTsuU
Mr. Krugman has been saying some very strange things lately, for a person of such "regard". Alien Invasions...TPTB etc...
Regards and Nameste,
-Chung
Paul Krugman Impersonator Uses Google Plus To Make Stupid Arguments In Bad Faith
It seems that some hardcore ninny took to the Google+ platform disguised as Paul Krugman and used that venue to disseminate some controversial statements about yesterday's earthquake...www.huffingtonpost.com...