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Report of massive earthquake swarm in Canary Islands
July 23, 2011 – CANARY ISLANDS – 368 quakes recorded so far….but still some more to be analyzed…northern side of El Hierro suffering the swarm. -Twitpic This is something we will continue to monitor closely. The Canary Islands are believed to have been formed from a magma plume. Attention turned to the islands after a mild seismic swarm occurred in 2004. The region is seismically active and a major eruption of the Cumbre Vieja volcano could pose a potential tsuanami threat to the Eastern U.S. and the English Channel. A 2001 report in the UK Indendent warned:..............................................
A volcano named Cumbre Vieja on the island of La Palma in the Canary Islands of North Africa is where geologists suspect the next tsunami could begin. The reason for the concern... In 1949 during a volcanic eruption part of the island slid into the ocean before ending its descent. Should another large eruption of the Cumbre Vieja occur, the western side of the island is likely to collapse into the Atlantic.
Predicting the next eruption isn't a likely happening; geologists cannot say whether or not the next eruption will be the one to make the island shed its western shore. Until then, we have to watch and wait.
500 billion tons of rock creating five thousand trillion, (that's fifteen zeros), joules of kinetic energy, that is transferred and converted to a 600 to a thousand meter tall wave with excessive speeds. Ten minutes and it will have traveled 250 kilometers, all the while powered by the underwater landslide.
I know it will take that long to evacuate from our island,but eight hour of running would get me at least 20 miles inland...good idea
Originally posted by Greensage
The real question remains is how far can one get in 8 hours? Seriously, can anyone in Boston get anywhere of any considerable distance in 8 hours if everyone is trying to get there? New York? Those are only two of hundreds of cities dotting the Eastern Seaboard.
I would estimate that running could possibly get you further but not far enough; it really sounds like designation points just outside of each city should contain at least 50 (500 perhaps is better) buses ready to transport people out rather than trying to allow the masses to move themselves.
A lot can happen in 8 hours of warning!
Might be time to invest in a hot air balloon, that would get you up there in time to see it all go by!edit on 7/23/2011 by Greensage because: more buses are needed!
Originally posted by PuterMan
Of course the tsunami would get Portugal. Mm let's see there is someone from Portugal here isn't there ArMaP?
A collapse of Cumbre Vieja will not generate waves of up to 50 m. in height in Florida and the Caribbean islands, or more than 40 m along the northern coast of Brazil, . Mega tsunami generation from the postulated collapse of Kilauea is equally unrealistic. Waves of up to 30 m for the west coast of North America, and up to 20 m for the southwest Pacific are not possible. Proper modeling of dispersive effects (Mader 2001) - provides much more realistic far-field wave estimates, in the unlikely event of a large-scale, La Palma slope failure. Mader's model of a La Palma slide estimates that the east coast of the U.S. and the Caribbean would receive tsunami waves of less than 3 meters and the European and African coasts would receive waves less than 10 meters high. However, this represents the upper limit. Full Navier-Stokes modeling brings the maximum expected tsunami wave amplitude off the U.S. east coast to about one meter. Even with shoaling effects, a tsunami from a La Palma slide would still be of concern but does not present an unmanageable threat or a significant far field hazard.