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Originally posted by Darkwing01
reply to post by hooper
I would love to "reproduce" some of Dr. Jones' results - think I can get some of his dust samples? Can't reproduce his experiments without his material. If not, well then - no science.
Last I checked Jones wasn't stopping you from getting access to samples of WTC dust, which is all you need. You don't need HIS samples.
If you want samples either go find them yourself or ask U.S. government, they are the ones not releasing data.
Originally posted by Darkwing01
Yeah, again. Reproducible refers to things in the physical universe, not drawings.
If what came out of the side of the building was molten iron the only reasonable source was thermite right?
If there was thermite it must have been put there deliberately beforehand right (please don't tell me you think plane + steel beams = thermite).
If thermite was placed there deliberately the only people who had the required access, time and technical ability were not the however many hijackers were actually on the planes, n'est-ce pas?
So that stuff coming out the side of the building is prima facie enough to establish the conspiracy version.
Unless you can "please explain" WITH A PHYSICAL REPRODUCIBLE EXPERIMENT what else it may have been.
It doesn't mean that thetruther version is true, it just means that it is the only story that is scientifically supported at this time.
edit on 28-6-2011 by Darkwing01 because: part two
Originally posted by Darkwing01
Did aircraft impact the towers, they are not question they are STATEMENTS OF FACT!!!!
So what?
Thermite cutting vertical columns is also a STATEMENT OF FACT!!!!
What is not a statement of fact is that there is any PURELY scientific reason to believe the OS, and there are many PURELY scientific reasons (i.e. excluding everything that cannot be reproduced in PHYSICAL experiment) that support assistance.
edit on 29-6-2011 by Darkwing01 because: (no reason given)edit on 29-6-2011 by Darkwing01 because: second
Really? And where do I get WTC dust?
The thing is MY statement of FACT we saw!!!!!!!
So you have established, WITH A PHYSICAL REPRODUCIBLE EXPERIMENT, that it's molten iron?
Originally posted by Darkwing01
So you have established, WITH A PHYSICAL REPRODUCIBLE EXPERIMENT, that it's molten iron?
Molten Iron ALWAYS looks and behaves this way in air. Go look at any number of videos featuring molten iron and you will see that this is what molten iron looks like. You can melt iron in your backyard and it will look this.
It does not look like any of the other candidates.
So because you can't think of something else that it might be, it automatically becomes molten iron?
Occam's razor is not about the simplest explanation being the most likely one, but about the explanation that requires the least assumptions being the most likely one.
And it is more of a rule of thumb, something to go by when we do not have enough information.
Aluminum seems much more likely as explanation.
Originally posted by Darkwing01
We only have to assume that the American government acted as they usually do, which is not exactly a new assumption.
We never have enough information in science. Yes it is a rule of them, but it is an extraordinarily useful one.
Aluminium explains nothing at all, how can it be more likely.
Yes assuming it is aluminium means you have to make fewer FURTHER assumptions, but that is not what the razor OR the scientific method asks for.
It asks that you make the fewest assumption to REACH the conclusion AND that the conclusion explains all the known facts.
You make no new assumption to say this is iron or steel and saying it is iron or steel explains everything we know about this substance, except how it got there, which is irrelevant for this purpose because once we know what it is is how it got there is already answered one way or another.
So no, you are wrong.
You can think it is aluminium, but you cannot think that that assumption is scientifically justified in any way.
Originally posted by Darkwing01
reply to post by TrickoftheShade
So because you can't think of something else that it might be, it automatically becomes molten iron?
No.
It becomes the most reasonable assumption because:
A) It looks and behave the way that molten iron is expected to behave. Refer to Occam's razor, one should not resort assuming it is something else when the simplest explanation that explains all the facts is molten iron.
B) The heat residue and molten material afterward suggests that whatever this was got really hot and so must have been a fairly good conductor of heat.
C) The iron micro-sphere's as reported by Fema and others indicate that there was molten iron present one way or another.
You can argue B and C, but the burden of proof is you, since the most reasonable assumption given the evidence is iron. The only reason you want to exclude iron because it conflicts with your narrative, hardly a sound way of approaching a scientific question.
- it looks like molten iron - um... - that's it.
Originally posted by Darkwing01
..and there are other independent lines of evidence which also strongly suggested that that is what it was, which I listed earlier.
But rewind:
1) Why do you think it is NOT molten iron and on what basis do you come to that conclusion?
2) What part about this stuff looking like and behaving like molten iron and not looking like and behaving anything else is NOT reproducible in physical experiment?
1) It could be lots of other things. I think it's probably aluminium mixed with all kinds of other stuff from the towers. The colour is plausible. If it's evidence of steel being cut then why is the building not falling down? And why is it the only example?
2) What value would there be in such an experiment? The fact that something can be made to look like something else proves nothing. It just shows that it could be molten oiron. But that doesn't really help you.
Originally posted by Darkwing01
reply to post by TrickoftheShade
1) It could be lots of other things. I think it's probably aluminium mixed with all kinds of other stuff from the towers. The colour is plausible. If it's evidence of steel being cut then why is the building not falling down? And why is it the only example?
Same reason you can't prove it was NOT iron.
Don't play your silly games with me, this is the oldest bait and switch in the book. You can't prove that PHYSICAL REALITY is not a fiction planted in your mind by an evil demon either, are you going to believe that that is the case too now?
Why is it the only example? Because maybe it wasn't intended to be so obvious Sherlock.
Jeez you ARE reaching now aren't you?
Except you haven't showed that anything but molten iron can be made to look like that that had a better reason for being there than molten iron.
Of course it doesn't help me, it would disprove my claim. I am telling you what you need to do to falsify my hypothesis that this is molten iron and instead of attempting to falsify it you are sitting here yapping inanities.
Oh, yes I forget...
Others have tried vigorously to reproduce your claims and thus far have failed miserably.
Please state what you think this is, express the reasons why you believe it to be that and provide the means for reproducible experimental falsification of your claim and your attempts to falsify it. If you can't even do that how can you possibly claim that your ideas have any scientific validity to them whatsoever?
You may as well be claiming it was a cockroach infestation and the stuff falling out are roaches, it would have exactly the same scientific standing as your claims of aluminium.edit on 6-7-2011 by Darkwing01 because: 2
That doesn't even make sense. I ask why, if the steel is being cut, the building doesn't immediately fall own, and why it's the only example, and your answer is "Same reason you can't prove it was NOT iron".
What does that even mean?
This applies equally - in fact more pertinently - to you. You're asking us to assume something you can't prove just because you say so.
Convenient that there's only one example. Presumably hundreds of cutter charges where spraying molten iron around, and we see only one? Possible I suppose, but hardly likely.
Except the plane's aluminium, which was definitely there. Mixed with all kinds of oxidised materials from the towers internal fixtures and furniture.
I don't have to falsify it at all. Indeed I can't. But then neither can you prove that it was molten iron. And equally you can't falsify my hypothesis.
I'm not sure how much science you've actually done, but your hypothesis remains unproven. You haven't found molten iron and you can't do anything more than make an assumption. One which isn't even that persuasive, based as it is on simple resemblance (and, in my opinion, your biased desire to see some sort of accelerant at work).
I should do this, but you - who have apparently discovered evidence of a major government conspiracy - don't have to?
Why would I bother? My view of 9/11 is ascendant. You're the one who has to do some work, change some minds, or remain an irrelevance.
And exactly the same standing as yours of iron.
Originally posted by Darkwing01
Go back and read your own question, you will notice it consists of two parts.
You have forgotten what you asked.
How so, I am not asking you to assume anything but the scientific method. All your knowledge of physical reality is based on the same principles: Observation, theorizing, attempted falsification, reproduction and external verification.
So how many would satisfy you?
OS'ers ask how the charges at the plane impact site avoided being damaged, well maybe they didn't. Maybe what you are looking at is a damaged charge just like the OS'ers predict.
It doesn't matter what the plane was made of or what was in the tower if you cannot show that what you claim it is looks and behaves the way that the stuff observed in that video looked and behaved.
The whole building could have been made of Aluminium and the stuff pouring out the would still not be Aluminium, because it doesn't look or behave like Aluminium.
Claims of mixes with organic material are all fine and dandy, but you are making a positive claim that such a mix could be made to look and behave in this fashion. You have not as yet stated any reason for holding this belief apart from your political views.
How dare you speak of science if you think that proof has anything to with it?
Science is about failure to falsify, not proof.
Basic stuff mate.
Because I am not asking you about your political views, I am asking you about objective physical reality.
No I haven't. You've ignored one part and given a non-sequiter answer to the other. Why didn't the building fall down immediately if this is an example of the steel being cut?
Very little of which you have done. That's why I say this applies more pertinently to you.
So the plane crash only damaged one charge? Given that hundreds of charges would be required I find it odd that we only see one. I also find it strange that the planes didn't set off any of the explosive charges that Steven Jones says were there as well.
Actually it does. Aluminium mixed with oxidised material can look like this. It's also possible that it's source is the UPS batteries from that floor. Perhaps you could falsify those claims.
My belief is based on the same reasoning that you use: that it resembles things other than the product of thermite reactions. Given that there is little supporting evidence for thermite, and that it requires a series of subsequent assumptions of which there is very little likelihood, I'm asking you to provide something a little better evidenced than "I think it looks like the product of a thermitic reaction therefore it's the product of a thermitic reaction."
I can see I'm in the presence of a regular Karl Popper. What you have to come to terms with is that this is not a scientific discussion. No experiment is possible, so neither proof nor falsification are available. What is possible is a conclusion based on likelihood, given the available information. Nothing you have shown suggests that this is most likely to be the product of a thermite reaction.
Fine. But you miss the point. Why should I bother trying to reproduce what happened here? You're the one trying to change the status quo. Demanding I do experiments to satisfy you is getting you nowhere. I'm satisfied - the majority is satisfied. My understanding of 9/11 is largely accepted; yours is not. If you want that to change you have to do better.