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By focusing all this attention on JASSM, MALD, JSOW, Growler, F-22, you are allowing B-2, B-1, F-15, F-16, F-35 in your territory to destroy targets.
originally posted by: victor7
a reply to: asims33
Russia would need a strategy against the MALDs. I do not have one, do not even know what tech MALDs work on.
In addition allowing JASSMs to enter within 5 miles of site location would be catastrophic, I think. These JASSMs need to be engaged and destroyed within 5 minutes of the launch leaving some time for re-engagement if the first attempt fails. 370 km range missile will take 20 minutes to fly to the site. If S-300 site is 100 kms within the border or coastline then maximum 270 kms is from where these can be air launched. Just few numbers for RuAF to try to deny the "taxi" delivering these weapons packages. Extended Range brands of JASSMs upto 1000 kms are also there but that would give much more time to engage and re-engage them. JASSM top speed is 600 mph and cruise speed is programmed given the mission etc. For a target at a distance of 50 kms, top speed can be used for cruise speed etc.
The defense of the site would be comprehensive coordination. This means when outer layer is busy then inner layers and core are not sleeping in or watching world cup games. Preparing and implementing firing solutions from a given set of variables at hand are a major part of SAM crew's training.
Even if US can outspend Russia 20-1, it would be enough to overwhelm the Russian resources......eventually. That's why I can say that "threat of nukes" is the main deterrent for Russia. With BMDs in place this threat might have been reduced by 50% already. So Russia is in tough spot here and will be much tougher in 5 years or so.
$1 Billion can get upto 60 Pantsirs. But Russians are more busy sending $5B a month looted from state treasury to overseas banks to hide in. Real threat to Russia is its own drunk, corrupt and careless people and culture. US is not a threat unless Russia takes some really offensive posture like attacking a NATO country etc. However, US does enjoy putting external pressure on Russia in hopes to collapse it from internal variables alone.
Again defense is a comprehensive picture of simultaneously working variables. It is not something one at a time type of deal.
Regarding ASMs, consider the situation where Yakhonts become hypersonic like Brahmos II. Chinese already have hypersonic ASM, I think although not sure.
Col. Dani was smart in the sense of "denying" NATO assets a successful kill on this SAM group. There he was smart. Now flooding a 10x10 mile box in the airspace with two dozen SAMs and scoring a hit because F-117 was there is not smart but lucky and that too based on intelligence input from a source within NATO. That's my candid views.
Russians are more advanced than Chinese in cyberwarfare IMHO. Chinese have more intelligence as many of them work for US corporations and get inside information and that's where PLA gets to steal technologies from the US. Chinese are still third world commies.
Btw, IR missiles can now select and non-select the targets they goes after. Adding such feature, if not already, on a MANPAD should be easy. I think that's all to do with sensors etc. Sensors are the deals that can help tracking the cruise missiles even if they flying low and hidden by terrain features.
Also, all this strategies that we are constantly yapping on (although pretty mind involving !!) might only find the trash can space in the real world of professionals and those who are aware of latest advances in weapons. This internet wargaming is at best to feel good about knowing this or that things about warfare...................from the wikipedia sources!! As to if US already has 1000 kms air to air missile would negate all the factors discussed regarding this internet wargaming. Cheers !!
originally posted by: victor7
a reply to: asims33
Here is a good candidate for CIWSs to protect the SAM site. Arena system that protects the tanks. $300K/unit. Need 6 such systems to cover 360 degrees many times over. Can engage targets at 700m/second speed. Guess JASSMs travel around 300-350m/secpnd. Only problem is range of 50m. Increase the range to 500 meters to not have any effect from shock waves etc.
Not saying Arena is a replacement but a system of such type modified for point defense purposes. Reaction time is .05 seconds which means multiple threats can be engaged and negated.
Even at $500K a piece after modification, 5 such systems would still be cheaper to adding 1 more Pantsir at $15M.
If nothing else, during a saturation attack by JASSMs and JDAMs, Arena type CIWS handles the JDAMs while Pantsir and S-300s take out the JASSMs.
en.wikipedia.org...
The system uses a multi-function Doppler radar, which can be turned on and off by the tank commander.[20] In conjunction with radar input, a digital computer scans an arc around the tank for threats, and evaluates which of the tank's 26 quick-action projectiles it will release to intercept the incoming threat.[21] In selecting the projectile to use for defeating the threat, the ballistic computer employs the information processed by the radar, including information such as flight parameters and velocity.[22] The computer has a reaction time of 0.05 seconds and protects the tank over a 300-degree arc, everywhere but the rear side of the turret. The system engages targets within 50 metres (55 yd) of the vehicle it is defending, and the ammunition detonates at around 1.5 metres (1.6 yd) from the threat.[10] It will engage any threat approaching the tank between the velocities of 70 metres per second (230 ft/s) and 700 metres per second (2,300 ft/s), and can detect false targets, such as outgoing projectiles, birds and small caliber bullets.[11] Arena works during the day and night, and the lack of electromagnetic interference allows the system to be used by multiple vehicles as a team.[23] The 27-volt system requires approximately one kilowatt of power, and weighs around 1,100 kilograms (2,400 lb).[11] Arena increases a tank's probability of surviving a rocket-propelled grenade by between 1.5[11]–2 times.
No matter how this scenario gets altered in this debate, the outcome is always the same. The Air defenses go down. Russia's only hope is getting the PAK 50 up and running and that is assuming it can do all the stuff they say it can. A stealth fighter would drastically alter the look of this. They would be able to knock out AWACs and Tankers to keep our F-22s out of the air and then it becomes the F-35's job. The PAK 50 wouldnt win the war but it would be FAR more effective at protecting Russian assets than simply putting SAM sites everywhere.
originally posted by: victor7
a reply to: asims33
No matter how this scenario gets altered in this debate, the outcome is always the same. The Air defenses go down. Russia's only hope is getting the PAK 50 up and running and that is assuming it can do all the stuff they say it can. A stealth fighter would drastically alter the look of this. They would be able to knock out AWACs and Tankers to keep our F-22s out of the air and then it becomes the F-35's job. The PAK 50 wouldnt win the war but it would be FAR more effective at protecting Russian assets than simply putting SAM sites everywhere.
For now, Pak-Fa is just a Russian attempt at Stealth fighter. It comes at $120M a piece and costs can go higher. I would not place all bets of T-50 alone. The above mentioned CIWS will gain lock via IR and also get data from S-300 radar, Pantsirs, Tor and other radars in the IAD. This would not be bulky either and that too given today's tech. If Pantsirs can fit into one truck and engage 4 targets at the same time, then engaging 1 target would be much easier and lighter deal, even if this CIWS is a size of a jeep. For a 1/3rd price of one Pantsir, 10 of such CIWS can make the zone air tight for anything to get through. Look up a weapon system called Metal Storm. It was nearly a whole wall of bullets raining in. Hit the wall and get shredded into pieces. Naval CIWS give a good 4 km range. This modification even placed 1 km from site plus even 2 km range would be enough to block anything. Hypersonic missile would be another thing but should not be a problem to modify the CIWS. It will take a little more cost.
Btw, JASSMs travel at .8 Mach. Here is a video of Mach 1 F-18 flying by.
www.youtube.com...
These can be easily targeted by more than a few tools and even at visual lock (as camera had a lock for 10 whole seconds) although it is not a paintball game so having a radar lock would be a more sure way to go. JASSMs are not complete stealth and hence fit the LO category. At near range, locking on stealth is a little challenge from IR alone.
RuAF can still take out AWACS and Tankers via Novator missile and also other legacy fighters. In many war games even with T-50 not yet present, the AWACS and other big fishes on both sides lasted only few minutes at best. So no worries there.
So end of the day, adding a $120M plane is a good idea but having a $5M airtight close in defense will be a valuable layer of insuring anything does not get through.
originally posted by: victor7
a reply to: asims33
Regarding the F-22s in the attack mode i.e. near or inside the Russian land:
A Russian mobile VHF radar can see and track fighter sized stealth plane from 320 kms. Again these are mobile radars and Russia plans to get 100 of these units.
Hence, in the defensive mode atleast F-22 threat can be "somewhat" diluted. As to by how much? just ask the Russians !!
In a dogfight over netural territory with no ground support to RuAF, F-22s still hold the supreme card and can wipe off big chunks of legacy planes in very short time.
originally posted by: victor7
a reply to: asims33
Just as a rule, vrs other smaller bands the VHF amplification is upto good 300 times. So find out the RCS of F-22 and multiply it by 300. Russians have openly said that they can see Stealth like any other plane and this was way back in 2002.
Now throw in the UHF i.e. Ultra High Frequency radar and RCS of a marble which was amplified to golf ball has now further amplified to a size of a bird.
To this fact, add the point as to how many birds fly at 12000 meters at a constant near speed of 700 kmph or more.
Same holds true for JASSMs and other stealth goodies.
F-22s will be found out if they near to Russian border and then confirmed via other passive sensors and information fed into the various sites. F-22s are most stealthy on X band in the L and S bands they are less stealthy and hence another tool to confirm what's going on.
Standalone without comprehensive inputs from anywhere and everywhere of the IAD, the S-300/400 with couple of Tors and Pantsirs would only be able to hold on for a certain time period.
If Russians do not have MALD tech. then chances further weaken against their defenses.
originally posted by: victor7
a reply to: asims33
If MALDs are based on manipulating the returns from the AESA radar then they will be blunted by computer programmers. What is actual tech behind the MALDs is unknown for common dudes like us on the ATS.
Once the F22s on the offensive mode are atleast harassed enough on the border, they will not be able to gain air superiority to make way clear for B1/B2s to come in and deliver their JASSMs and JSOWs etc. Rest will be a matter of how many attempts are made and what else goes on in other theaters.
SPECTRA jammer won over the S-300 PMU 1 the export version. This version also cannot handle the hypersonic missiles that new S-300 V and later versions can i.e. upto 8.5 Mach missiles. So a watered down export version from late 1990s to early 2000s getting a beat should be no biggie.
Russian philosophy has always been defense rather than attack and hence emphasis on SAMs. US focus has been on keeping the aggressors at a distance from the mainland and thus not so much need for vast SAMs network.
originally posted by: victor7
a reply to: asims33
I think that radar is multiband including VHF, the Nebo-M series. Regarding 160 NM range against F-22, I think that is for non jamming environment. Under jamming variables the range reduces to 60 NM or so.
Another of the RuAF strategy should be to have F-22 waste its air to air missiles in a dogfight and thus not been able to provide environment for B1/B2s to deliver Jassm and similar weapons. Does that mean another ARENA type system but this time for the fighter planes? The plane would have good 10-20 second warning of the missile launch and some measures can be taken to destroy it in the air all the while taking evasive measures. Intercepting a Mach 4 missiles would be some feat but can be done. This system can work well on the legacy planes where Stealth is not the main motive.
a reply to: asims33
This is just another Russian claim probably aimed at selling these Radars to countries like Iran and Syria
originally posted by: victor7
a reply to: asims33
Don't worry, once the US fields the arena type systems the Russians will copy it somewhat and Chinese will steal the tech somehow. That is their modus operandi as their culture is not very innovative type. These two countries also suffer from high levels of corruption and thus little money is left for government to devote to new R&D etc.
I doubt if Russia can win any war even if it includes the nukes. They can do lots of damage but there is not point going to the level of nukes which can be devastating for the whole world for some time to come.