2011 Has Already Exceeded 2010 Earthquake Energy Release By 20%

2011 has already exceeded 2010 Earthquake Energy Release by 20%

This is NOT doom-mongering. This is purely observation of the facts. In a year with a very large earthquake this is bound to happen, It happened in 2004 and in 2010, and now in 2011. What will be interesting is to see if the remainder of the year is proportionately quieter, or if we go into a quiet period for a year or two. This was definitely the case in 2005 and 2006. The actual percentage so far @ March 13th is 19.765%

Bearing in mind that the Indonesia big quake was Dec 2004, and then it went very quiet, the rest of this year MAY not see more large quakes.

Just to remind you:



And so far this year:
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/5768ddb0c3b7.png[/atsimg]

IF that 8.9 is upgraded to a 9.1 then the total energy release for this year so far will have exceeded any year in the range 2000 to 2010 with a total energy release of 2,835.9 Petajoules of energy for earthquakes of Mag 5 and above.

reply to post by PuterMan


what we are seeing now is cause and effect. if there is a plate shift of any kind it is going to cause movement in other places.

I 'worry' about the effects of mining and of course, nuclear testing by the French years ago in the ocean. What are the long term effects of these things?

Could it be we are seeing the effects from our own drilling for oil? mining excavation etc. ??


oh and I also thought it 'ironic' that the plate shifts are only between 5 and 15km from the surface of the Earth and they 'usually' are the most destructive...

Originally posted by Thurisaz
reply to post by PuterMan

 

what we are seeing now is cause and effect. if there is a plate shift of any kind it is going to cause movement in other places.

edit on 13-3-2011 by Thurisaz because: expand

I think the same. it's like a domino effect. It might not be immediate, but an earthquake of this magnitude I'm sure has affected more than we know. I mean it's all one planet, we're all connected.

reply to post by maybee


This I suppose depends on what was meant by 'plate shift'

The plates are shifting all the time. This after all is presumed to be the cause of the quake in Japan. I say presumed because there are those that do not accept subduction, but that is a discussion for another thread.

Other than that, yes we are all connected by the fact that we live on the surface of this planet and have absolutely no control over anything that goes on below the surface!

One thing I am certain about is that there is not going to be this massive shift of the whole of the surface of the earth by several tens of degrees that some people have suggested. There is no evidence that this has ever happened and there is no likelihood in my opinion that it ever will happen, BUT if it did you need not worry about anything since the complete world would be destroyed more or less instantly assume it happened at earthquake speeds.

I se you only have 7 quakes above mag 7 for 2011
Which one didn't you include

Magnitude, Date(y/m/d) Time(hh:mm:ss), Latitude, Longitude, Depth, Location, Source
7.0Mw, 2011/1/1 06:56:59, -26.758, -63.103, 583.6, Santiago del Estero, Argentina, usgs/neic
7.1Mw, 2011/1/2 20:20:17, -38.362, -75.032, 32, Tirua, Araucania, Chile, dgfudc
7.1Ms, 2011/1/13 16:16:41, -20.662, 168.459, 9, New Hebrides Trench, usgs/neic
7.2Mw, 2011/1/18 20:23:26, 28.838, 63.947, 84, Pakistan, usgs/neic
7.2Mw, 2011/3/9 02:45:20.27, 38.424, 142.836, 32, o/s Honshu, Japan, usgs/neic
8.9Mw, 2011/3/11 05:46:00, 38.322, 142.369, 24.4, Near the East Coast Of Honshu, Japan, usgs/neic
7.8Ms, 2011/3/11 06:15:45.94, 36.126, 140.234, 30.2, Ibaraki, Honshu, Japan, usgs/neic
7.3mb, 2011/3/11 06:25:00, 38.106, 144.553, 19.7, Off The East Coast Of Honshu, Japan, usgs/neic


I read something yesterday, think it was on ABC or the Guardian, that like the 9.0 in 2004 the Japan quake made the Earth wobble and shifted Japan 2 metres.

reply to post by muzzy


This one whicj you have as a 7.8 and the USGS has as a 6.8.

Magnitude 6.8
Date-Time

* Friday, March 11, 2011 at 06:15:40 UTC
* Friday, March 11, 2011 at 03:15:40 PM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 36.186°N, 141.192°E
Depth 35 km (21.7 miles) set by location program
Region NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Distances 34 km (21 miles) SW of Mito, Honshu, Japan
56 km (34 miles) SSE of Utsunomiya, Honshu, Japan
66 km (41 miles) NE of TOKYO, Japan
92 km (57 miles) NE of Yokohama, Honshu, Japan
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 12.7 km (7.9 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST=187, Nph=191, Dmin=188.1 km, Rmss=1.38 sec, Gp= 25°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=C
Source

* USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)

Event ID usc0001xhz

EMSC also have it as a 6.9 Mb ID: 211466

Here you are, My List:
Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
2011-03-11T06:25:50.000Z,38.10630,144.55310,7.1000,19.7000,off the east coast of Honshu. Japan
2011-03-11T05:46:23.000Z,38.32200,142.36900,8.9000,24.4000,near the east coast of Honshu. Japan
2011-03-09T02:45:20.000Z,38.42420,142.83580,7.2000,32.0000,near the east coast of Honshu. Japan
2011-01-18T20:23:23.000Z,28.73170,63.92750,7.2000,68.0000,southwestern Pakistan
2011-01-13T16:16:41.000Z,-20.62250,168.45900,7.0000,9.0000,Loyalty Islands. New Caledonia
2011-01-02T20:20:18.000Z,-38.35430,-73.27500,7.1000,25.1000,Araucania. Chile
2011-01-01T09:56:58.000Z,-26.79440,-63.07890,7.0000,576.8000,Santiago del Estero. Argentina

"Quotes the book of Matthew"

Originally posted by ProfessorWonder
"Quotes the book of Matthew"

What are you saying?

So do you have any predictions? I had found another Link that tells about planetary alignments. There was also another that was able to predict earthquakes, up to like 93% accuracy. Some computer simulation.

Anything?

reply to post by muzzy


hi so in 2004 Japan had an eq of 8.9?

from your stats you have put up, seems that way. Does this info negate the OP's premise?

Is there anyway you could just be direct in your reply. I just don't get what your saying. Is it sarcasm or an indirect reply?

What is your point?

reply to post by PuterMan


Everything is normal here.
Nothing to fear.
These types of record breaking Earthquake Releases happen all of the time.
We just hear about it more now because there are more people living in more densly populated areas.
Move along
These are not the droids you're looking for.

end sarcasm.

Originally posted by muzzy
I se you only have 7 quakes above mag 7 for 2011

Which one didn't you include

Magnitude, Date(y/m/d) Time(hh:mm:ss), Latitude, Longitude, Depth, Location, Source
7.0Mw, 2011/1/1 06:56:59, -26.758, -63.103, 583.6, Santiago del Estero, Argentina, usgs/neic
7.1Mw, 2011/1/2 20:20:17, -38.362, -75.032, 32, Tirua, Araucania, Chile, dgfudc
7.1Ms, 2011/1/13 16:16:41, -20.662, 168.459, 9, New Hebrides Trench, usgs/neic
7.2Mw, 2011/1/18 20:23:26, 28.838, 63.947, 84, Pakistan, usgs/neic
7.2Mw, 2011/3/9 02:45:20.27, 38.424, 142.836, 32, o/s Honshu, Japan, usgs/neic
8.9Mw, 2011/3/11 05:46:00, 38.322, 142.369, 24.4, Near the East Coast Of Honshu, Japan, usgs/neic
7.8Ms, 2011/3/11 06:15:45.94, 36.126, 140.234, 30.2, Ibaraki, Honshu, Japan, usgs/neic
7.3mb, 2011/3/11 06:25:00, 38.106, 144.553, 19.7, Off The East Coast Of Honshu, Japan, usgs/neic

that like the 9.0 in 2004 the Japan quake made the Earth wobble and shifted Japan 2 metres.

?

muzzy...went back to read it...I think your saying there is more than the OP has included?

where is the stats for 2004? sorry, but your reply confused me.

Thank you Puterman,.
This is awesome info
Maybe I can go back to saying things are picking up

But really,. thanks for putting in the time to do this

reply to post by PuterMan


thought it might be that one.

I used the Ms reading for it (off the phase data, at the top of the page) , so its in the 2011 table for me anyway.

I can't see how anyone can get any decent stats tabulated when they (usgs) chop and change what kind of magnitude types they post for each event.

Anyway it doesn't change the energy numbers does it, that quake being in the 6 - 6.9 category

reply to post by Thurisaz

yes I have one more, on the Island of Honshu, we used different magnitude type though.
I will use it if it has a 7 in the technical data, no matter what the type. If it has just 6.9, I won't use it as a 7.

I was refering to the 2004 Banda Aceh, Sumatra, Indonesia quake which reportedly made the Earth wobble.

BTW in 1968 there was a 8.2 north of the current event, with multiple Mag 7 aftershocks, more than there has been from this one. see 1968

reply to post by PuterMan


Astonishing numbers indeed

reply to post by Thurisaz
you mentioned mining in 1979 i was working in a coal mine in England Ruffort colliery to be precise it was a Sunday morning 4 of us were 1 mile deep a skeleton staff on that day i think 50 men all up when a loud whistling noise was heard then all hell broke loose everything was shaking violently we thought it was a gas explosion somewhere in the mine so we took cover i rang the surface and was told we just had a force 4 earth tremor TREMOR now that was scary !!

With the upgrading of the Tokohu quake (yes apparently that is what is is called) to 9.0 the figures to the date of the original post look like this:

[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/e3227e8555bc.png[/atsimg]

That is now only 177.4 Petajoules short of exceeding the highest total in the past ten years which was 2190 in 2004.

reply to post by Druid42


My apologies for not replying to you.

I found your link quite interesting and intend to study it further as it is something I am investigating at present.

As far as predictions go, no I do not have any and as far as I am aware there is no one who can predict with 93% accuracy. Regrettably their claims are usually based on saying something along the lines of "an earthquake between 4.5 and 6.2 between the dates xxx and xxx"

A 6.2 is 50 times bigger than a 4.5, and 354 times stronger and I do not consider that sort of range allowance to be in any way accurate. I believe the error comes in thinking it is 1.7 times bigger. In fact a 4.7 is about 1.7 times bigger than a 4.5 and 2.14 times stronger.

Just done a count of the 6.0 quakes. This total is now just about HALF of the total for 2010 and we are not quite QUARTER of the way through.

The average number over the past 11 years is 142. We are now at 69.

Methinks this is going to be an interesting year maybe!